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LXFR (Luxfer Holdings) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.03% (As of Dec. 15, 2024)


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What is Luxfer Holdings Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Luxfer Holdings's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.03%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of Luxfer Holdings's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Specialty Industrial Machinery subindustry, Luxfer Holdings's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Luxfer Holdings's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Industrial Products Industry

For the Industrial Products industry and Industrials sector, Luxfer Holdings's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Luxfer Holdings's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



Luxfer Holdings Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-8.14

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.03%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


Luxfer Holdings  (NYSE:LXFR) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Luxfer Holdings Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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Luxfer Holdings Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
8989 North Port Washington Road, Suite 211, Milwaukee, WI, USA, 53217
Luxfer Holdings PLC is a manufacturer industrial company innovating niche applications in materials engineering. It focuses on value creation by using its broad array of technical know-how and proprietary technologies to help create a safe, clean, and energy-efficient world. Luxfer's high-performance materials, components, and high-pressure gas containment devices are used in defense, first response and healthcare, transportation, and general industrial applications. It focuses on product lines related to magnesium alloys, zirconium chemicals, and carbon composites. Its segments are Elektron, Gas Cylinders, and Graphic Arts. It generates the majority of its revenue from Elektron and as well as Gas Cylinders.
Executives
Mark James Lawday officer: See Remarks LUXFER HOLDINGS PLC, LUMNS LANE, MANCHESTER X0 M27 8LN
Graham Wardlow officer: See Remarks LUXFER HOLDINGS PLC, LUMNS LANE, MANCHESTER X0 M27 8LN
Stephen Webster officer: Group Financial Controller LUXFER HOLDINGS PLC, LUMNS LANE, MANCHESTER X0 M27 8LN
Andrew Butcher officer: See Remarks LUXFER HOLDINGS PLC, LUMNS LANE, MANCHESTER X0 M27 8LN
Patrick K Mullen director LUXFER HOLDINGS PLC, LUMNS LANE, MANCHESTER X0 M27 8LN
Howard Ioan Mead officer: See Remarks LUXFER HOLDINGS PLC, LUMNS LANE, MANCHESTER X0 M27 8LN
Richard J Hipple director 10035 HUNTING DRIVE, BRECKSVILLE OH 44141
Sylvia Ann Stein director 1500 DEKOVEN AVE., RACINE WI 53403
Jeffrey C. Moorefield officer: See Remarks C/O LUXFER HOLDINGS PLC, LUMNS LANE, MANCHESTER X0 M27 8LN
Lisa G Trimberger director C/O CORPORATE OFFICE PROPERTIES TRUST, 6711 COLUMBIA GATEWAY DRIVE, SUITE 300, COLUMBIA MD 21046
Mark Chivers officer: See Remarks LUXFER HOLDINGS PLC, LUMNS LANE, MANCHESTER X0 M27 8LN
David Landless director 8310 S. VALLEY HWY, SUITE 350, DENVER CO 80112
James Gardella officer: President, Luxfer Magtech LUXFER HOLDINGS PLC, LUMNS LANE, MANCHESTER X0 M27 8LN
Megan Elizabeth Glise officer: Associate General Counsel LUMNS LANE, MANCHESTER X0 M27 8LN
Alok Maskara director, officer: Chief Executive Officer 2140 LAKE PARK BLVD, RICHARDSON TX 75080