Luxfer Holdings (Luxfer Holdings) Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) : $6.34 (As of Apr. 30, 2024)

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What is Luxfer Holdings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)?

As of today (2024-04-30), Luxfer Holdings's intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Dividend model is $6.34.

Note: Discounted Dividend model is only suitable for companies who have a consistant distribution history. If the company's dividends does not remain steady over a long period, results may not be accurate due to the low consistency. The model is also only suitable for predictable companies (Business Predictability Rank higher than 1-Star) with dividend payments. If the company's Predictability Rank is 1-Star or Not Rated, or if the company does not pay dividend, the data will not be stored into our database.

Luxfer Holdings's Predictability Rank is 1-Star. Thus, this page is only used for demonstration purposes and the DCF related results in the screener and portfolio will appear as zero.

Margin of Safety % (DCF Dividends Based) using Discounted Dividend Model for Luxfer Holdings is -51.89%.

The historical rank and industry rank for Luxfer Holdings's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) or its related term are showing as below:

LXFR's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) is not ranked ^*
in the Industrial Products industry.
Industry Median: 1.11
* Ranked among companies with meaningful Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) only.

Luxfer Holdings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Historical Data

The historical data trend for Luxfer Holdings's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Luxfer Holdings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Chart

Luxfer Holdings Annual Data

Trend

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Dec23

Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)

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Luxfer Holdings Quarterly Data
	Mar19	Jun19	Sep19	Dec19	Mar20	Jun20	Sep20	Dec20	Mar21	Jun21	Sep21	Dec21	Mar22	Jun22	Sep22	Dec22	Mar23	Jun23	Sep23	Dec23
Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)	Get a 7-Day Free Trial															-	-	-	-	-

Competitive Comparison of Luxfer Holdings's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)

For the Specialty Industrial Machinery subindustry, Luxfer Holdings's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based), along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

Luxfer Holdings's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) Distribution in the Industrial Products Industry

For the Industrial Products industry and Industrials sector, Luxfer Holdings's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Luxfer Holdings's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) falls into.

Luxfer Holdings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Calculation

This is the intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Dividend Model with default parameters. The calculation method is the same as Discounted Cash Flow model except adjusted dividend are used in the calculation instead of free cash flow. This is the default method of calculation with GuruFocus DCF calculator.

Usually a two-stage model is used in calculating the intrinsic value with discounted cash flow model. The first stage is called growth stage; the second is called the terminal stage. In the growth stage the company grows at a faster rate. Because it cannot grow at that rate forever, a lower rate is used for the terminal stage.

GuruFocus DDM calculator is a two-stage model. The default values are defined as:

1. Discount Rate: d = 11%
A reasonable discount rate assumption should be at least the long term average return of the stock market, which can be estimated from risk free rate plus risk premium of stock market. GuruFocus uses 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate as the risk-free rate and rounded up to the nearest integer. It is updated daily. The current risk-free rate is 4.68%. Please go to Economic Indicators page for more information. Please note that we use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the United States as default. Then we added a risk premium of 6% to get the estimated discount rate. Some investors use their expected rate of return, which is also reasonable. A typical discount rate can be anywhere between 6% - 20%.

2. Dividend Growth Rate in the growth stage: g1 = 5%
The Growth Rate in the growth stage is initially set as the default 10-Year Dividend Growth Rate. In cases where the 10-year growth rate is unavailable, it defaults to using the 5-Year Dividend Growth Rate. If both the 10-year and 5-year growth rates are unavailable, the system defaults to the 3-Year Dividend Growth Rate.
However, it's important to note that there is a growth rate range. If the calculated growth rate exceeds 20%, it will be capped at 20%. Conversely, if the calculated growth rate falls below 5%, it will be adjusted to 5% to maintain a reasonable range.
=> Luxfer Holdings's average Dividend Growth Rate in the past 5 years was 0.80%, which is less than 5%. GuruFocus defaults => Growth Rate: 5%

3. Years of Growth Stage: y1 = 10

4. Terminal Growth Rate: g2 = 4%

5. Dividends per Share: adjusted dividends per share = $0.549.
GuruFocus uses adjusted dividends per share by default to ensure that the valuation reflects the total value of the company, as the actual dividend is only a portion of the total value.

All of the default settings can be changed in the DCF calculator and the results are calculated automatically.

Luxfer Holdings's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) for today is calculated as:

Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)	=	Dividends per Share	*	{[(1+g1)/(1+d)	+	(1+g1)^2/(1+d)^2	+	...	+	(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10]
	+	(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10	*	[(1+g2)/(1+d)	+	(1+g2)^2/(1+d)^2	+	...	+	(1+g2)^10/(1+d)^10]}

set x = (1+g1)/(1+d) = (1+0.05)/(1+0.11) = 0.94594594594595
and y = (1+g2)/(1+d) = (1+0.04)/(1+0.11) = 0.93693693693694

Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)

Dividends per Share

{[x

x^2

...

x^10]

x^10

y^2

...

y^10]}

Dividends per Share

(1-x^10)

(1-x)

x^10

(1-y^10)

(1-y)]

0.549

11.5406

6.34

Margin of Safety % (DCF Dividends Based)	=	(Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)	-	Current Price)	/	Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)
	=	(6.34	-	9.63)	/	6.34
	=	-51.89 %

Luxfer Holdings (NYSE:LXFR) Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Explanation

Unlike valuation methods such as Net Current Asset Value, Tangible Book per Share, Graham Number, Median PS Value etc, discounted Dividends model evaluates the companies based on their power of future dividend distribution instead of their assets.

Be Aware

What you need to know about Discounted Dividends model:

1. The Discounted Dividends model evaluates a company based on its future dividends distribution power
2. Dividend growth is taken into account; therefore a company with a higher dividend growth rate is worth more if everything else is the same.
3. Since we are projecting future growth, it is assumed that the company will grow at the same rate as it did during the past 10 years. Therefore this model works better for the companies with consistently steady dividends distributed.
4. The Discounted Dividends model works poorly for inconsistent dividends distributor like high growth companies.
5. Your expected return from the investment is a reasonable discount rate assumption.
6. A larger margin of safety should be required for companies with less dividends distributed.

You can screen for stocks that trade below their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) with the GuruFocus All-in-One Screener. Companies with a high Predictability Rank that trade at a discount to their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) can be found in the screen of Undervalued Predictable Companies.

Luxfer Holdings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Related Terms

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Luxfer Holdings (Luxfer Holdings) Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Industrials » Industrial Products » Luxfer Holdings PLC (NYSE:LXFR) » Definitions » Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)

Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

LX4A:Germany

Address

8989 North Port Washington Road, Suite 211, Milwaukee, WI, USA, 53217

Website

https://www.luxfer.com

Luxfer Holdings PLC is a global manufacturer of highly-engineered industrial materials which focuses on value creation by using its broad array of technical know-how and proprietary technologies. Its high-performance materials, components and high-pressure gas containment devices are used in defense and emergency response, healthcare, transportation and general industrial applications. It focuses primarily on product lines related to magnesium alloys, zirconium chemicals and carbon composites. Its product areas, include magnesium aerospace alloys, photo-engraving plates, zirconium chemicals for automotive catalytic converters and high-pressure composite cylinders for breathing applications and a wide variety of other uses. Its segments are Elektron and Gas Cylinders.

Executives

Stephen Webster	officer: Group Financial Controller	LUXFER HOLDINGS PLC, LUMNS LANE, MANCHESTER X0 M27 8LN
Andrew Butcher	officer: See Remarks	LUXFER HOLDINGS PLC, LUMNS LANE, MANCHESTER X0 M27 8LN
Patrick K Mullen	director	LUXFER HOLDINGS PLC, LUMNS LANE, MANCHESTER X0 M27 8LN
Howard Ioan Mead	officer: See Remarks	LUXFER HOLDINGS PLC, LUMNS LANE, MANCHESTER X0 M27 8LN
Mark James Lawday	officer: See Remarks	LUXFER HOLDINGS PLC, LUMNS LANE, MANCHESTER X0 M27 8LN
Richard J Hipple	director	10035 HUNTING DRIVE, BRECKSVILLE OH 44141
Sylvia Ann Stein	director	1500 DEKOVEN AVE., RACINE WI 53403
Jeffrey C. Moorefield	officer: See Remarks	C/O LUXFER HOLDINGS PLC, LUMNS LANE, MANCHESTER X0 M27 8LN
Lisa G Trimberger	director	C/O CORPORATE OFFICE PROPERTIES TRUST, 6711 COLUMBIA GATEWAY DRIVE, SUITE 300, COLUMBIA MD 21046
Mark Chivers	officer: See Remarks	LUXFER HOLDINGS PLC, LUMNS LANE, MANCHESTER X0 M27 8LN
David Landless	director	8310 S. VALLEY HWY, SUITE 350, DENVER CO 80112
Graham Wardlow	officer: See Remarks	LUXFER HOLDINGS PLC, LUMNS LANE, MANCHESTER X0 M27 8LN
James Gardella	officer: President, Luxfer Magtech	LUXFER HOLDINGS PLC, LUMNS LANE, MANCHESTER X0 M27 8LN
Megan Elizabeth Glise	officer: Associate General Counsel	LUMNS LANE, MANCHESTER X0 M27 8LN
Alok Maskara	director, officer: Chief Executive Officer	2140 LAKE PARK BLVD, RICHARDSON TX 75080