GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Financial Services » Diversified Financial Services » Mason Industrial Technology Inc (NYSE:MIT.U) » Definitions » Probability of Financial Distress (%)

Mason Industrial Technology (Mason Industrial Technology) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 50.00% (As of Jun. 25, 2024)


View and export this data going back to 2021. Start your Free Trial

What is Mason Industrial Technology Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Mason Industrial Technology's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 50.00%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of Mason Industrial Technology's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Shell Companies subindustry, Mason Industrial Technology's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Mason Industrial Technology's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Diversified Financial Services Industry

For the Diversified Financial Services industry and Financial Services sector, Mason Industrial Technology's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Mason Industrial Technology's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



Mason Industrial Technology Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=0.00

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=50.00%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


Mason Industrial Technology  (NYSE:MIT.U) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Mason Industrial Technology Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Mason Industrial Technology's Probability of Financial Distress (%) provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Mason Industrial Technology (Mason Industrial Technology) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
110 East 59th Street, New York, NY, USA, 10022
Mason Industrial Technology Inc is a blank check company.
Executives
William B Plummer director C/O UNITED RENTALS INC / DE, 100 FIRST STAMFORD PL STE 700, STAMFORD CT 06902
James L Bauman director 3M COMPANY OFFICE OF GENERAL COUNSEL, 3M CENTER, ST PAUL MN 55144-1000
Mason Capital Management Llc director, 10 percent owner 110 EAST 59TH STREET, 30TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10022
Kenneth M. Garschina 10 percent owner 110 EAST 59TH STREET, NEW YORK NY 10022
Michael E Martino director, 10 percent owner 110 EAST 59TH STREET, NEW YORK NY 10022
Rose Edward Arthur Iii director, officer: Chief Executive Officer 5255 VIRGINIA AVE, NORTH CHARLESTON SC 29406
Sanford Marshall C Jr director 1725 ATLANTIC AVE, SULLIVANS ISLAND SC 29482
Mason Industrial Sponsor, Llc 10 percent owner 110 E. 59TH STREET, NEW YORK NY 10022
Derek Satzinger director, officer: Chief Financial Officer 110 E. 59TH STREET, NEW YORK NY 10022
Diane M. Parisi director 110 E. 59TH STREET, NEW YORK NY 10022
Pamela Chepiga director 110 E. 59TH STREET, NEW YORK NY 10022
Philip B. Whitehead director 110 E. 59TH STREET, NEW YORK NY 10022
Mason Capital Master Fund, L.p. 10 percent owner 110 EAST 59TH STREET, NEW YORK NY 10022
Mason Management Llc 10 percent owner 110 EAST 59TH STREET, NEW YORK NY 10022

Mason Industrial Technology (Mason Industrial Technology) Headlines