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MasTec (MasTec) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.04% (As of Jun. 24, 2024)


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What is MasTec Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, MasTec's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.04%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of MasTec's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Engineering & Construction subindustry, MasTec's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


MasTec's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Construction Industry

For the Construction industry and Industrials sector, MasTec's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where MasTec's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



MasTec Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-7.89

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.04%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


MasTec  (NYSE:MTZ) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


MasTec Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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MasTec (MasTec) Business Description

Industry
GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Industrials » Construction » MasTec Inc (NYSE:MTZ) » Definitions » Probability of Financial Distress (%)
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
800 S. Douglas Road, 12th Floor, Coral Gables, FL, USA, 33134
MasTec is a leading infrastructure construction company operating mainly in North America across a range of industries. The company's primary activities include the engineering, building, installation, maintenance, and upgrade of communications, oil and gas, utility, renewable energy, and other infrastructure. MasTec reports its results under five reportable segments: 1) communications; 2) clean energy and infrastructure; 3) oil and gas; 4) power delivery, and 5) other.
Executives
Paul Dimarco officer: CFO 800 S. DOUGLAS ROAD, SUITE 1200, CORAL GABLES FL 33134
Timothy Michael Love officer: CAO 8915 GEORGE WILLIAMS RD., KNOXVILLE TN 37923
Ava L Parker director 1469 HARRINGTON PARK DRIVE, JACKSONVILLE FL 32225
Ernst N Csiszar director 2600 S RIVER ROAD, DES PLAINES IL 60018
Robert E Apple officer: Chief Operations Officer 800 S DOUGLAS ROAD, 12TH FLOOR, CORAL GABLES FL 33134
C Robert Campbell officer: EVP & CFO 800 DOUGLAS ROAD, 12TH FLOOR, CORAL GABLES FL 33134
De Cardenas Alberto I officer: Executive Vice President 800 S DOUGLAS ROAD, 12TH FLOOR, CORAL GABLES X1 33134
George Pita officer: CFO 3000 NW 107TH AVENUE, MIAMI FL 33172
Robert J Dwyer director 880 SOUTH OCEAN BOULEVARD, PALM BEACH FL 33480
Jose S Sorzano director AUSTIN GROUP INC, 5305 LEE HIGHWAY NORTH, ARLINGTON VA 22207
Julia L Johnson director NETCOMMUNICATIONS LLC, 614 GRAND HIGHWAY, CLAREMONT FL 34711
Javier Alberto Palomarez director 3405 PINNEY POINT DRIVE, FLOWER MOUND TX 75022
Jorge Mas director, 10 percent owner 800 DOUGLAS ROAD, 12TH FLOOR, CORAL GABLES FL 33134
Jose Ramon Mas director, officer: EVP 800 DOUGLAS ROAD, 12TH FLOOR, CORAL GABLES FL 33134
Daniel A Restrepo director C/O MASTEC, INC., 800 S. DOUGLAS RD., 12TH FLOOR, CORAL GABLES FL 33134