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Network CN (Network CN) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.39% (As of Jun. 17, 2024)


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What is Network CN Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Network CN's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.39%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of Network CN's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Advertising Agencies subindustry, Network CN's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Network CN's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Media - Diversified Industry

For the Media - Diversified industry and Communication Services sector, Network CN's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Network CN's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



Network CN Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-5.54

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.39%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


Network CN  (OTCPK:NWCN) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Network CN Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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Network CN (Network CN) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
Unit 705B, 9 Science Museum Road, New East Ocean Centre, 7th Floor, Tsim Sha Tsui, Kowloon, Hong Kong, HKG
Network CN Inc is a media and advertising company. The company is engaged in the provision of out-of-home advertising services in China. Its suite of services ranges from media planning to advertise operations such as a network of roadside light-emitting diode (LED) digital video panels, mega-size LED digital video billboards, and lightboxes in many cities. Its revenues consist of income from out-of-home advertising panels. The company generates majority of its revenue from United States.
Executives
Frederick Wong director C/O 21/F, ONE HARBOUR SQUARE, 181 HOI BUN RD, KWUN TONG, HONG KONG F4 00000
Wing Kong Wong director C/O 21/F, ONE HARBOUR SQUARE, 181 HOI BUN RD, KWUN TONG, HONG KONG F4 00000
Cheng Sze Ki Shirley director, officer: Chief Financial Officer C/O 21/F, ONE HARBOUR SQUARE, 181 HOI BUN RD, KWUN TONG, HONG KONG F4 00000
Charles Liu director C/O NO. SUITE 3908, SHELL TOWER, TIMES SQUARE, 1 MATHESON STREET, CAUSEWAY BAY, HK K3 00000
Serge Choukroun director C/O STE 3908, SHELL TOWER, TIMES SQUARE, 1 MATHESON STREET, CAUSEWAY BAY, HONG KONG K3 00000
Sino Portfolio International Ltd 10 percent owner 3104 -7, 31/F, CENTRAL PLAZA, 18 HARBOUR ROAD, HONG KONG K3 00000
Chen Yang Foo Oi 10 percent owner 3104 -7, 31/F, CENTRAL PLAZA, 18 HARBOUR ROAD, HONG KONG K3 00000
Jennifer Fu officer: Interim CFO 21/F., CHINACHEM CENTURY TOWER, 178 GLOUCESTER ROAD, WANCHAI K3 00000
Gerald Godfrey director 21/F., CHINACHEM CENTURY TOWER,, 178 GLOUCESTER ROAD, WANCHAI K3 00000
Ronald Lee director C/O NO. 21/F., CHINACHEM CENTURY TOWER, 178 GLOUCESTER ROAD, WANCHAI K3 00000
Chi Wah Leung director FLAT 2B, OLYMPAIN MANSION, 9 CONDUIT ROAD, MID-LEVEL K3 00000
Keywin Holdings Ltd 10 percent owner RM902, 9/FL., UNIVERSAL TRADE CENTRE,, 3 ARBUTHNOT ROAD, CENTRAL K3 00000
Tang Pui Chu 10 percent owner FLAT 2B,OLYMPAIN MANSION, 9 CONDUIT ROAD, MID-LEVEL K3 00000
Gerd Jakob director 21/F CHINACHEM CENTURY TOWER, 178 GLOUCESTER ROAD, HONG KONG F4 0000000
Ronglie Xu director 1-1-301, HOUSING YARD, MINISTRY OF CONSTRUCTION, BEIJING F4 100037

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