Oaktree Specialty Lending (Oaktree Specialty Lending) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.04% (As of Apr. 28, 2024)

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What is Oaktree Specialty Lending Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Oaktree Specialty Lending's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.04%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.

Competitive Comparison of Oaktree Specialty Lending's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Credit Services subindustry, Oaktree Specialty Lending's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

Oaktree Specialty Lending's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Credit Services Industry

For the Credit Services industry and Financial Services sector, Oaktree Specialty Lending's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Oaktree Specialty Lending's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.

Oaktree Specialty Lending Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD

-20.12 * NIMTAAVG

1.60 * TLMTA

7.88 * EXRETAVG

1.55 * SIGMA

0.005 * RSIZE

2.27 * CASHMTA

0.070 * MB

0.09 * PRICE

8.87

-7.93

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD	=	1	/	(1 + e^(-LPFD))	*	100%
	=	0.04%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG	=	Net Income	/	Market Total Assets
	=	Net Income	/	(Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA

Total Liabilities

Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For banks, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA

(Balance Sheet Cash And Cash Equivalents + Money Market Investments)

Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE

log (Market Cap

Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio

MB	=	Market Cap	/	Adjusted Book Equity
	=	Market Cap	/	(Total Stockholders Equity + 0.1 * ( Market Cap - Total Stockholders Equity))

8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).

Oaktree Specialty Lending (NAS:OCSL) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.

Oaktree Specialty Lending Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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Oaktree Specialty Lending (Oaktree Specialty Lending) Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Financial Services » Credit Services » Oaktree Specialty Lending Corp (NAS:OCSL) » Definitions » Probability of Financial Distress (%)

Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

FFC:Germany

Address

333 South Grand Avenue, 28th Floor, Los Angeles, CA, USA, 90071

Website

https://www.oaktreespecialtylending.com

Oaktree Specialty Lending Corp is a specialty finance company. It provides lending services and invests in small and mid-sized companies. The company's investment objective is to maximize its portfolio's total return by generating current income from debt investments, and to a lesser extent, capital appreciation from equity investments. Its investments generally range in size from ten million dollars to hundred million dollars and are principally in the form of the first lien, second lien, or collectively, senior secured, and subordinated debt investments, which may also include an equity component made in connection with investments by private equity sponsors.

Executives

Matthew Stewart	officer: Chief Operating Officer	C/O OAKTREE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, L.P., 333 SOUTH GRAND AVENUE, 28TH FLOOR, LOS ANGELES CA 90071
Christopher Mckown	officer: See Remarks	C/O OAKTREE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, L.P., 333 SOUTH GRAND AVENUE, 28TH FLOOR, LOS ANGELES CA 90071
Phyllis R Caldwell	director	AMERICAN CAPITAL, LTD., 2 BETHESDA METRO CENTER, 12TH FLOOR, BETHESDA MD 20814
Ashley Pak	officer: Chief Compliance Officer	C/O OAKTREE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, L.P., 333 SOUTH GRAND AVENUE, 28TH FLOOR, LOS ANGELES CA 90071
Mathew Pendo	officer: Chief Operating Officer	C/O OAKTREE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, L.P., 333 S. GRAND AVENUE, 28TH FLOOR, LOS ANGELES CA 90071
Leonard M Tannenbaum	director, officer: CEO and President	525 OKEECHOBEE BLVD., SUITE 1770, WEST PALM BEACH FL 33401
Deborah Ann Gero	director	333 SOUTH GRAND AVENUE, 28TH FLOOR, LOS ANGELES CA 90071
Richard Ruben	director	C/O OAKTREE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, L.P., 333 S. GRAND AVENUE, 28TH FLOOR, LOS ANGELES CA 90071
Armen Panossian	officer: Chief Executive Officer	333 SOUTH GRAND AVENUE, 28TH FLOOR, LOS ANGELES CA 90071
Craig A Jacobson	director	C/O EXPEDIA, INC., 333 108TH AVENUE NE, BELLEVUE WA 98004
Melvin Carlisle	officer: Chief Financial Officer	C/O OAKTREE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, L.P., 333 S. GRAND AVENUE, 28TH FLOOR, LOS ANGELES CA 90071
Bruce Zimmerman	director	C/O OAKTREE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, L.P., 333 S. GRAND AVENUE, 28TH FLOOR, LOS ANGELES CA 90071
Marc Gamsin	director	1999 AVENUE OF THE STARS, SUITE 2150, LOS ANGELES CA 90067
John Frank	director	C/O OAKTREE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, 333 SOUTH GRAND 28TH FLOOR, LOS ANGELES CA 90071
Edgar Lee	officer: See Remarks	C/O OAKTREE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, L.P., 333 SOUTH GRAND AVE, 28TH FLOOR, LOS ANGELES CA 90071