OJIPF (Oji Holdings) Probability of Financial Distress (%): 0.05% (As of Jun. 24, 2026)


OJIPF Oji Holdings Corp OJIPF
71 GF Score
Price $5.80
GF Value $5.22
! 7 Warning Signs
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What is Oji Holdings Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Oji Holdings OJIPF 71 Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.05% as of Jun. 24, 2026. GuruFocus rates OJIPF with a GF Score™ of 71/100 and a GF Value™ of $5.22. The stock has 7 warning signs investors should review.

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Oji Holdings's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.05%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Oji Holdings  (OTCPK:OJIPF) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Oji Holdings Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms


Oji Holdings Probability of Financial Distress (%) Competitor Comparison

For the Paper & Paper Products subindustry, Oji Holdings's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Oji Holdings Probability of Financial Distress (%) vs Forest Products Industry

For the Forest Products industry and Basic Materials sector, Oji Holdings's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Oji Holdings's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.


OJIPF
71GF Score
Oji Holdings Corp OJIPF
Probability of Financial Distress (%) is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
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Oji Holdings Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-7.59

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.05%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).

What does a Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.05% mean?
Oji Holdings (OJIPF) has a Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.05% as of Jun. 24, 2026.
Is Oji Holdings' Probability of Financial Distress (%) too high?
Oji Holdings' current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.05%. Overall, Oji Holdings has a GF Score™ of 71/100, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Oji Holdings' Probability of Financial Distress (%) compare to competitors?
Oji Holdings' Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.05% can be compared against companies in the Forest Products industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Probability of Financial Distress (%) for a Forest Products company?
A good Probability of Financial Distress (%) depends on the Forest Products industry context. However, Probability of Financial Distress (%) should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Probability of Financial Distress (%) mean?
A high Probability of Financial Distress (%) can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Oji Holdings's current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.05%. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Oji Holdings stock overvalued right now?
Oji Holdings (OJIPF) has a current Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.05%. The stock's GF Value™ is $5.22, compared to a current price of $5.80 — trading 11.1% above its estimated fair value. The current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.05%. Oji Holdings' overall GF Score™ is 71/100 with 7 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Probability of Financial Distress (%) calculated?
Probability of Financial Distress (%) is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Oji Holdings (OJIPF), the current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.05% as of Jun. 24, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Oji Holdings (OJIPF) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Oji Holdings stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of $5.80 is trading 11.1% above its estimated GF Value™ of $5.22.

Key valuation signals for OJIPF:

  • Probability of Financial Distress (%): 0.05%
  • GF Value™: $5.22 vs. price of $5.80 (11.1% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 71/100 with 7 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the OJIPF stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Oji Holdings Business Description

Other Exchanges 3861:JapanOJI:Germany
Address 7-5 Ginza, 4-chome, Chuo-ku, Tokyo, JPN, 104-0061
Oji Holdings Corp through its group companies, is engaged in the production and distribution of pulp, paper products, and converted paper products. The company operates through five segments. The Functional Materials segment covers specialty paper, thermal paper, adhesives, and films. The Living and Industrial Materials segment includes corrugated base paper, paperboard, packaging paper, household paper, and disposable diapers. The Print Information Media segment engages in newsprint, printing, publishing, and information paper. The Resource and Environmental Business segment spans pulp, energy, afforestation, and wood processing. The Others segment comprises trading, eco-friendly packaging, logistics, engineering, real estate, and liquid cartons.
71GF Score

Get the complete analysis for OJIPF

Probability of Financial Distress (%) is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

$5.80
Price
$5.22
GF Value