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Palisade Bio (Palisade Bio) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 39.24% (As of Jun. 15, 2024)


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What is Palisade Bio Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Palisade Bio's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 39.24%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of Palisade Bio's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Biotechnology subindustry, Palisade Bio's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Palisade Bio's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Biotechnology Industry

For the Biotechnology industry and Healthcare sector, Palisade Bio's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Palisade Bio's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



Palisade Bio Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-0.44

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=39.24%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


Palisade Bio  (NAS:PALI) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Palisade Bio Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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Palisade Bio (Palisade Bio) Business Description

Industry
GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Healthcare » Biotechnology » Palisade Bio Inc (NAS:PALI) » Definitions » Probability of Financial Distress (%)
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
5800 Armada Drive, Suite 2A, Carlsbad, CA, USA, 92008
Palisade Bio Inc is a clinical-stage biopharma company. It is advancing oral therapies that help patients with acute and chronic gastrointestinal complications stemming from post-operative digestive enzyme damage. Palisade Bio's innovative lead asset, LB1148, is a Phase 3-ready protease inhibitor with the potential to both reduce abdominal adhesions and help restore bowel function following surgery.
Executives
Donald Allen Williams director C/O PRYOR CASHMAN LLP, 7 TIMES SQUARE, NEW YORK NY 10036
John David Finley officer: Chief Financial Officer C/O SENECA BIOPHARMA, INC., 20271 GOLDENROD LANE, GERMANTOWN MD 20876
Robert J. Trenschel director C/O SENECA BIOPHARMA, INC., 20271 GOLDENROD LANE, GERMANTOWN MD 20876
Mitchell Lawrence Jones officer: Chief Medical Officer 70 GALLOUPES POINT ROAD, SWAMPSCOTT MA 01907
Robert Curtis Mcrae officer: Chief Operating Officer 675 S. SIERRA AVE,, UNIT 23, SOLANA BEACH CA 92075
Thomas Hallam director, officer: Chief Executive Officer C/O SENECA BIOPHARMA, INC., 20271 GOLDENROD LANE, GERMANTOWN MD 20876
Michael John Dawson officer: Chief Medical Officer C/O SENECA BIOPHARMA, INC., 20271 GOLDENROD LANE, GERMANTOWN MD 20876
Yuma Regional Medical Center 10 percent owner 2400 S AVENUE A, YUMA AZ 85364
Stephanie Diaz director C/O SENECA BIOPHARMA, INC., 20271 GOLDENROD LANE, GERMANTOWN MD 20876
James R Neal director 2910 SEVENTH STREET, BERKELEY CA 94710
Mary Ann Gray director 201 W 70TH ST, SUITE 23K, NEW YORK NY 10023
David J Mazzo director 110 ALLEN ROAD, 2ND FLOOR, BASKING RIDGE NJ 07920
Binxian Wei director P.O. BOX 2231, LIVINGSTON NJ 07039
Kenneth C Carter director, officer: Executive Chairman 20358 SENECA MEADOWS PARKWAY, GERMANTOWN MD 20876
Cristina Csimma director 14 CAMBRIDGE CENTER, BLDG 1, CAMBRIDGE MA 02142