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Quantum (Quantum) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.76% (As of May. 01, 2024)


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What is Quantum Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Quantum's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.76%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of Quantum's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Computer Hardware subindustry, Quantum's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Quantum's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Hardware Industry

For the Hardware industry and Technology sector, Quantum's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Quantum's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



Quantum Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-4.87

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.76%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


Quantum  (NAS:QMCO) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Quantum Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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Quantum (Quantum) Business Description

Industry
GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Technology » Hardware » Quantum Corp (NAS:QMCO) » Definitions » Probability of Financial Distress (%)
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
224 Airport Parkway, Suite 550, San Jose, CA, USA, 95110
Quantum Corp is a United States-based company engaged in providing scale-out storage, archive, and data protection for small businesses and large multinational enterprises. Its solutions capture, share, manage and preserve digital assets throughout the data lifecycle. The scale-out portfolio offerings enable customers to manage large unstructured data sets, provide ingest capabilities, real-time collaboration, scalability, and protection. It derives primary revenues from the products based on tape technology. A majority of the firm's revenue is generated in the Americas, with the rest coming from Europe and Asia-Pacific.
Executives
Brian E Cabrera officer: Chief Legal & Ofcr; Corp Secy CALLIDUS SOFTWARE INC., 160 W. SANTA CLARA STREET, SUITE 1500, SAN JOSE CA 95113
James J Lerner director, officer: Pres. & CEO, Chairman of Board C/O SEAGATE TECHNOLOGY PLC, 10200 S. DEANZA BLVD., CUPERTINO CA 95014
Laura A. Nash officer: Chief Accounting Officer C/O QUANTUM CORPORATION, 224 AIRPORT PARKWAY, SUITE 550, SAN JOSE CA 95110
John Hurley officer: Chief Revenue Officer 224 AIRPORT PARKWAY, SUITE 550, SAN JOSE CA 95110
Kenneth P. Gianella officer: Chief Financial Officer C/O SILVER SPRING NETWORKS, INC., 230 W. TASMAN DRIVE, SAN JOSE CA 95134
Hugues Meyrath director 1745 TECHNOLOGY DRIVE, SAN JOSE CA 95110
Don Jaworksi director 224 AIRPORT PARKWAY SUITE 550, C/O QUANTUM CORPORATION, SAN JOSE CA 95110
Lewis W. Moorehead officer: Chief Accounting Officer 1 BROADWAY, 14TH FLOOR, CAMBRIDGE MA 02142
J Michael Dodson officer: Senior Vice President, CFO 1220 N. SIMON CIRCLE, ANAHEIM CA 92806
Christopher D. Neumeyer director 224 AIRPORT PARKWAY SUITE 550, SAN JOSE CA 95110
Pacific Investment Management Co Llc 10 percent owner 650 NEWPORT CENTER DRIVE, NEWPORT BEACH CA 92660
Yue Zhou White director C/O QUANTUM CORPORATION, 224 AIRPORT PARKWAY, SUITE 550, SAN JOSE CA 95110
Marc E Rothman director 1303 E ALGONQUIN ROAD, SCHAUMBURG X1 60196
Raghavendra Rau director C/O XPERI HOLDING CORPORATION, 3025 ORCHARD PARKWAY, SAN JOSE CA 95134
John Fichthorn director C/O DIALECTIC CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC, 17 STATE STREET, SUITE 3930, NEW YORK NY 10004