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Quantum (Quantum) Earnings Power Value (EPV) : $1.73 (As of Jun23)


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What is Quantum Earnings Power Value (EPV)?

As of Jun23, Quantum's earnings power value is $1.73. *

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

Margin of Safety is 73.04

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future. Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.


Quantum Earnings Power Value (EPV) Historical Data

The historical data trend for Quantum's Earnings Power Value (EPV) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Quantum Earnings Power Value (EPV) Chart

Quantum Annual Data
Trend Mar14 Mar15 Mar16 Mar17 Mar18 Mar19 Mar20 Mar21 Mar22 Mar23
Earnings Power Value (EPV)
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 7.41 6.24 6.33 3.18 2.06

Quantum Quarterly Data
Sep18 Dec18 Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23
Earnings Power Value (EPV) Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 2.53 1.91 1.97 2.06 1.73

Competitive Comparison of Quantum's Earnings Power Value (EPV)

For the Computer Hardware subindustry, Quantum's Earnings Power Value (EPV), along with its competitors' market caps and Earnings Power Value (EPV) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Quantum's Earnings Power Value (EPV) Distribution in the Hardware Industry

For the Hardware industry and Technology sector, Quantum's Earnings Power Value (EPV) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Quantum's Earnings Power Value (EPV) falls into.



Quantum Earnings Power Value (EPV) Calculation

Earnings Power Value also known as just Earnings Power is a valuation technique popularised by Bruce Greenwald, an authority on value investing at Columbia University. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future.

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. This valuation tool excludes the potential growth that a company may have so that needs to be looked at separately. Since future growth is excluded from the analysis, only the maintenance capital expenditures are subtracted from after-tax EBIT (earnings before interest and taxes) and growth capex is ignored.

Quantum's "Earning Power" Calculation:

Average of Last 20 Quarters Last Quarter
Revenue 385.0
DDA 7.1
Operating Margin % -0.39
SGA * 25% 27.9
Tax Rate % -8.01
Maintenance Capex 5.9
Cash and Cash Equivalents 25.5
Short-Term Debt 5.0
Long-Term Debt 105.6
Shares Outstanding (Diluted) 93.7

1. Start with "Earnings" not including accounting adjustments (one-time charges not excluded unless policy has changed). "Earnings" are "Operating Income.

2. Look at average margins over a business/Industry cycle: Average Operating Margin = -0.39%

To normalize margins and eliminate the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle, it is usually best to take a long-term average of operating margins. Ideally this would be as long as 10 years and include at least one economic downturn. However, since most of companies do not have as long as 10-year history, here GuruFocus uses the latest 5 years data to do the calculation. To smooth out unusual years but reflect recent developments, we take an average of the 5 year margin.

3. Multiply average margins by sustainable revenues and then adjust for maintenance SGA. This yields "normalized" EBIT:

To be conservative, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year revenues as the sustainable revenue.
EPV analysis recognises that part of SG&A expenditure is made to maintain and replace the existing assets, while part is made to grow sales. Since EPV is only interested in what it costs a going concern to maintain its existing asset base, it adds back a percentage of SG&A (between 15% and 50% - this is a matter of judgment and industry knowledge) to make up for the fact that some of this expenditure went to fund growth and shouldn't be accounted for. To start off, we assume 25% for the sake of prudence.
Sustainable Revenue = $385.0 Mil, Average Operating Margin = -0.39%, Average Adjusted SGA = 27.9,
therefore "Normalized" EBIT = Sustainable Revenue * Average Operating Margin + Average Adjusted SGA = 385.0 * -0.39% +27.9 = $26.36435272 Mil.

4. Multiply by one minus Average Tax Rate (NOPAT):

Same as average operating margin calculation, GuruFocus takes an average of the 5 years tax rates.
Average Tax Rate = -8.01%, and "Normalized" EBIT = $26.36435272 Mil,
therefore After-tax "Normalized" EBIT = "Normalized" EBIT * ( 1 - Average Tax Rate ) = 26.36435272 * ( 1 - -8.01% ) = $28.476532838163 Mil.

5. Add back Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate). This yields "normalized" Earnings:

Excess Depreciation = Average DDA * % of Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate) = 7.1 * 0.5 * -8.01% = $-0.2836631805 Mil.
"Normalized" Earnings = After-tax "Normalized" EBIT + Excess Depreciation = 28.476532838163 + -0.2836631805 = $28.192869657663 Mil.

6. Adjusted for Maintenance Capital Expenditure:

First, calculate the revenue change regarding to the previous year. If the revenue decreased from the previous year, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
Second, if the revenue increased from the previous year, then calculate the percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue.
Third, calculate Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was negative, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was positive, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
Fourth, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year maintenance capital expenditures as maintenance CAPEX.
Quantum's Average Maintenance CAPEX = $5.9 Mil *.
* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

7. Investors require a return of "WACC" for the risk they are taking: WACC = 9%

8. Quantum's current cash and cash equivalent = $25.5 Mil.
Quantum's current interest bearing debt = Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation + Short-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation = 105.6 + 5.0 = $110.615 Mil.
Quantum's current Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average) = 93.7 Mil.

Quantum's Earnings Power Value (EPV) for Jun23 is calculated as:

EPV = ( ( Norm. Earnings-Maint. CAPEX *) / WACC + CashandEquiv - Int. Bearing Debt ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
= ( ( 28.192869657663 - 5.9)/ 9%+25.5-110.615 )/93.7
=1.73

Margin of Safety (EPV)=( Earnings Power Value (EPV)-Current Price )/Earnings Power Value (EPV)
=( 1.7346240714048-0.4676 )/1.7346240714048
= 73.04%

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.


Quantum  (NAS:QMCO) Earnings Power Value (EPV) Explanation

Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.

Earnings power value (EPV) uses a very basic equation which assumes no growth, although it does rely on an assumption about the cost of capital as well as the fact that current earnings are sustainable. It also involves several adjustments to clean up the underlying Earnings figures.


Be Aware

Though using today's earnings in calculating Earnings Power Value, GuruFocus is normalizing these earnings to the business cycle. This eliminates the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle. This means that we are considering the average earnings over 5 years.


Quantum Earnings Power Value (EPV) Related Terms

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Quantum (Quantum) Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
224 Airport Parkway, Suite 550, San Jose, CA, USA, 95110
Quantum Corp is a United States-based company engaged in providing scale-out storage, archive, and data protection for small businesses and large multinational enterprises. Its solutions capture, share, manage and preserve digital assets throughout the data lifecycle. The scale-out portfolio offerings enable customers to manage large unstructured data sets, provide ingest capabilities, real-time collaboration, scalability, and protection. It derives primary revenues from the products based on tape technology. A majority of the firm's revenue is generated in the Americas, with the rest coming from Europe and Asia-Pacific.
Executives
Brian E Cabrera officer: Chief Legal & Ofcr; Corp Secy CALLIDUS SOFTWARE INC., 160 W. SANTA CLARA STREET, SUITE 1500, SAN JOSE CA 95113
James J Lerner director, officer: Pres. & CEO, Chairman of Board C/O SEAGATE TECHNOLOGY PLC, 10200 S. DEANZA BLVD., CUPERTINO CA 95014
Laura A. Nash officer: Chief Accounting Officer C/O QUANTUM CORPORATION, 224 AIRPORT PARKWAY, SUITE 550, SAN JOSE CA 95110
John Hurley officer: Chief Revenue Officer 224 AIRPORT PARKWAY, SUITE 550, SAN JOSE CA 95110
Kenneth P. Gianella officer: Chief Financial Officer C/O SILVER SPRING NETWORKS, INC., 230 W. TASMAN DRIVE, SAN JOSE CA 95134
Hugues Meyrath director 1745 TECHNOLOGY DRIVE, SAN JOSE CA 95110
Don Jaworksi director 224 AIRPORT PARKWAY SUITE 550, C/O QUANTUM CORPORATION, SAN JOSE CA 95110
Lewis W. Moorehead officer: Chief Accounting Officer 1 BROADWAY, 14TH FLOOR, CAMBRIDGE MA 02142
J Michael Dodson officer: Senior Vice President, CFO 1220 N. SIMON CIRCLE, ANAHEIM CA 92806
Christopher D. Neumeyer director 224 AIRPORT PARKWAY SUITE 550, SAN JOSE CA 95110
Pacific Investment Management Co Llc 10 percent owner 650 NEWPORT CENTER DRIVE, NEWPORT BEACH CA 92660
Yue Zhou White director C/O QUANTUM CORPORATION, 224 AIRPORT PARKWAY, SUITE 550, SAN JOSE CA 95110
Marc E Rothman director 1303 E ALGONQUIN ROAD, SCHAUMBURG X1 60196
Raghavendra Rau director C/O XPERI HOLDING CORPORATION, 3025 ORCHARD PARKWAY, SAN JOSE CA 95134
John Fichthorn director C/O DIALECTIC CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC, 17 STATE STREET, SUITE 3930, NEW YORK NY 10004