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REVB (Revelation Biosciences) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 50.16% (As of Mar. 14, 2025)


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What is Revelation Biosciences Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Revelation Biosciences's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 50.16%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of Revelation Biosciences's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Biotechnology subindustry, Revelation Biosciences's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Revelation Biosciences's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Biotechnology Industry

For the Biotechnology industry and Healthcare sector, Revelation Biosciences's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Revelation Biosciences's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



Revelation Biosciences Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=0.01

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=50.16%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


Revelation Biosciences  (NAS:REVB) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Revelation Biosciences Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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Revelation Biosciences Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
4660 La Jolla Village Drive, Suite 100, San Diego, CA, USA, 92122
Revelation Biosciences Inc is a clinical-stage life sciences company focused on the development of therapies for the prevention and treatment of disease using trained immunity. It is developing a pipeline of potential high-value products based on Gemini. Gemini is Revelation's proprietary formulation of phosphorylated hexaacyl disaccharide (PHAD) an established TLR4 agonist that can stimulate the human body's innate immune response to prevent and treat disease. The product candidates are developed are based on Gemini formulation of PHAD. Gemini based programs consist of: Gemini-SSI developed for the prevention of surgical site infection (SSI); Gemini-AKI developed for the prevention of acute kidney injury (AKI); and Gemini-CKD for the treatment of chronic kidney disease (CKD).
Executives
George F Tidmarsh director, 10 percent owner
Lakhmir S Chawla director 1960 KIRBY ROAD, MCLEAN VA 22101
Axa Im Prime Impact Gp S.a.r.l other: Former 10% owner 2-4, RUE EUGENE RUPPERT, LUXEMBOURG N4 L-2453
Axa Im Prime Impact Master Fund I Sca Sicav-raif other: Former 10% Owner 2-4 RUE EUGENE RUPPERT, LUXEMBOURG N4 L-2453
Axa Investment Managers S.a. other: Former 10% owner 6 PLACE DE LA PYRAMIDE, TOUR MAJUNGA, PUTEAUX I0 92800
Axa Investment Managers Paris other: Former 10% owner 6 PLACE DE LA PYRAMIDE, PUTEAUX I0 92800
Axa Investment Managers Uk Ltd other: Former 10% owner 22 BISHOPGATE, LONDON X0 EC2M 3XJ
S.a. Axa other: Former 10% owner 25 AVENUE MATIGNON, PARIS I0 75008
Jess Roper director 5555 OBERLIN DRIVE, SAN DIEGO CA 92121
James Rolke director, officer: Chief Executive Officer 10182 TELESIS COURT, 6TH FLOOR, SAN DIEGO CA 92121
Curt H Labelle director C/O INVESTOR GROWTH CAPITAL, INC., 630 FIFTH AVENUE, SUITE 1965, NEW YORK NY 10011
Jennifer Carver director 725 NEWPORT STREET, DENVER CO 80220
Zygmont Chester Stanley Iii officer: Chief Financial Officer 3322 MILLIKIN AVE, SAN DIEGO CA 92122
Lawrence Feis 10 percent owner 190 EAST WALTON PLACE, UNIT 603, CHICAGO IL 60611
Feis Equities Llc 10 percent owner 20 NORTH WACKER DRIVE, SUITE 2115, CHICAGO IL 60606