REVB (Revelation Biosciences) Predictability Rank

View and export this data going back to 2022. Start your Free Trial

What is Revelation Biosciences Predictability Rank?

Not Rated

Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:

1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.

It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.

GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.

Revelation Biosciences Predictability Rank Calculation

In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.

Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:

Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.

The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.

Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns

	Predictables	Non-Predictable	All stocks
Total Number of stocks	570	1833	2403
Total Lost Money	61	830	891
Total Lost More Than 50%	18	412	430
Total Lost More Than 90%	4	86	90
Average Gain	260.6%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain	150.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gain	2852.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loss	-100.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	12.7%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	8.9%	1.1%	3.1%

For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.

Predictability Rank	5-Star	4.5-Star	4-Star	3.5-Star	3-Star	2.5-Star	2-Star	1-Star (non-predictable)	Average among all
% Out of All 2403 Stocks	3.3%	2.9%	3.7%	3.3%	3.3%	3.7%	3.3%	76.3%	100%
% that are in Loss (10y)	3%	10%	8%	9%	11%	18%	16%	45%	37%
Average Gain (10y)	364.6%	330.9%	278.0%	235.1%	243.5%	227.8%	154.8%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain (10y)	238.5%	193.5%	171.0%	159.0%	132.5%	113.5%	87.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gainer	2228.0%	2547.0%	2452.0%	2852.0%	2432.0%	1892.0%	1807.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loser	-82.0%	-53.0%	-67.0%	-100.0%	-83.0%	-100.0%	-78.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	15.4%	14.6%	13.2%	12.0%	12.2%	11.7%	9.1%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	12.1%	10.6%	9.8%	9.3%	8.2%	7.3%	6.0%	1.1%	3.1%

For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank

Revelation Biosciences Predictability Rank Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Revelation Biosciences's Predictability Rank provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.

Revelation Biosciences Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Healthcare » Biotechnology » Revelation Biosciences Inc (NAS:REVB) » Definitions » Predictability Rank

Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

N/A

Address

4660 La Jolla Village Drive, Suite 100, San Diego, CA, USA, 92122

Website

https://www.revbiosciences.com

Revelation Biosciences Inc is a clinical-stage life science company that is focused on rebalancing inflammation to optimize health using its proprietary formulation Gemini. It is developing a pipeline of potential high-value products based on Gemini. Gemini is Revelation's proprietary formulation of phosphorylated hexaacyl disaccharide (PHAD) an established TLR4 agonist that can stimulate the human body's innate immune response to prevent and treat disease. The product candidates are developed are based on Gemini formulation of PHAD. Gemini-based programs consist of: Gemini-SSI developed for the prevention of surgical site infection (SSI); Gemini-AKI developed for the prevention of acute kidney injury (AKI); and Gemini-CKD for the treatment of chronic kidney disease (CKD).

Executives

George F Tidmarsh	director, 10 percent owner
Lakhmir S Chawla	director	1960 KIRBY ROAD, MCLEAN VA 22101
Axa Im Prime Impact Gp S.a.r.l	other: Former 10% owner	2-4, RUE EUGENE RUPPERT, LUXEMBOURG N4 L-2453
Axa Im Prime Impact Master Fund I Sca Sicav-raif	other: Former 10% Owner	2-4 RUE EUGENE RUPPERT, LUXEMBOURG N4 L-2453
Axa Investment Managers S.a.	other: Former 10% owner	6 PLACE DE LA PYRAMIDE, TOUR MAJUNGA, PUTEAUX I0 92800
Axa Investment Managers Paris	other: Former 10% owner	6 PLACE DE LA PYRAMIDE, PUTEAUX I0 92800
Axa Investment Managers Uk Ltd	other: Former 10% owner	22 BISHOPGATE, LONDON X0 EC2M 3XJ
S.a. Axa	other: Former 10% owner	25 AVENUE MATIGNON, PARIS I0 75008
Jess Roper	director	5555 OBERLIN DRIVE, SAN DIEGO CA 92121
James Rolke	director, officer: Chief Executive Officer	10182 TELESIS COURT, 6TH FLOOR, SAN DIEGO CA 92121
Curt H Labelle	director	C/O INVESTOR GROWTH CAPITAL, INC., 630 FIFTH AVENUE, SUITE 1965, NEW YORK NY 10011
Jennifer Carver	director	725 NEWPORT STREET, DENVER CO 80220
Zygmont Chester Stanley Iii	officer: Chief Financial Officer	3322 MILLIKIN AVE, SAN DIEGO CA 92122
Lawrence Feis	10 percent owner	190 EAST WALTON PLACE, UNIT 603, CHICAGO IL 60611
Feis Equities Llc	10 percent owner	20 NORTH WACKER DRIVE, SUITE 2115, CHICAGO IL 60606