Taiwan Chinsan Electronic Industrial Co (ROCO:8042) Probability of Financial Distress (%): 0.01% (As of Jul. 18, 2026)

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ROCO:8042 Taiwan Chinsan Electronic Industrial Co Ltd ROCO:8042
47 GF Score
Price NT$129.50
GF Value NT$41.73
Valuation Significantly Overvalued
! 7 Warning Signs
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What is Taiwan Chinsan Electronic Industrial Co Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Taiwan Chinsan Electronic Industrial Co ROCO:8042 -9.76% 47 Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.01% as of Jul. 18, 2026. GuruFocus rates ROCO:8042 with a GF Score™ of 47/100 and a GF Value™ of NT$41.73 (Significantly Overvalued). The stock has 7 warning signs investors should review.

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Taiwan Chinsan Electronic Industrial Co's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.01%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Taiwan Chinsan Electronic Industrial Co  (ROCO:8042) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Taiwan Chinsan Electronic Industrial Co Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms


ROCO:8042 vs APH, GLW: Probability of Financial Distress (%) Comparison

For the Electronic Components subindustry, Taiwan Chinsan Electronic Industrial Co's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Taiwan Chinsan Electronic Industrial Co Probability of Financial Distress (%) vs Hardware Industry

For the Hardware industry and Technology sector, Taiwan Chinsan Electronic Industrial Co's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Taiwan Chinsan Electronic Industrial Co's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.


ROCO:8042
47GF Score
Taiwan Chinsan Electronic Industrial Co Ltd ROCO:8042
Probability of Financial Distress (%) is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
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Taiwan Chinsan Electronic Industrial Co Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-8.89

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.01%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).

What does a Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.01% mean?
Taiwan Chinsan Electronic Industrial Co (ROCO:8042) has a Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.01% as of Jul. 18, 2026.
Is Taiwan Chinsan Electronic Industrial Co's Probability of Financial Distress (%) too high?
Taiwan Chinsan Electronic Industrial Co's current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.01%. Overall, Taiwan Chinsan Electronic Industrial Co has a GF Score™ of 47/100 and is considered Significantly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Taiwan Chinsan Electronic Industrial Co's Probability of Financial Distress (%) compare to APH and GLW?
Taiwan Chinsan Electronic Industrial Co's Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.01% can be compared against companies in the Hardware industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Probability of Financial Distress (%) for a Hardware company?
A good Probability of Financial Distress (%) depends on the Hardware industry context. However, Probability of Financial Distress (%) should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Probability of Financial Distress (%) mean?
A high Probability of Financial Distress (%) can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Taiwan Chinsan Electronic Industrial Co's current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.01%. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Taiwan Chinsan Electronic Industrial Co stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Taiwan Chinsan Electronic Industrial Co (ROCO:8042) is currently considered Significantly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is NT$41.73, compared to a current price of NT$129.50 — trading 210.3% above its estimated fair value. The current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.01%. Taiwan Chinsan Electronic Industrial Co's overall GF Score™ is 47/100 with 7 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Probability of Financial Distress (%) calculated?
Probability of Financial Distress (%) is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Taiwan Chinsan Electronic Industrial Co (ROCO:8042), the current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.01% as of Jul. 18, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Taiwan Chinsan Electronic Industrial Co (ROCO:8042) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Taiwan Chinsan Electronic Industrial Co stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of NT$129.50 is trading 210.3% above its estimated GF Value™ of NT$41.73. GuruFocus considers Taiwan Chinsan Electronic Industrial Co to be Significantly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for ROCO:8042:

  • Probability of Financial Distress (%): 0.01%
  • GF Value™: NT$41.73 vs. price of NT$129.50 (210.3% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 47/100 with 7 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the ROCO:8042 stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Taiwan Chinsan Electronic Industrial Co Business Description

Address Section 1, Guangfu Road, 2nd Floor, No. 1, Alley 11, Lane 68, Sanchong District, New Taipei City, Taipei, TWN, 24158
Taiwan Chinsan Electronic Industrial Co Ltd is principally engaged in the manufacturing, processing, sale, and import and export of various electronic equipment and capacitors. The Group's only reportable operating segment is the electronic components segment, which is principally engaged in the manufacturing, processing, purchase, sale, import and export of various electronic equipment and capacitors. The company's product offerings include aluminum electrolytic capacitors, E-Cap SMD type (aluminum electrolytic SMD), radial lead type (general), radial lead type (low ESR), snap-in, lug terminal type, screw terminal type, aluminum polymer, polymer radial lead type, polymer SMD type, and other products.
47GF Score

Get the complete analysis for ROCO:8042

Probability of Financial Distress (%) is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

NT$129.50
Price
NT$41.73
GF Value