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Scorpius Holdings (Scorpius Holdings) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 72.04% (As of Jun. 10, 2024)


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What is Scorpius Holdings Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Scorpius Holdings's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 72.04%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of Scorpius Holdings's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Biotechnology subindustry, Scorpius Holdings's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Scorpius Holdings's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Biotechnology Industry

For the Biotechnology industry and Healthcare sector, Scorpius Holdings's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Scorpius Holdings's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



Scorpius Holdings Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=0.95

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=72.04%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


Scorpius Holdings  (AMEX:SCPX) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Scorpius Holdings Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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Scorpius Holdings (Scorpius Holdings) Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
627 Davis Drive, Suite 300, Morrisville, NC, USA, 27560
NightHawk Biosciences Inc is a commercial-stage company with a fully integrated ecosystem to accelerate the discovery and development of novel therapies that arm the immune system. By leveraging its proprietary platforms, the company is advancing its first-in-class product portfolio with a focus on cancer and inflammatory and infectious diseases. Its current pipeline has categories: Oncology, immunology and molecular biology.
Executives
Prendergast John K A director ROBERTS SHERIDAN & KOTEL, 12 EAST 49TH STREET 30TH FL, NEW YORK NY 10017
Jeffrey Alan Wolf director, officer: Chief Executive Officer 3985 RESEARCH PARK DRIVE, ANN ARBOR MI 48108
Smith Edward B Iii director C/O BRIGHTLINE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC, 1120 AVE OF THE AMERICAS, SUITE 1505, NEW YORK NY 10036
William L. Ostrander officer: CFO/Corp Secy 801 CAPITOLA DRIVE, SUITE 12, DURHAM NC 27713
John J Monahan director
Robert James Jakobs officer: VP Finance/Controller/Secty PO BOX 14487, DURHAM NC 27709
Jeff Tobin Hutchins officer: Chief Scientific Officer 15823 S. 4210 RD., CLAREMORE OK 74017
Ann A Rosar officer: VP of Finance and Controller C/O 801 CAPITOLA DRIVE, DURHAM NC 27713
Michael Kharitonov director 100 EUROPA DRIVE, CHAPEL HILL NC 27517
Timothy J Creech officer: Chief Financial Officer C/O TRIMERIS, INC., 3518 WESTGATE DR. SUITE 300, DURHAM NC 27707
Stephen J. Dipalma officer: Interim CFO C/O SPERO THERAPEUTICS, INC., 675 MASSACHUSETTS AVENUE, 14TH FLOOR, CAMBRIDGE MA 02139
Aristar Heat, Llc 10 percent owner 1120 AVENUE OF THE AMERICAS, SUITE 1514, NEW YORK NY 10036
Aristar Capital Management, Llc 10 percent owner 1120 AVENUE OF THE AMERICAS, SUITE 1514, NEW YORK NY 10036
Aristar Capital Management Gp, Llc 10 percent owner 1120 AVENUE OF THE AMERICAS, SUITE 1514, NEW YORK NY 10036
Taylor Schreiber officer: Vice President of Research 100 EUROPA DRIVE, CHAPEL HILL NC 27517