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Seaboard (Seaboard) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.03% (As of May. 21, 2024)


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What is Seaboard Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Seaboard's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.03%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of Seaboard's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Conglomerates subindustry, Seaboard's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Seaboard's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Conglomerates Industry

For the Conglomerates industry and Industrials sector, Seaboard's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Seaboard's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



Seaboard Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-8.16

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.03%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


Seaboard  (AMEX:SEB) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Seaboard Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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Seaboard (Seaboard) Business Description

Industry
GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Industrials » Conglomerates » Seaboard Corp (AMEX:SEB) » Definitions » Probability of Financial Distress (%)
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
9000 West 67th Street, Merriam, KS, USA, 66202
Seaboard Corp is a diversified group of companies that operate in agricultural and ocean transport businesses. The company is engaged in hog production and pork processing in the United States; commodity trading and grain processing in Africa and South America; cargo shipping services in the U.S., Caribbean and Central and South America; sugar and alcohol production in Argentina; and electric power generation in the Dominican Republic. It also has an equity method investment in Butterball, LLC, a producer and processor of turkey products. The group operates six business segments: pork, commodity trading and milling, marine, sugar and alcohol, power, and turkey. It operates in 45 countries, with a concentration in the U.S. and countries in Central and South America and Africa.
Executives
Cerezo Baena Laura P officer: Assistant Secretary 9000 W 67TH STREET, SHAWNEE MISSION KS 66202
Barbara M Smith officer: Interim Controller and PAO 9000 W 67TH STREET, MERRIAM KS 66202
Frances B Shifman director 9000 WEST 67TH STREET, SHAWNEE MISSION KS 66202
Vacas Jacques Emma Alejandra officer: Assistant Treasurer 9000 WEST 67TH STREET, SHAWNEE MISSION KS 66202
James T Hubler officer: Assoc. Gen Counsel & Asst. Sec 9000 WEST 67TH STREET, SHAWNEE MISSION KS 66202
Benjamin R Hodes officer: Vice President, Finance 9000 WEST 67TH STREET, SHAWNEE MISSION KS 66202
Elizabeth A Loudon officer: Vice President, Tax 9000 WEST 67TH STREET, SHAWNEE MISSION KS 66202
John B Warner officer: Vice President-Human Resources 9000 WEST 67TH STREET, SHAWNEE MISSION KS 66202
Adriana N Hoskins officer: Vice President and Treasurer 9000 WEST 67TH STREET, MERRIAM KS 66202
Peter B Brown officer: Pres. & CEO, Seaboard Foods 9000 WEST 67TH STREET, SHAWNEE MISSION KS 66202
Jacob A. Bresky officer: Vice Pres-Business Development 9000 WEST 67TH STREET, 3RD FLOOR, SHAWNEE MISSION KS 66202
Ellen S. Bresky director, 10 percent owner 9000 WEST 67TH STREET, 3RD FLOOR, SHAWNEE MISSION KS 66202
Douglas W Baena director
Darwin E Sand officer: Pres. & CEO, Seaboard Foods 9000 WEST 67TH STREET, SHAWNEE MISSION KS 66202
Winfield Ivan J. Jr officer: VP-Information Technology 9000 WEST 67TH STREET, SHAWNEE MISSION KS 66202