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Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, GHY Culture & Media Holding Co's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.20%.
Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.
GHY Culture & Media Holding Co (SGX:XJB) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation
Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.
GHY Culture & Media Holding Co Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms
SGX:XJB vs NFLX, DIS, WBD: Probability of Financial Distress (%) Comparison
For the Entertainment subindustry, GHY Culture & Media Holding Co's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:
* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.
GHY Culture & Media Holding Co Probability of Financial Distress (%) vs Media - Diversified Industry
For the Media - Diversified industry and Communication Services sector, GHY Culture & Media Holding Co's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:
* The bar in red indicates where GHY Culture & Media Holding Co's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.
GHY Culture & Media Holding Co Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation
Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.
The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:
LPFD
=
-20.12 * NIMTAAVG
+
1.60 * TLMTA
-
7.88 * EXRETAVG
+
1.55 * SIGMA
-
0.005 * RSIZE
-
2.27 * CASHMTA
+
0.070 * MB
-
0.09 * PRICE
-
8.87
=
-6.22
The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:
4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500
EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.
5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns
For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).
What does a Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.20% mean?
GHY Culture & Media Holding Co (SGX:XJB) has a Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.20% as of Aug. 04, 2026.
Is GHY Culture & Media Holding Co's Probability of Financial Distress (%) too high?
GHY Culture & Media Holding Co's current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.20%.
How does GHY Culture & Media Holding Co's Probability of Financial Distress (%) compare to NFLX and DIS?
GHY Culture & Media Holding Co's Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.20% can be compared against companies in the Media - Diversified industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Probability of Financial Distress (%) for a Media - Diversified company?
A good Probability of Financial Distress (%) depends on the Media - Diversified industry context. However, Probability of Financial Distress (%) should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Probability of Financial Distress (%) mean?
A high Probability of Financial Distress (%) can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. GHY Culture & Media Holding Co's current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.20%. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is GHY Culture & Media Holding Co stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, GHY Culture & Media Holding Co (SGX:XJB) is currently considered Possible Value Trap. The stock's GF Value™ is S$0.25, compared to a current price of S$0.07 — trading 71.6% below its estimated fair value. The current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.20%. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Probability of Financial Distress (%) calculated?
Probability of Financial Distress (%) is calculated from a company's financial statements. For GHY Culture & Media Holding Co (SGX:XJB), the current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.20% as of Aug. 04, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.
GHY Culture & Media Holding Co Ltd is involved in the entertainment business. It focuses on the production and promotion of dramas, films, and concerts in the Asia Pacific region. The business activities of the group function through four segments, namely Television Program and Film Production, Concert Production, Talent Management Services and Costumes, Props, and Make-up Services and Education. The company derives the majority of its revenue from the Television Program Film Production segment, which is engaged in the production of dramas and films and script production. Geographically, the business presence of the firm is seen in the regions of Singapore, Australia, Japan, China, and Malaysia, with the majority of the revenue from China.
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