GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Healthcare » Biotechnology » Skye Bioscience Inc (NAS:SKYE) » Definitions » Probability of Financial Distress (%)

Skye Bioscience (Skye Bioscience) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.73% (As of May. 21, 2024)


View and export this data going back to 2014. Start your Free Trial

What is Skye Bioscience Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Skye Bioscience's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.73%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of Skye Bioscience's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Biotechnology subindustry, Skye Bioscience's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Skye Bioscience's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Biotechnology Industry

For the Biotechnology industry and Healthcare sector, Skye Bioscience's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Skye Bioscience's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



Skye Bioscience Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-4.91

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.73%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


Skye Bioscience  (NAS:SKYE) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Skye Bioscience Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Skye Bioscience's Probability of Financial Distress (%) provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Skye Bioscience (Skye Bioscience) Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
11250 El Camino Real, Suite 100, San Diego, CA, USA, 92130
Skye Bioscience Inc is a pre-clinical pharmaceutical company located in San Diego, California. It researches and develops and plans to commercialize cannabinoid derivatives through its own directed research efforts and through several license agreements with the University of Mississippi. The company's lead compound, SBI-100, is initially being developed to treat ocular disease.
Executives
Punit Dhillon director 5820 NANCY RIDGE DRIVE, SAN DIEGO CA 92121
John D Diekman 10 percent owner C/O 5 AM VENTURES, 501 2ND STREET, SUITE 350, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94107
5am Partners Vii, Llc 10 percent owner 501 2ND STREET, SUITE 350, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94107
Paul A. Grayson director 10578 SCIENCE CENTER DRIVE, SUITE 200, SAN DIEGO CA 92121
5am Ventures Vii, L.p. 10 percent owner 501 2ND STREET, SUITE 350, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94107
Kush Parmar 10 percent owner C/O 5AM VENTURES, 501 2ND STREET, SUITE 350, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94107
5am Partners Ii, Llc 10 percent owner 501 2ND STREET, SUITE 350, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94107
5am Co-investors Ii Lp 10 percent owner 501 2ND STREET, SUITE 350, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94107
Versant Ventures Iii, Llc 10 percent owner ONE SANSOME STREET, SUITE 1650, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94104
Scott M Rocklage 10 percent owner C/O 5AM VENTURES, 501 2ND STREET, SUITE 350, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94107
Andrew J. Schwab director, 10 percent owner C/O 5AM VENTURES, 501 2ND STREET, SUITE 350, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94107
Versant Side Fund Iii, L.p. 10 percent owner ONE SANSOME STREET, SUITE 1650, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94104
5am Ventures Ii Lp 10 percent owner 501 2ND STREET, SUITE 350, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94107
Versant Venture Capital Iii, L.p. 10 percent owner ONE SANSOME STREET, SUITE 1650, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94104
Deborah H. Charych director 1001 17TH ST, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94107