Rizap Group (SSE:2928) Probability of Financial Distress (%): 0.04% (As of Jun. 26, 2026)


SSE:2928 Rizap Group SSE:2928
52 GF Score
Price 円172.00
GF Value 円222.59
Valuation Modestly Undervalued
! 4 Warning Signs
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What is Rizap Group Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Rizap Group SSE:2928 52 Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.04% as of Jun. 26, 2026. GuruFocus rates SSE:2928 with a GF Score™ of 52/100 and a GF Value™ of 円222.59 (Modestly Undervalued). The stock has 4 warning signs investors should review.

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Rizap Group's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.04%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Rizap Group  (SSE:2928) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Rizap Group Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms


SSE:2928 vs CASY, WSM, ULTA: Probability of Financial Distress (%) Comparison

For the Specialty Retail subindustry, Rizap Group's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Rizap Group Probability of Financial Distress (%) vs Retail - Cyclical Industry

For the Retail - Cyclical industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Rizap Group's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Rizap Group's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.


SSE:2928
52GF Score
Rizap Group SSE:2928
Probability of Financial Distress (%) is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
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Rizap Group Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-7.89

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.04%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).

What does a Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.04% mean?
Rizap Group (SSE:2928) has a Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.04% as of Jun. 26, 2026.
Is Rizap Group's Probability of Financial Distress (%) too high?
Rizap Group's current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.04%. Overall, Rizap Group has a GF Score™ of 52/100 and is considered Modestly Undervalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Rizap Group's Probability of Financial Distress (%) compare to CASY and WSM?
Rizap Group's Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.04% can be compared against companies in the Retail - Cyclical industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Probability of Financial Distress (%) for a Retail - Cyclical company?
A good Probability of Financial Distress (%) depends on the Retail - Cyclical industry context. However, Probability of Financial Distress (%) should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Probability of Financial Distress (%) mean?
A high Probability of Financial Distress (%) can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Rizap Group's current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.04%. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Rizap Group stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Rizap Group (SSE:2928) is currently considered Modestly Undervalued. The stock's GF Value™ is 円222.59, compared to a current price of 円172.00 — trading 22.7% below its estimated fair value. The current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.04%. Rizap Group's overall GF Score™ is 52/100 with 4 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Probability of Financial Distress (%) calculated?
Probability of Financial Distress (%) is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Rizap Group (SSE:2928), the current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.04% as of Jun. 26, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Rizap Group (SSE:2928) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Rizap Group stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of 円172.00 is trading 22.7% below its estimated GF Value™ of 円222.59. GuruFocus considers Rizap Group to be Modestly Undervalued.

Key valuation signals for SSE:2928:

  • Probability of Financial Distress (%): 0.04%
  • GF Value™: 円222.59 vs. price of 円172.00 (22.7% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 52/100 with 4 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the SSE:2928 stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Rizap Group Business Description

Address Kitashinjuku 2-21-1, Shinjuku Front Tower, 31st Floor, Shinjuku-ku, Yubinbango, Tokyo, JPN, 169-0074
Rizap Group is engaged in health and fitness. The Company sells its beauty and health products through mail order. The company manufactures and sales of beauty related products, health foods, Apparel, interior goods. Its other business includes Housing new construction, renovation, Mega solar business, and entertainment business. Its products include mud Awawa, RIZAP Golf, among others.
52GF Score

Get the complete analysis for SSE:2928

Probability of Financial Distress (%) is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

円172.00
Price
円222.59
GF Value