Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, The Southern Rubber Industry JSC's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.04%.
Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.
The Southern Rubber Industry JSC (STC:CSM) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation
Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.
The Southern Rubber Industry JSC Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms
STC:CSM vs ORLY, AZO, BWA: Probability of Financial Distress (%) Comparison
For the Auto Parts subindustry, The Southern Rubber Industry JSC's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:
* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.
The Southern Rubber Industry JSC Probability of Financial Distress (%) vs Vehicles & Parts Industry
For the Vehicles & Parts industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, The Southern Rubber Industry JSC's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:
* The bar in red indicates where The Southern Rubber Industry JSC's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.
The Southern Rubber Industry JSC Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation
Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.
The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:
LPFD
=
-20.12 * NIMTAAVG
+
1.60 * TLMTA
-
7.88 * EXRETAVG
+
1.55 * SIGMA
-
0.005 * RSIZE
-
2.27 * CASHMTA
+
0.070 * MB
-
0.09 * PRICE
-
8.87
=
-7.83
The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:
4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500
EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.
5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns
For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).
What does a Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.04% mean?
The Southern Rubber Industry JSC (STC:CSM) has a Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.04% as of Jun. 26, 2026.
Is The Southern Rubber Industry JSC's Probability of Financial Distress (%) too high?
The Southern Rubber Industry JSC's current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.04%. Overall, The Southern Rubber Industry JSC has a GF Score™ of 66/100 and is considered Fairly Valued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does The Southern Rubber Industry JSC's Probability of Financial Distress (%) compare to ORLY and AZO?
The Southern Rubber Industry JSC's Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.04% can be compared against companies in the Vehicles & Parts industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Probability of Financial Distress (%) for a Vehicles & Parts company?
A good Probability of Financial Distress (%) depends on the Vehicles & Parts industry context. However, Probability of Financial Distress (%) should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Probability of Financial Distress (%) mean?
A high Probability of Financial Distress (%) can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Southern Rubber Industry JSC's current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.04%. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is The Southern Rubber Industry JSC stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, The Southern Rubber Industry JSC (STC:CSM) is currently considered Fairly Valued. The stock's GF Value™ is ₫12,389.12, compared to a current price of ₫12,800.00 — trading 3.3% above its estimated fair value. The current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.04%. The Southern Rubber Industry JSC's overall GF Score™ is 66/100 with 6 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Probability of Financial Distress (%) calculated?
Probability of Financial Distress (%) is calculated from a company's financial statements. For The Southern Rubber Industry JSC (STC:CSM), the current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.04% as of Jun. 26, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.
Is The Southern Rubber Industry JSC (STC:CSM) Overvalued in 2026?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, The Southern Rubber Industry JSC stock appears to be overvalued.
The current stock price of ₫12,800.00 is trading 3.3% above its estimated GF Value™ of ₫12,389.12.
GuruFocus considers The Southern Rubber Industry JSC to be Fairly Valued.
Key valuation signals for STC:CSM:
Probability of Financial Distress (%): 0.04%
GF Value™: ₫12,389.12 vs. price of ₫12,800.00 (3.3% above fair value)
No single metric tells the full story. See the STC:CSM stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.
The Southern Rubber Industry JSC Business Description
The Southern Rubber Industry JSC is a Vietnam-based manufacturer and seller of tires and tubes. The company offers trucks and light trucks tires and tubes, motorcycle tires and tubes, passenger car radial tires, bicycle tires and tubes, industrial tires and tubes, electric vehicle tires and tubes, specific tires and tubes, and other products. The organization has a business presence in Vietnam and other countries.
66GF Score
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