Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Star Royalties's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.22%.
Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.
Star Royalties (OTCPK:STRFF) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation
Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.
Star Royalties Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms
STRFF vs HL: Probability of Financial Distress (%) Comparison
For the Other Precious Metals & Mining subindustry, Star Royalties's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:
* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.
Star Royalties Probability of Financial Distress (%) vs Metals & Mining Industry
For the Metals & Mining industry and Basic Materials sector, Star Royalties's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:
* The bar in red indicates where Star Royalties's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.
Star Royalties Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation
Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.
The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:
LPFD
=
-20.12 * NIMTAAVG
+
1.60 * TLMTA
-
7.88 * EXRETAVG
+
1.55 * SIGMA
-
0.005 * RSIZE
-
2.27 * CASHMTA
+
0.070 * MB
-
0.09 * PRICE
-
8.87
=
-6.12
The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:
4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500
EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.
5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns
For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).
What does a Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.22% mean?
Star Royalties (STRFF) has a Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.22% as of Jun. 24, 2026.
Is Star Royalties' Probability of Financial Distress (%) too high?
Star Royalties' current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.22%. Overall, Star Royalties has a GF Score™ of 25/100 and is considered Significantly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Star Royalties' Probability of Financial Distress (%) compare to HL?
Star Royalties' Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.22% can be compared against companies in the Metals & Mining industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Probability of Financial Distress (%) for a Metals & Mining company?
A good Probability of Financial Distress (%) depends on the Metals & Mining industry context. However, Probability of Financial Distress (%) should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Probability of Financial Distress (%) mean?
A high Probability of Financial Distress (%) can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Star Royalties's current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.22%. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Star Royalties stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Star Royalties (STRFF) is currently considered Significantly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is $0.10, compared to a current price of $0.33 — trading 234% above its estimated fair value. The current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.22%. Star Royalties' overall GF Score™ is 25/100 with 2 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Probability of Financial Distress (%) calculated?
Probability of Financial Distress (%) is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Star Royalties (STRFF), the current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.22% as of Jun. 24, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.
Is Star Royalties (STRFF) Overvalued in 2026?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Star Royalties stock appears to be overvalued.
The current stock price of $0.33 is trading 234% above its estimated GF Value™ of $0.10.
GuruFocus considers Star Royalties to be Significantly Overvalued.
Key valuation signals for STRFF:
Probability of Financial Distress (%): 0.22%
GF Value™: $0.10 vs. price of $0.33 (234% above fair value)
No single metric tells the full story. See the STRFF stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.
Star Royalties Ltd is a royalty and streaming investment company that offers investors exposure to precious metals and carbon credit prices, as well as cleantech and other decarbonization projects. The company mainly funds precious metals projects in Tier 1 jurisdictions that have low geopolitical risk, visibility to cash flow, and wealth creation potential through exploration. The royalty and stream assets in its portfolio include Copperstone Gold Project, Elk Gold Project, Keysbrook Project, NativState Improved Forest Management Carbon Offset Portfolio, MOBISMART, and the Elizabeth Metis Settlement Forest Carbon Offset Project. The company's key assets are located across the United States, Canada, Australia, and Mongolia.
25GF Score
Get the complete analysis for STRFF
Probability of Financial Distress (%) is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.
Quick Browse
Personalize
Premium Gurus 
Create New Portfolio
STRFF has been successfully added to your 