TKH Group NV (STU:TWSA) Probability of Financial Distress (%): 0.02% (As of Jun. 26, 2026)


STU:TWSA TKH Group NV STU:TWSA
78 GF Score
Price €43.44
GF Value €39.30
Valuation Modestly Overvalued
! 11 Warning Signs
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What is TKH Group NV Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

TKH Group NV STU:TWSA +1.69% 78 Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.02% as of Jun. 26, 2026. GuruFocus rates STU:TWSA with a GF Score™ of 78/100 and a GF Value™ of €39.30 (Modestly Overvalued). The stock has 11 warning signs investors should review.

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, TKH Group NV's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.02%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


TKH Group NV  (STU:TWSA) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


TKH Group NV Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms


STU:TWSA vs CSCO, CIEN, MSI: Probability of Financial Distress (%) Comparison

For the Communication Equipment subindustry, TKH Group NV's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


TKH Group NV Probability of Financial Distress (%) vs Hardware Industry

For the Hardware industry and Technology sector, TKH Group NV's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where TKH Group NV's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.


STU:TWSA
78GF Score
TKH Group NV STU:TWSA
Probability of Financial Distress (%) is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
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TKH Group NV Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-8.75

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.02%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).

What does a Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.02% mean?
TKH Group NV (STU:TWSA) has a Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.02% as of Jun. 26, 2026.
Is TKH Group NV's Probability of Financial Distress (%) too high?
TKH Group NV's current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.02%. Overall, TKH Group NV has a GF Score™ of 78/100 and is considered Modestly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does TKH Group NV's Probability of Financial Distress (%) compare to CSCO and CIEN?
TKH Group NV's Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.02% can be compared against companies in the Hardware industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Probability of Financial Distress (%) for a Hardware company?
A good Probability of Financial Distress (%) depends on the Hardware industry context. However, Probability of Financial Distress (%) should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Probability of Financial Distress (%) mean?
A high Probability of Financial Distress (%) can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. TKH Group NV's current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.02%. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is TKH Group NV stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, TKH Group NV (STU:TWSA) is currently considered Modestly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is €39.30, compared to a current price of €43.44 — trading 10.5% above its estimated fair value. The current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.02%. TKH Group NV's overall GF Score™ is 78/100 with 11 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Probability of Financial Distress (%) calculated?
Probability of Financial Distress (%) is calculated from a company's financial statements. For TKH Group NV (STU:TWSA), the current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.02% as of Jun. 26, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is TKH Group NV (STU:TWSA) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, TKH Group NV stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of €43.44 is trading 10.5% above its estimated GF Value™ of €39.30. GuruFocus considers TKH Group NV to be Modestly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for STU:TWSA:

  • Probability of Financial Distress (%): 0.02%
  • GF Value™: €39.30 vs. price of €43.44 (10.5% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 78/100 with 11 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the STU:TWSA stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


TKH Group NV Business Description

Address Spinnerstraat 15, PO Box 5, Haaksbergen, OV, NLD, 7481 KJ
TKH Group NV is a provider of vertical-specific communications and connectivity solutions. Its operations are organized into three segments, which include Smart Vision systems, Smart Connectivity systems, and Smart Manufacturing systems. The firm derives revenue from the Netherlands, Europe (other), Asia, North America, and other. The Smart Vision systems segment operates through a coherent, vertically integrated business model combining hardware, software, and service focused on delivering end-to-end 2D/3D vision and security solutions. Smart Manufacturing systems segment focuses on delivering automated, software-driven production systems for specialized industrial markets. Smart Connectivity systems segment operates as a technology-driven provider of specialized connectivity solutions.
78GF Score

Get the complete analysis for STU:TWSA

Probability of Financial Distress (%) is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

€43.44
Price
€39.30
GF Value