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Sundance Strategies (Sundance Strategies) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.07% (As of Jun. 07, 2024)


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What is Sundance Strategies Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Sundance Strategies's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.07%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of Sundance Strategies's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Insurance - Diversified subindustry, Sundance Strategies's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Sundance Strategies's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Insurance Industry

For the Insurance industry and Financial Services sector, Sundance Strategies's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Sundance Strategies's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



Sundance Strategies Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-7.26

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.07%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


Sundance Strategies  (OTCPK:SUND) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Sundance Strategies Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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Sundance Strategies (Sundance Strategies) Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
4626 North 300 West, Suite No. 365, Provo, UT, USA, 84604
Sundance Strategies Inc is a specialty financial services company. It is engaged in the business of purchasing or acquiring life insurance policies and residual interests in or financial products tied to life insurance policies and residual interests involving life insurance policies and financial products. The company focuses on the purchase and sale of net insurance benefit contracts (NIB) based on life insurance policies.
Executives
Randall F. Pearson director, officer: President 770 S. PALISADE DR., OREM UT 84097
Kraig Higginson director 2296 NORTH 470 E, PROVO UT 84604
Matthew G. Pearson officer: Chief Operating Officer P.O. BOX 680518, PARK CITY UT 84068
Ty D. Mattingly director, 10 percent owner 22 WEST 620 SOUTH, OREM UT 84058
Glenn S. Dickman director, officer: Secretary 13559 TUSCALEE WAY, DRAPER UT 84020
Mitchell D. Burton 10 percent owner 1343 S. 1100 E., OREM UT 84097
Jonathan Craig Moffitt director, officer: President and CEO 4626 NORTH 300 WEST, SUITE 375, PROVO UT 84604
Del R. Higginson director, officer: CFO, Secretary and Treasurer 11148 NORTH SUNFLOWER DRIVE, HIGHLAND UT 84003
Kelly Trimble 10 percent owner 4685 HIGHLAND DRIVE, SUITE #207, SALT LAKE CITY UT 84117
Mark C Burdge director, 10 percent owner 815 EAST OSMOND LANE, PROVO UT 84604
Howard Abrams director, officer: CEO and CFO
Mark Sansom other: No longer a 10% holder 4061 POWER CIRCLE, SALT LAKE CITY UT 84124
Globe Energy Technologies, Llc 10 percent owner 5055 N. EDGEWOOD DR, PO BOX 222, PROVE UT 84604
Lance Musicant director, 10 percent owner, officer: President,CFO, CEO 5017 WILD BUFFALO AVE, LAS VEGAS NV 89131
Allen Musicant director, 10 percent owner, officer: Vice President 5017 WILD BUFFALO AVE, LAS VEGAS NV 89131