Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Uni-President Enterprises's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.03%.
Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.
Uni-President Enterprises (TPE:1216) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation
Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.
Uni-President Enterprises Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms
TPE:1216 vs KHC, GIS: Probability of Financial Distress (%) Comparison
For the Packaged Foods subindustry, Uni-President Enterprises's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:
* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.
Uni-President Enterprises Probability of Financial Distress (%) vs Consumer Packaged Goods Industry
For the Consumer Packaged Goods industry and Consumer Defensive sector, Uni-President Enterprises's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:
* The bar in red indicates where Uni-President Enterprises's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.
Uni-President Enterprises Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation
Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.
The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:
LPFD
=
-20.12 * NIMTAAVG
+
1.60 * TLMTA
-
7.88 * EXRETAVG
+
1.55 * SIGMA
-
0.005 * RSIZE
-
2.27 * CASHMTA
+
0.070 * MB
-
0.09 * PRICE
-
8.87
=
-8.00
The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:
4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500
EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.
5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns
For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).
What does a Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.03% mean?
Uni-President Enterprises (TPE:1216) has a Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.03% as of Jun. 25, 2026.
Is Uni-President Enterprises' Probability of Financial Distress (%) too high?
Uni-President Enterprises' current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.03%. Overall, Uni-President Enterprises has a GF Score™ of 81/100 and is considered Modestly Undervalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Uni-President Enterprises' Probability of Financial Distress (%) compare to KHC and GIS?
Uni-President Enterprises' Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.03% can be compared against companies in the Consumer Packaged Goods industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Probability of Financial Distress (%) for a Consumer Packaged Goods company?
A good Probability of Financial Distress (%) depends on the Consumer Packaged Goods industry context. However, Probability of Financial Distress (%) should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Probability of Financial Distress (%) mean?
A high Probability of Financial Distress (%) can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Uni-President Enterprises's current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.03%. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Uni-President Enterprises stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Uni-President Enterprises (TPE:1216) is currently considered Modestly Undervalued. The stock's GF Value™ is NT$89.35, compared to a current price of NT$75.10 — trading 15.9% below its estimated fair value. The current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.03%. Uni-President Enterprises' overall GF Score™ is 81/100 with 6 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Probability of Financial Distress (%) calculated?
Probability of Financial Distress (%) is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Uni-President Enterprises (TPE:1216), the current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.03% as of Jun. 25, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.
Is Uni-President Enterprises (TPE:1216) Overvalued in 2026?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Uni-President Enterprises stock appears to be undervalued.
The current stock price of NT$75.10 is trading 15.9% below its estimated GF Value™ of NT$89.35.
GuruFocus considers Uni-President Enterprises to be Modestly Undervalued.
Key valuation signals for TPE:1216:
Probability of Financial Distress (%): 0.03%
GF Value™: NT$89.35 vs. price of NT$75.10 (15.9% below fair value)
No single metric tells the full story. See the TPE:1216 stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.
Uni-President Enterprises Corp is food conglomerates in Asia. It produces and sells a comprehensive range of food products through its company and affiliates. Core business includes food manufacturing and investments in other related business. The company operates in three segments- Dairy Department, Beverage Department and Food Department. Product categories include feeds, flour, edible oils, soy sauce, meat products, instant noodles, bread, beverages, dairy products, frozen food, and health food. Through its network of 200 affiliates, its convenient stores, retail, logistics, finance, and recreation operations are located all across Taiwan, mainland China, and Southeast Asia.
81GF Score
Get the complete analysis for TPE:1216
Probability of Financial Distress (%) is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.
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