VTDRF (Vantage Drilling International) Probability of Financial Distress (%): 0.00% (As of Jul. 07, 2026)


VTDRF Vantage Drilling International Ltd VTDRF
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What is Vantage Drilling International Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Vantage Drilling International VTDRF 8 Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.00% as of Jul. 07, 2026. GuruFocus rates VTDRF with a GF Score™ of 8/100.

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Vantage Drilling International's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.00%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Vantage Drilling International  (OTCPK:VTDRF) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Vantage Drilling International Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms


VTDRF vs SOC, NBR, NE: Probability of Financial Distress (%) Comparison

For the Oil & Gas Drilling subindustry, Vantage Drilling International's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Vantage Drilling International Probability of Financial Distress (%) vs Oil & Gas Industry

For the Oil & Gas industry and Energy sector, Vantage Drilling International's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Vantage Drilling International's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.


VTDRF
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Vantage Drilling International Ltd VTDRF
Probability of Financial Distress (%) is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
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Vantage Drilling International Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=0.00

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.00%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).

What does a Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.00% mean?
Vantage Drilling International (VTDRF) has a Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.00% as of Jul. 07, 2026.
Is Vantage Drilling International's Probability of Financial Distress (%) too high?
Vantage Drilling International's current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.00%. Overall, Vantage Drilling International has a GF Score™ of 8/100, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Vantage Drilling International's Probability of Financial Distress (%) compare to SOC and NBR?
Vantage Drilling International's Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.00% can be compared against companies in the Oil & Gas industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Probability of Financial Distress (%) for an Oil & Gas company?
A good Probability of Financial Distress (%) depends on the Oil & Gas industry context. However, Probability of Financial Distress (%) should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Probability of Financial Distress (%) mean?
A high Probability of Financial Distress (%) can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Vantage Drilling International's current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.00%. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Vantage Drilling International stock overvalued right now?
Vantage Drilling International (VTDRF) has a current Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.00%. The current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.00%. Vantage Drilling International's overall GF Score™ is 8/100. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Probability of Financial Distress (%) calculated?
Probability of Financial Distress (%) is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Vantage Drilling International (VTDRF), the current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.00% as of Jul. 07, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Vantage Drilling International Business Description

Industry EnergyOil & Gas
Other Exchanges VDI:Norway
Address 777 Post Oak Boulevard, Suite 440, Houston, TX, USA, 77056
Vantage Drilling International Ltd is an international offshore drilling company engaged in providing contract drilling services and related support services. The company operates through two segments: Drilling Services, which includes activities related to owned rigs, and Managed Services, which involves managing and supporting rigs owned by third parties. It mainly provides offshore drilling services to oil and gas companies in international markets.
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Probability of Financial Distress (%) is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

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