Asseco Business Solutions (WAR:ABS) Probability of Financial Distress (%): 0.02% (As of Aug. 02, 2026)

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WAR:ABS Asseco Business Solutions SA WAR:ABS
93 GF Score
Price zł88.00
GF Value zł79.02
Valuation Modestly Overvalued
! 3 Warning Signs
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What is Asseco Business Solutions Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Asseco Business Solutions WAR:ABS 93 Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.02% as of Aug. 02, 2026. GuruFocus rates WAR:ABS with a GF Score™ of 93/100 and a GF Value™ of zł79.02 (Modestly Overvalued). The stock has 3 warning signs investors should review.

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Asseco Business Solutions's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.02%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Asseco Business Solutions  (WAR:ABS) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Asseco Business Solutions Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms


WAR:ABS vs QH, SHOP, UBER: Probability of Financial Distress (%) Comparison

For the Software - Application subindustry, Asseco Business Solutions's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Asseco Business Solutions Probability of Financial Distress (%) vs Software Industry

For the Software industry and Technology sector, Asseco Business Solutions's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Asseco Business Solutions's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.


WAR:ABS
93GF Score
Asseco Business Solutions SA WAR:ABS
Probability of Financial Distress (%) is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
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Asseco Business Solutions Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-8.55

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.02%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).

What does a Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.02% mean?
Asseco Business Solutions (WAR:ABS) has a Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.02% as of Aug. 02, 2026.
Is Asseco Business Solutions' Probability of Financial Distress (%) too high?
Asseco Business Solutions' current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.02%. Overall, Asseco Business Solutions has a GF Score™ of 93/100 and is considered Modestly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Asseco Business Solutions' Probability of Financial Distress (%) compare to QH and SHOP?
Asseco Business Solutions' Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.02% can be compared against companies in the Software industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Probability of Financial Distress (%) for a Software company?
A good Probability of Financial Distress (%) depends on the Software industry context. However, Probability of Financial Distress (%) should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Probability of Financial Distress (%) mean?
A high Probability of Financial Distress (%) can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Asseco Business Solutions's current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.02%. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Asseco Business Solutions stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Asseco Business Solutions (WAR:ABS) is currently considered Modestly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is zł79.02, compared to a current price of zł88.00 — trading 11.4% above its estimated fair value. The current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.02%. Asseco Business Solutions' overall GF Score™ is 93/100 with 3 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Probability of Financial Distress (%) calculated?
Probability of Financial Distress (%) is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Asseco Business Solutions (WAR:ABS), the current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.02% as of Aug. 02, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Asseco Business Solutions (WAR:ABS) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Asseco Business Solutions stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of zł88.00 is trading 11.4% above its estimated GF Value™ of zł79.02. GuruFocus considers Asseco Business Solutions to be Modestly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for WAR:ABS:

  • Probability of Financial Distress (%): 0.02%
  • GF Value™: zł79.02 vs. price of zł88.00 (11.4% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 93/100 with 3 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the WAR:ABS stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Asseco Business Solutions Business Description

Other Exchanges 9QQ:Germany
Address ul. Konrada Wallenroda 4c, Lublin, POL, 20-607
Asseco Business Solutions SA serves as a Competence Centre accountable for the development of ERP software, mobile reporting systems (SFA), factoring systems and software for SMEs. Its offering also includes the provision, adaptation, and configuration of business applications for enterprises, design, and construction of infrastructure at the client or in the outsourcing model, providing equipment and system software of renowned partners, training for client's personnel, service and remote support for users. The company generates most of its revenue from its ERP Systems segment mainly in Poland.
93GF Score

Get the complete analysis for WAR:ABS

Probability of Financial Distress (%) is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

zł88.00
Price
zł79.02
GF Value