GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Energy » Other Energy Sources » Western Uranium & Vanadium Corp (OTCPK:WSTRF) » Definitions » Probability of Financial Distress (%)

Western Uranium & Vanadium (Western Uranium & Vanadium) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.04% (As of Jun. 10, 2024)


View and export this data going back to 2016. Start your Free Trial

What is Western Uranium & Vanadium Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Western Uranium & Vanadium's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.04%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of Western Uranium & Vanadium's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Uranium subindustry, Western Uranium & Vanadium's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Western Uranium & Vanadium's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Other Energy Sources Industry

For the Other Energy Sources industry and Energy sector, Western Uranium & Vanadium's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Western Uranium & Vanadium's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



Western Uranium & Vanadium Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-7.76

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.04%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


Western Uranium & Vanadium  (OTCPK:WSTRF) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Western Uranium & Vanadium Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Western Uranium & Vanadium's Probability of Financial Distress (%) provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Western Uranium & Vanadium (Western Uranium & Vanadium) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
330 Bay Street, Suite 1400, Toronto, ON, CAN, M5H 2S8
Western Uranium & Vanadium Corp is a Canada based company involved in industrial metals and mines business sector. The company is involved in the acquisition and development of uranium and vanadium resource properties in the states of Utah and Colorado in the United States of America.
Executives
Wilder Andrew J.s. director 27 REYNOLDS LANE, KATONAH NY 10536
Bryan J Murphy director 1681 BRAMSEY DRIVE, MISSISSAUGA A6 L5J 2H9
Robert R. Klein officer: Chief Financial Officer 7 BRENTWOOD COURT, WARREN NJ 07059
Baobab Asset Management Llc 10 percent owner 3 GREENWICH OFFICE PARK, SUITE 102, GREENWICH CT 06831
George Edwinlee Glasier director, 10 percent owner, officer: Chief Executive Officer 31161 HIGHWAY 90, PO BOX 825, NUCLA CO 81424
Russell S. Fryer director, 10 percent owner, officer: Executive Chairman 3 GREENWICH OFFICE PARK, SUITE 102, GREENWICH CT 06831
Siebels Hard Asset Fund, Ltd. 10 percent owner C/O GREEN CAY PRIVATE CLIENT LTD, LYFORD CAY DRIVE, LYFORD CAY, NASSAU C5 N-7776
Skutezky Ernest Michael Rhodes director SUITE 101, 2 ROXBOROUGH STREET EAST, TORONTO A6 M4W 3V7

Western Uranium & Vanadium (Western Uranium & Vanadium) Headlines

From GuruFocus

Western Uranium & Vanadium Corp. Company Updates

By GuruFocusNews GuruFocusNews 04-11-2022

Western Uranium & Vanadium Market Update

By PurpleRose PurpleRose 07-27-2022

Western Uranium & Vanadium Corp. Provides Company Updates

By GuruFocusNews GuruFocusNews 02-14-2022

Western Uranium & Vanadium Provides Shareholder Updates

By Stock market mentor Stock market mentor 01-20-2023

Western Uranium & Vanadium Provides Company Updates

By Marketwired Marketwired 10-12-2021

Western Uranium & Vanadium Corp. Processing Facility Update

By Stock market mentor Stock market mentor 01-25-2023