Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, ES Ceramics Technology Bhd's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.03%.
Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.
ES Ceramics Technology Bhd (XKLS:0100) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation
Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.
ES Ceramics Technology Bhd Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms
XKLS:0100 vs LIN, SHW, ECL: Probability of Financial Distress (%) Comparison
For the Specialty Chemicals subindustry, ES Ceramics Technology Bhd's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:
* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.
ES Ceramics Technology Bhd Probability of Financial Distress (%) vs Chemicals Industry
For the Chemicals industry and Basic Materials sector, ES Ceramics Technology Bhd's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:
* The bar in red indicates where ES Ceramics Technology Bhd's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.
ES Ceramics Technology Bhd Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation
Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.
The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:
LPFD
=
-20.12 * NIMTAAVG
+
1.60 * TLMTA
-
7.88 * EXRETAVG
+
1.55 * SIGMA
-
0.005 * RSIZE
-
2.27 * CASHMTA
+
0.070 * MB
-
0.09 * PRICE
-
8.87
=
-7.97
The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:
4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500
EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.
5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns
For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).
What does a Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.03% mean?
ES Ceramics Technology Bhd (XKLS:0100) has a Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.03% as of Jun. 30, 2026.
Is ES Ceramics Technology Bhd's Probability of Financial Distress (%) too high?
ES Ceramics Technology Bhd's current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.03%. Overall, ES Ceramics Technology Bhd has a GF Score™ of 62/100 and is considered Significantly Undervalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does ES Ceramics Technology Bhd's Probability of Financial Distress (%) compare to LIN and SHW?
ES Ceramics Technology Bhd's Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.03% can be compared against companies in the Chemicals industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Probability of Financial Distress (%) for a Chemicals company?
A good Probability of Financial Distress (%) depends on the Chemicals industry context. However, Probability of Financial Distress (%) should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Probability of Financial Distress (%) mean?
A high Probability of Financial Distress (%) can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. ES Ceramics Technology Bhd's current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.03%. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is ES Ceramics Technology Bhd stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, ES Ceramics Technology Bhd (XKLS:0100) is currently considered Significantly Undervalued. The stock's GF Value™ is RM0.19, compared to a current price of RM0.12 — trading 36.8% below its estimated fair value. The current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.03%. ES Ceramics Technology Bhd's overall GF Score™ is 62/100 with 4 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Probability of Financial Distress (%) calculated?
Probability of Financial Distress (%) is calculated from a company's financial statements. For ES Ceramics Technology Bhd (XKLS:0100), the current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.03% as of Jun. 30, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.
Is ES Ceramics Technology Bhd (XKLS:0100) Overvalued in 2026?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, ES Ceramics Technology Bhd stock appears to be undervalued.
The current stock price of RM0.12 is trading 36.8% below its estimated GF Value™ of RM0.19.
GuruFocus considers ES Ceramics Technology Bhd to be Significantly Undervalued.
Key valuation signals for XKLS:0100:
Probability of Financial Distress (%): 0.03%
GF Value™: RM0.19 vs. price of RM0.12 (36.8% below fair value)
No single metric tells the full story. See the XKLS:0100 stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.
ES Ceramics Technology Bhd is an investment holding company. Through its holding, the company manufactures and distributes ceramic hand formers. Its product offerings include examination formers, surgical formers, household formers, and breathing bags and balloons. The formers are for continuous industrial use under heavy-duty conditions, to withstand the complex processes involving heat and chemicals to produce gloves. Geographically, it derives a majority of its revenue from Malaysia. Its segments include Investing, Glove equipment, and Construction, of which the Construction segment derives the maximum revenue. The Construction segment is engaged in the manufacturing and supply of chemical products and construction materials, including readymix concrete.
62GF Score
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