Muda Holdings Bhd (XKLS:3883) Probability of Financial Distress (%): 0.13% (As of Jul. 05, 2026)


XKLS:3883 Muda Holdings Bhd XKLS:3883
57 GF Score
Price RM0.82
GF Value RM1.11
Valuation Modestly Undervalued
! 4 Warning Signs
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What is Muda Holdings Bhd Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Muda Holdings Bhd XKLS:3883 57 Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.13% as of Jul. 05, 2026. GuruFocus rates XKLS:3883 with a GF Score™ of 57/100 and a GF Value™ of RM1.11 (Modestly Undervalued). The stock has 4 warning signs investors should review.

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Muda Holdings Bhd's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.13%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Muda Holdings Bhd  (XKLS:3883) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Muda Holdings Bhd Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms


XKLS:3883 vs SLVM: Probability of Financial Distress (%) Comparison

For the Paper & Paper Products subindustry, Muda Holdings Bhd's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Muda Holdings Bhd Probability of Financial Distress (%) vs Forest Products Industry

For the Forest Products industry and Basic Materials sector, Muda Holdings Bhd's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Muda Holdings Bhd's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.


XKLS:3883
57GF Score
Muda Holdings Bhd XKLS:3883
Probability of Financial Distress (%) is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
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Muda Holdings Bhd Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-6.68

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.13%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).

What does a Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.13% mean?
Muda Holdings Bhd (XKLS:3883) has a Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.13% as of Jul. 05, 2026.
Is Muda Holdings Bhd's Probability of Financial Distress (%) too high?
Muda Holdings Bhd's current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.13%. Overall, Muda Holdings Bhd has a GF Score™ of 57/100 and is considered Modestly Undervalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Muda Holdings Bhd's Probability of Financial Distress (%) compare to SLVM?
Muda Holdings Bhd's Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.13% can be compared against companies in the Forest Products industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Probability of Financial Distress (%) for a Forest Products company?
A good Probability of Financial Distress (%) depends on the Forest Products industry context. However, Probability of Financial Distress (%) should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Probability of Financial Distress (%) mean?
A high Probability of Financial Distress (%) can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Muda Holdings Bhd's current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.13%. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Muda Holdings Bhd stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Muda Holdings Bhd (XKLS:3883) is currently considered Modestly Undervalued. The stock's GF Value™ is RM1.11, compared to a current price of RM0.82 — trading 26.6% below its estimated fair value. The current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.13%. Muda Holdings Bhd's overall GF Score™ is 57/100 with 4 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Probability of Financial Distress (%) calculated?
Probability of Financial Distress (%) is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Muda Holdings Bhd (XKLS:3883), the current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.13% as of Jul. 05, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Muda Holdings Bhd (XKLS:3883) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Muda Holdings Bhd stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of RM0.82 is trading 26.6% below its estimated GF Value™ of RM1.11. GuruFocus considers Muda Holdings Bhd to be Modestly Undervalued.

Key valuation signals for XKLS:3883:

  • Probability of Financial Distress (%): 0.13%
  • GF Value™: RM1.11 vs. price of RM0.82 (26.6% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 57/100 with 4 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the XKLS:3883 stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Muda Holdings Bhd Business Description

Address Lot 7, Jalan 51A/241, Petaling Jaya, SGR, MYS, 46100
Muda Holdings Bhd is a Malaysia-based company, that operates in the paper and paper packaging industry. The company is engaged in producing industrial grade paper, machine glazed paper, paper boards and paper packaging products. The business activity of the firm functions through the Manufacturing and Trading segments. The Manufacturing segment is engaged in manufacturing various types of industrial paper, corrugated cartons, paper bags, paper stationery, and paper-based food packaging products. The Trading segment is engaged in the trading of paper, recovered paper, and stationery products. Geographically the firm has its business presence across the region of Malaysia, Singapore, the People's Republic of China, and Australia. It derives maximum revenue from Manufacturing segment.
57GF Score

Get the complete analysis for XKLS:3883

Probability of Financial Distress (%) is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

RM0.82
Price
RM1.11
GF Value