Zedge (ZDGE) Probability of Financial Distress (%): 0.04% (As of Jun. 27, 2026)


ZDGE Zedge Inc ZDGE
74 GF Score
Price $3.07
GF Value $3.06
Valuation Fairly Valued
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What is Zedge Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Zedge ZDGE +1.99% 74 Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.04% as of Jun. 27, 2026. GuruFocus rates ZDGE with a GF Score™ of 74/100 and a GF Value™ of $3.06 (Fairly Valued).

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Zedge's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.04%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Zedge  (AMEX:ZDGE) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Zedge Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms


ZDGE vs GIFT, SJ, NAMI: Probability of Financial Distress (%) Comparison

For the Internet Content & Information subindustry, Zedge's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Zedge Probability of Financial Distress (%) vs Interactive Media Industry

For the Interactive Media industry and Communication Services sector, Zedge's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Zedge's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.


ZDGE
74GF Score
Zedge Inc ZDGE
Probability of Financial Distress (%) is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
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Zedge Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-7.87

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.04%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).

What does a Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.04% mean?
Zedge (ZDGE) has a Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.04% as of Jun. 27, 2026.
Is Zedge's Probability of Financial Distress (%) too high?
Zedge's current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.04%. Overall, Zedge has a GF Score™ of 74/100 and is considered Fairly Valued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Zedge's Probability of Financial Distress (%) compare to GIFT and SJ?
Zedge's Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.04% can be compared against companies in the Interactive Media industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Probability of Financial Distress (%) for an Interactive Media company?
A good Probability of Financial Distress (%) depends on the Interactive Media industry context. However, Probability of Financial Distress (%) should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Probability of Financial Distress (%) mean?
A high Probability of Financial Distress (%) can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Zedge's current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.04%. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Zedge stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Zedge (ZDGE) is currently considered Fairly Valued. The stock's GF Value™ is $3.06, compared to a current price of $3.07 — trading 0.3% above its estimated fair value. The current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.04%. Zedge's overall GF Score™ is 74/100. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Probability of Financial Distress (%) calculated?
Probability of Financial Distress (%) is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Zedge (ZDGE), the current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.04% as of Jun. 27, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Zedge (ZDGE) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Zedge stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of $3.07 is trading 0.3% above its estimated GF Value™ of $3.06. GuruFocus considers Zedge to be Fairly Valued.

Key valuation signals for ZDGE:

  • Probability of Financial Distress (%): 0.04%
  • GF Value™: $3.06 vs. price of $3.07 (0.3% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 74/100

No single metric tells the full story. See the ZDGE stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Zedge Business Description

Other Exchanges 34Z:Germany
Address 1178 Broadway, 3rd Floor, Suite 1450, New York, NY, USA, 10001
Zedge Inc builds digital marketplaces and competitive games centered on content that people use for self-expression. Its products include the Zedge App, a freemium digital content marketplace offering mobile wallpapers, video wallpapers, ringtones, and notification sounds, along with pAInt, a generative AI wallpaper and ringtone maker, GuruShots, a skill-based photo challenge game, and Emojipedia, a trusted source for emoji information. The Zedge App is available on Google Play and the App Store. The company operates two segments: Zedge Marketplace and GuruShots, with the majority of revenue generated from the Zedge Marketplace.
74GF Score

Get the complete analysis for ZDGE

Probability of Financial Distress (%) is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

$3.07
Price
$3.06
GF Value