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ZS (Zscaler) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.03% (As of Dec. 14, 2024)


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What is Zscaler Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Zscaler's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.03%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of Zscaler's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Software - Infrastructure subindustry, Zscaler's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Zscaler's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Software Industry

For the Software industry and Technology sector, Zscaler's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Zscaler's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



Zscaler Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-8.07

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.03%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


Zscaler  (NAS:ZS) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Zscaler Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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Zscaler Business Description

Industry
GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Technology » Software » Zscaler Inc (NAS:ZS) » Definitions » Probability of Financial Distress (%)
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
120 Holger Way, San Jose, CA, USA, 95134
Zscaler is a software-as-a-service, or SaaS, firm focusing on providing cloud-native cybersecurity solutions to primarily enterprise customers. Zscaler's offerings can be broadly partitioned into Zscaler Internet Access, which provides secure access to external applications, and Zscaler Private Access, which provides secure access to internal applications. The firm is headquartered in San Jose, California, and went public in 2018.
Executives
Robert Schlossman officer: Chief Legal Officer C/O ZSCALER, INC., 110 ROSE ORCHARD WAY, SAN JOSE CA 95134
Brown Andrew William Fraser director C/O GUIDEWIRE SOFTWARE, INC., 970 PARK PL, SUITE 200, SAN MATEO CA 94403
Remo Canessa officer: Chief Financial Officer C/O ZSCALER, INC., 110 ROSE ORCHARD WAY, SAN JOSE CA 95134
Syam Nair officer: CTO 120 HOLGER WAY, SAN JOSE CA 95134
Jagtar Singh Chaudhry director, 10 percent owner, officer: President, CEO & Chairman C/O ZSCALER, INC., 110 ROSE ORCHARD WAY, SAN JOSE CA 95134
Karen Blasing director 4420 ROSEWOOD DRIVE, SUITE 500, PLEASANTON CA 94588
Amit Sinha director, officer: CTO & EVP of Eng/ Cloud Ops C/O ZSCALER INC, 110 ROSE ORCHARD WAY, SAN JOSE CA 95134
Dali Rajic officer: Pres Go-To-Mkt/ Chief Rev Ofcr C/O APPDYNAMICS INC, 303 SECOND STREET NORTH TOWER, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94107
Scott C Darling director C/O ZSCALER INC, 110 ROSE ORCHARD WAY, SAN JOSE CA 95134
Charles H Giancarlo director 170 WEST TASMAN DRIVE, SAN JOSE X1 95134
Ajay Mangal 10 percent owner C/O ZSCALER INC, 110 ROSE ORCHARD WAY, SAN JOSE CA 95134
Eileen Naughton director C/O GOOGLE INC., 76 NINTH AVENUE, 4TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10011
Manoj Apte officer: Chief Strategy Officer C/O ZSCALER INC, 110 ROSE ORCHARD WAY, SAN JOSE CA 95134
David Schneider director C/O DATA DOMAIN, INC., 2300 CENTRAL EXPRESSWAY, SANTA CLARA CA 95050
Lane Bess director C/O ZSCALER INC, 110 ROSE ORCHARD WAY, SAN JOSE CA 95134