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Fox (NAS:FOX) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %

: 10.83% (As of Dec. 2023)
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Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. Fox's forward rate of return for was 10.83%.

The historical rank and industry rank for Fox's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % or its related term are showing as below:

FOX' s Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 4.58   Med: 12.89   Max: 19.86
Current: 10.79

During the past 8 years, Fox's highest Forward Rate of Return was 19.86. The lowest was 4.58. And the median was 12.89.

FOX's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is ranked better than
54.23% of 603 companies
in the Media - Diversified industry
Industry Median: 8.69 vs FOX: 10.79

Unlike the Earnings Yield %, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past seven years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.


Fox Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Historical Data

The historical data trend for Fox's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Fox Annual Data
Trend Jun16 Jun17 Jun18 Jun19 Jun20 Jun21 Jun22 Jun23
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %
Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - - - - 13.22

Fox Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 20.19 15.80 13.22 12.48 10.83

Competitive Comparison

For the Entertainment subindustry, Fox's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %, along with its competitors' market caps and Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Fox Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Distribution

For the Media - Diversified industry and Communication Services sector, Fox's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Fox's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % falls into.



Fox Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Calculation

Forward Rate of Return is a concept that Don Yacktman uses in his investment approach. Yacktman explained the forward rate of return concept in detail in his interview with GuruFocus. Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. He said in the interview (March 2012, when the S&P 500 was at about 1400):

If the business is stable, this calculation is fairly straightforward. For instance, on the S&P 500 we would normalize earnings. We would then calculate what percentage of those earnings are not reinvested in the underlying businesses and are therefore free. Historically, for the S&P 500, this has been just under 50% of earnings. Currently, we expect the S&P to earn about 70 on a normalized basis, a number which is far below reported earnings due to our adjusting for record high profit margins. $70 X ½ / 1400 gives you a normalized free cash flow yield of approximately 2.5%.

The historical real growth rate of the S&P 500 (companies) is about 1.5%. Assuming an inflation rate of 2.5%, the forward rate of return on an investment in the S&P 500 is about 6.5% today (2.5% free cash flow yield plus 1.5% real growth plus 2.5% inflation).

Fox's Forward Rate of Return of Dec. 2023 is

Forward Rate of Return=Normalized Free Cash Flow/Price+5-Year EBITDA Growth Rate
=2.76266667/27.65+0.0152
=11.51 %

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Fox  (NAS:FOX) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Explanation

Unlike the Earnings Yield, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past five years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.

For the growth part of the Forward Rate of Return calculation, GuruFocus uses the 5-year average growth rate of EBITDA per share as the growth rate, and the growth rate is always capped at 20%. For the Free Cash Flow we use per share data averaged over five years. The reason we use five years is to make it comparable to the growth rate.


Be Aware

In the Forward Rate of Return calculation, the growth rate is added directly to today's free cash flow yield. Therefore the calculation is reliable only if the company can grow at the same rate in the future as it did in the past. Investors should pay close attention to this when researching growth stocks. A more accurate measurement for return is Return on Capital.


Fox Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Fox's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Fox (NAS:FOX) Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
1211 Avenue of the Americas, New York, NY, USA, 10036
Fox represents the assets not sold to Disney by predecessor firm, Twenty First Century Fox, in 2019. The remaining assets include Fox News, the FOX broadcast network, FS1 and FS2, Fox Business, Big Ten Network, 28 owned and operated local television stations of which 17 are affiliated with the Fox Network, Tubi, and the Fox Studios lot. Since the Disney sale, Fox has acquired other related and unrelated assets including Credible Labs, a consumer fintech firm. The Murdoch family continues to control the successor firm, which represents a large-scale bet on the value of live sports and news in the U.S. market.
Executives
Keith Rupert Murdoch director, officer: Chairman C/O FOX CORPORATION, 1211 AVENUE OF THE AMERICAS, NEW YORK NY 10036
Viet D Dinh officer: Chief Legal and Policy Officer GEORGETOWN UNIVERSITY LAW CENTER, 600 NEW JERSEY AVENUE NW, WASHINGTON DC 20001
Lachlan K Murdoch director, officer: Executive Chairman, CEO C/O NEWS AMERICA INCORPORATED, 1211 AVENUE OF THE AMERICAS, NEW YORK NY 10036
John Nallen officer: Chief Operating Officer C/O NEWS AMERICA INCORPORATED, 1211 AVENUE OF THE AMERICAS, NEW YORK NY 10036
Roland A Hernandez director 300 NORTH SAN RAFAEL AVE, PASADENA CA 91105
Jacques A Nasser director
Chase Carey director C/O NEWS AMERICA INCORPORATED, 1211 AVENUE OF THE AMERICAS, NEW YORK NY 10036
Steven Tomsic officer: Chief Financial Officer 1211 AVENUE OF THE AMERICAS, NEW YORK NY 10036
Paul D Ryan director 1211 AVENUE OF THE AMERICAS, NEW YORK NY 10036
Anne Dias director 1211 AVENUE OF THE AMERICAS, NEW YORK NY 10036
Cruden Financial Services Llc 10 percent owner C/O MCDONALD CARANO WILSON LLP, 100 LIBERTY STREET, RENO NV 89501
Murdoch Family Trust 10 percent owner C/O MCDONALD CARANO WILSON LLP, 100 LIBERTY STREET, RENO NV 89501
Twenty-first Century Fox, Inc. 10 percent owner 1211 AVENUE OF THE AMERICAS, NEW YORK NY 10036