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Canterbury Park Holding Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %

: -17.17% (As of Sep. 2021)
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Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. Canterbury Park Holding's forward rate of return for was -17.17%.

The historical rank and industry rank for Canterbury Park Holding's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % or its related term are showing as below:

NAS:CPHC' s Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -41.19   Med: 13.42   Max: 23.45
Current: -17.48

-41.19
23.45

During the past 13 years, Canterbury Park Holding's highest Forward Rate of Return was 23.45. The lowest was -41.19. And the median was 13.42.

NAS:CPHC's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is ranked lower than
80% of the 579 Companies
in the Travel & Leisure industry.

( Industry Median: 0.88 vs. NAS:CPHC: -17.48 )

Unlike the Earnings Yield %, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past seven years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.


Canterbury Park Holding Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Historical Data

The historical data trend for Canterbury Park Holding's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Canterbury Park Holding Annual Data
Trend Dec11 Dec12 Dec13 Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %
Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 21.57 21.20 17.95 3.57 -18.65

Canterbury Park Holding Quarterly Data
Dec16 Mar17 Jun17 Sep17 Dec17 Mar18 Jun18 Sep18 Dec18 Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -9.60 -18.65 -22.14 -19.01 -17.17

Competitive Comparison

For the Gambling subindustry, Canterbury Park Holding's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %, along with its competitors' market caps and Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

   

Canterbury Park Holding Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Distribution

For the Travel & Leisure industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Canterbury Park Holding's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Canterbury Park Holding's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % falls into.



Canterbury Park Holding Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Calculation

Forward Rate of Return is a concept that Don Yacktman uses in his investment approach. Yacktman explained the forward rate of return concept in detail in his interview with GuruFocus. Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. He said in the interview (March 2012, when the S&P 500 was at about 1400):

If the business is stable, this calculation is fairly straightforward. For instance, on the S&P 500 we would normalize earnings. We would then calculate what percentage of those earnings are not reinvested in the underlying businesses and are therefore free. Historically, for the S&P 500, this has been just under 50% of earnings. Currently, we expect the S&P to earn about 70 on a normalized basis, a number which is far below reported earnings due to our adjusting for record high profit margins. $70 X ½ / 1400 gives you a normalized free cash flow yield of approximately 2.5%.

The historical real growth rate of the S&P 500 (companies) is about 1.5%. Assuming an inflation rate of 2.5%, the forward rate of return on an investment in the S&P 500 is about 6.5% today (2.5% free cash flow yield plus 1.5% real growth plus 2.5% inflation).

Canterbury Park Holding's Forward Rate of Return of Sep. 2021 is

Forward Rate of Return=Normalized Free Cash Flow/Price+5-Year EBITDA Growth Rate
=0.54685714/15.95+-0.206
=-17.17 %

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Canterbury Park Holding  (NAS:CPHC) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Explanation

Unlike the Earnings Yield, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past five years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.

For the growth part of the Forward Rate of Return calculation, GuruFocus uses the 5-year average growth rate of EBITDA per share as the growth rate, and the growth rate is always capped at 20%. For the Free Cash Flow we use per share data averaged over five years. The reason we use five years is to make it comparable to the growth rate.


Be Aware

In the Forward Rate of Return calculation, the growth rate is added directly to today's free cash flow yield. Therefore the calculation is reliable only if the company can grow at the same rate in the future as it did in the past. Investors should pay close attention to this when researching growth stocks. A more accurate measurement for return is Return on Capital.


Canterbury Park Holding Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Canterbury Park Holding's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Canterbury Park Holding Business Description

Canterbury Park Holding logo
Industry
Consumer Cyclical » Travel & Leisure NAICS : 711212 SIC : 7948
Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
1100 Canterbury Road, Shakopee, MN, USA, 55379
Canterbury Park Holding Corp is in the business of pari-mutuel wagering on horse races and unbanked card games at its canterbury park racetrack and card casino facility in Minnesota. The company has four operating segments. The horse racing segment represents pari-mutuel wagering operations on simulcast and live horse races; the Card Casino segment represents unbanked card operations; the food and beverage segment includes concessions, catering, and events services provided at the Racetrack; and the development segment represents our real estate development operations. The firm generates a majority of its revenue from the Card Casino segment.
Executives
Chronister Mark director 1100 CANTERBURY ROAD SOUTH SHAKOPEE MN 55379
Schenian Dale H director, 10 percent owner PUBLIC "-//W3C//DTD HTML 4.0 Transitional//EN"> Ownership Information: SCHENIAN DALE H a.header:link {color: #3b4fae; font-weight: bold; text-decoration: underline;} a.header:visited {color: #3b4fae; font-weight: bold; text-decoration: underline;} a.header:hover {color: #191970;}
Sampson Randall D director, 10 percent owner, officer: President and CEO 1100 CANTERBURY ROAD SHAKOPEE MN 55379
Offerman Carin J director PUBLIC "-//W3C//DTD HTML 4.0 Transitional//EN"> Ownership Information: OFFERMAN CARIN J a.header:link {color: #3b4fae; font-weight: bold; text-decoration: underline;} a.header:visited {color: #3b4fae; font-weight: bold; text-decoration: underline;} a.header:hover {color: #191970;}
Dahlberg Burton F director 1100 CANTERBURY ROAD SHAKOPEE MN 55379
Dehmer Randy J officer: Chief Financial Officer 1100 CANTERBURY PARK RD SHAKOPEE MN 55379
Bausch Maureen Hooley director 1100 CANTERBURY PARK RD SHAKOPEE MN 55379
Himle John Stefan director 1100 CANTERBURY PARK RD SHAKOPEE MN 55379
Sampson Curtis A director, 10 percent owner PO BOX 777 S MAIN ST HECTOR MN 55342
Wolf Robert officer: Chief Financial Officer 1100 CANTERBURY RD. SHAKOPEE MN 55379
Kennedy Daniel J. officer: Senior VP of Operations 1100 CANTERBURY ROAD SHAKOPEE MN 55379
Hochman Michael officer: Vice President - Card Casino 1100 CANTERBURY ROAD SHAKOPEE MN 55379
Canterbury Park Holding Corp officer: Vice President - Racing 1100 CANTERBURY ROAD S. SHAKOPEE MN 55379
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