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Burlington Stores (Burlington Stores) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % : 0.00% (As of Jan. 2024)


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What is Burlington Stores Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %?

Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. Burlington Stores's forward rate of return for was 0.00%.

The historical rank and industry rank for Burlington Stores's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % or its related term are showing as below:

BURL' s Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -8.23   Med: 22.06   Max: 23.87
Current: -7.88

During the past 13 years, Burlington Stores's highest Forward Rate of Return was 23.87. The lowest was -8.23. And the median was 22.06.

BURL's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is ranked worse than
83.2% of 738 companies
in the Retail - Cyclical industry
Industry Median: 14.395 vs BURL: -7.88

Unlike the Earnings Yield %, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past seven years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.


Burlington Stores Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Historical Data

The historical data trend for Burlington Stores's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Burlington Stores Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Chart

Burlington Stores Annual Data
Trend Jan15 Jan16 Jan17 Jan18 Jan19 Jan20 Jan21 Jan22 Jan23 Jan24
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 22.45 - - - -

Burlington Stores Quarterly Data
Apr19 Jul19 Oct19 Jan20 Apr20 Jul20 Oct20 Jan21 Apr21 Jul21 Oct21 Jan22 Apr22 Jul22 Oct22 Jan23 Apr23 Jul23 Oct23 Jan24
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - - - - -

Competitive Comparison of Burlington Stores's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %

For the Apparel Retail subindustry, Burlington Stores's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %, along with its competitors' market caps and Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Burlington Stores's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Distribution in the Retail - Cyclical Industry

For the Retail - Cyclical industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Burlington Stores's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Burlington Stores's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % falls into.



Burlington Stores Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Calculation

Forward Rate of Return is a concept that Don Yacktman uses in his investment approach. Yacktman explained the forward rate of return concept in detail in his interview with GuruFocus. Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. He said in the interview (March 2012, when the S&P 500 was at about 1400):

If the business is stable, this calculation is fairly straightforward. For instance, on the S&P 500 we would normalize earnings. We would then calculate what percentage of those earnings are not reinvested in the underlying businesses and are therefore free. Historically, for the S&P 500, this has been just under 50% of earnings. Currently, we expect the S&P to earn about 70 on a normalized basis, a number which is far below reported earnings due to our adjusting for record high profit margins. $70 X ½ / 1400 gives you a normalized free cash flow yield of approximately 2.5%.

The historical real growth rate of the S&P 500 (companies) is about 1.5%. Assuming an inflation rate of 2.5%, the forward rate of return on an investment in the S&P 500 is about 6.5% today (2.5% free cash flow yield plus 1.5% real growth plus 2.5% inflation).

Burlington Stores's Forward Rate of Return of Jan. 2024 is

Forward Rate of Return=Normalized Free Cash Flow/Price+5-Year EBITDA Growth Rate
=3.37504762/191.15+-0.0977
=-8.00 %

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Burlington Stores  (NYSE:BURL) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Explanation

Unlike the Earnings Yield, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past five years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.

For the growth part of the Forward Rate of Return calculation, GuruFocus uses the 5-year average growth rate of EBITDA per share as the growth rate, and the growth rate is always capped at 20%. For the Free Cash Flow we use per share data averaged over five years. The reason we use five years is to make it comparable to the growth rate.


Be Aware

In the Forward Rate of Return calculation, the growth rate is added directly to today's free cash flow yield. Therefore the calculation is reliable only if the company can grow at the same rate in the future as it did in the past. Investors should pay close attention to this when researching growth stocks. A more accurate measurement for return is Return on Capital.


Burlington Stores Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Burlington Stores's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Burlington Stores (Burlington Stores) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
2006 Route 130 North, Burlington, NJ, USA, 08016
The third-largest American dedicated off-price apparel and home fashion retail firm, with 927 stores as of the end of fiscal 2022, Burlington Stores offers an assortment of products from over 5,000 brands through an everyday-low-price approach that undercuts conventional retailers' regular prices by up to 60%. The company focuses on providing a treasure-hunt experience, with a quickly changing array of merchandise in a relatively low-frills shopping environment. In fiscal 2022, 24% of sales came from accessories and footwear, 22% from women's ready-to-wear apparel, 21% from home décor, 17% from menswear, 12% from youth apparel and baby, and 4% from outerwear. All sales come from the United States.
Executives
William P Mcnamara director
Jennifer Vecchio officer: President and CMO 2006 ROUTE 130 NORTH, BURLINGTON NJ 08016
Jeffrey Laub officer: SVP, Finance and CAO C/O BURLINGTON COAT FACTORY WAREHOUSE CO, 1830 ROUTE 130, BURLINGTON NJ 08016
Kristin Wolfe officer: Chief Financial Officer C/O BURLINGTON STORES, INC., 1830 ROUTE 130, BURLINGTON NJ 08016
Travis Marquette officer: President and COO 2006 ROUTE 130 NORTH, BURLINGTON NJ 08016
Mike Metheny officer: Executive Vice President 1830 ROUTE 130 NORTH, BURLINGTON NJ 08016
Dennis Hodgson officer: EVP CIO 2006 ROUTE 130 NORTH, BURLINGTON NJ 08016
Michael R Allison officer: EVP CHRO 6600 NORTH MILITARY TRAIL, LEGAL DEPARTMENT, BOCA RATON FL 33496
Joyce Manning Magrini officer: Executive Vice President C/O FINLAY ENTERPRISES, INC., 529 FIFTH AVENUE, ATTN: LEGAL DPT., NEW YORK NY 10017
Michael Goodwin director 2006 ROUTE 130 NORTH, BURLINGTON NJ 08016
Fred Hand officer: Chief Customer Officer 1830 ROUTE 130 NORTH, BURLINGTON NJ 08016
John Crimmins officer: Chief Financial Officer 1830 ROUTE 130 NORTH, BURLINGTON NJ 08016
Thomas Kingsbury director, officer: President & CEO 2006 ROUTE 130 NORTH, BURLINGTON NJ 08016
O Sullivan Michael B director, officer: Chief Executive Officer 5130 HACIENDA DRIVE, DUBLIN CA 94568
Paul Sullivan director 1830 ROUTE 130 NORTH, BURLINGTON NJ 08016