BURL (Burlington Stores) Beneish M-Score: -2.80 (As of Jun. 25, 2026)


BURL Burlington Stores Inc BURL
84 GF Score
Price $337.79
GF Value $291.51
Valuation Modestly Overvalued
! 4 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is Burlington Stores Beneish M-Score?

Burlington Stores BURL +1.67% 84 Beneish M-Score is -2.80 as of Jun. 25, 2026. GuruFocus rates BURL with a GF Score™ of 84/100 and a GF Value™ of $291.51 (Modestly Overvalued). The stock has 4 warning signs investors should review. Among 1,087 Retail - Cyclical companies, Burlington Stores ranks better than 66.88% on this metric.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.8 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Burlington Stores's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

BURL' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.58   Med: -2.68   Max: 1.76
Current: -2.8

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Burlington Stores was 1.76. The lowest was -3.58. And the median was -2.68.


Burlington Stores Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Burlington Stores's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Burlington Stores Beneish M-Score Chart

Burlington Stores Annual Data
Trend Jan17 Jan18 Jan19 Jan20 Jan21 Jan22 Jan23 Jan24 Jan25 Jan26
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.56 -2.38 -2.79 -2.54 -2.68

Burlington Stores Quarterly Data
Jul21 Oct21 Jan22 Apr22 Jul22 Oct22 Jan23 Apr23 Jul23 Oct23 Jan24 Apr24 Jul24 Oct24 Jan25 Apr25 Jul25 Oct25 Jan26 Apr26
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.61 -2.56 -2.56 -2.68 -2.80

BURL vs LULU, GAP, URBN: Beneish M-Score Comparison

For the Apparel Retail subindustry, Burlington Stores's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Burlington Stores Beneish M-Score vs Retail - Cyclical Industry

For the Retail - Cyclical industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Burlington Stores's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Burlington Stores's Beneish M-Score falls into.


BURL
84GF Score
Burlington Stores Inc BURL
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Burlington Stores Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Burlington Stores for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.9657+0.528 * 0.9868+0.404 * 0.8949+0.892 * 1.106+0.115 * 0.94
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.992+4.679 * -0.071961-0.327 * 0.9626
=-2.80

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Apr26) TTM:Last Year (Apr25) TTM:
Total Receivables was $114 Mil.
Revenue was 2856.461 + 3647.378 + 2710.44 + 2705.071 = $11,919 Mil.
Gross Profit was 1261.657 + 1595.029 + 1200.587 + 1185.442 = $5,243 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $2,505 Mil.
Total Assets was $9,777 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $6,900 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $431 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $3,938 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $2,152 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $5,414 Mil.
Net Income was 114.744 + 310.385 + 104.75 + 94.185 = $624 Mil.
Non Operating Income was -14.673 + 17.987 + -1.477 + 4.05 = $6 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 61.466 + 937.518 + 143.332 + 179.44 = $1,322 Mil.
Total Receivables was $107 Mil.
Revenue was 2504.02 + 3277.057 + 2530.696 + 2465.517 = $10,777 Mil.
Gross Profit was 1098.929 + 1408.774 + 1112.553 + 1057.397 = $4,678 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $2,072 Mil.
Total Assets was $8,550 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $6,114 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $357 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $3,590 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $1,957 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $4,917 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(113.984 / 11919.35) / (106.726 / 10777.29)
=0.009563 / 0.009903
=0.9657

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(4677.653 / 10777.29) / (5242.715 / 11919.35)
=0.434029 / 0.439849
=0.9868

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (2505.157 + 6899.862) / 9777.194) / (1 - (2072.163 + 6114.054) / 8549.897)
=0.038066 / 0.042536
=0.8949

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=11919.35 / 10777.29
=1.106

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(357.393 / (357.393 + 6114.054)) / (430.695 / (430.695 + 6899.862))
=0.055226 / 0.058753
=0.94

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(3938.496 / 11919.35) / (3589.799 / 10777.29)
=0.330429 / 0.333089
=0.992

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((5413.87 + 2152.448) / 9777.194) / ((4916.999 + 1956.841) / 8549.897)
=0.773874 / 0.803968
=0.9626

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(624.064 - 5.887 - 1321.756) / 9777.194
=-0.071961

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Burlington Stores has a M-score of -2.80 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of -2.80 mean?
Burlington Stores (BURL) has a Beneish M-Score of -2.80 as of Jun. 25, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Burlington Stores and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Burlington Stores ranks #360 out of 1087 companies in the Retail - Cyclical industry, placing it in the top 33.1%.
Is Burlington Stores' Beneish M-Score too high?
Burlington Stores' current Beneish M-Score is -2.80. Based on the distribution chart, Burlington Stores ranks #360 out of 1087 companies in the Retail - Cyclical industry, which is above the industry midpoint. Overall, Burlington Stores has a GF Score™ of 84/100 and is considered Modestly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Burlington Stores' Beneish M-Score compare to LULU and GAP?
According to the Retail - Cyclical industry distribution chart, Burlington Stores ranks #360 out of 1087 companies for Beneish M-Score. This puts Burlington Stores in the upper half of its industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for a Retail - Cyclical company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Retail - Cyclical industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Burlington Stores and its competitors. Burlington Stores's current Beneish M-Score is -2.80. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Burlington Stores stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Burlington Stores (BURL) is currently considered Modestly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is $291.51, compared to a current price of $337.79 — trading 15.9% above its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is -2.80. Burlington Stores' overall GF Score™ is 84/100 with 4 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Burlington Stores (BURL), the current Beneish M-Score is -2.80 as of Jun. 25, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Burlington Stores (BURL) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Burlington Stores stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of $337.79 is trading 15.9% above its estimated GF Value™ of $291.51. GuruFocus considers Burlington Stores to be Modestly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for BURL:

  • Beneish M-Score: -2.80
  • GF Value™: $291.51 vs. price of $337.79 (15.9% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 84/100 with 4 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the BURL stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Burlington Stores Business Description

Address 2006 Route 130 North, Burlington, NJ, USA, 08016
Burlington Stores Inc is an off-price retailer offering an extensive selection of in-season, fashion-focused merchandise, including women's ready-to-wear apparel, menswear, youth apparel, baby, beauty, footwear, accessories, home, toys, gifts, and coats. The company sells a broad selection of desirable, first-quality, current-brand, labeled merchandise acquired directly from nationally recognized manufacturers and other suppliers. It sells products in categories such as Ladies apparel, Accessories and shoes, Home, Mens apparel, Kids apparel and baby, and Outerwear.
84GF Score

Get the complete analysis for BURL

Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

$337.79
Price
$291.51
GF Value