BURL (Burlington Stores) Peter Lynch Fair Value: $164.75 (As of Jun. 30, 2026) — 15297% Above Median


BURL Burlington Stores Inc BURL
84 GF Score
Price $314.28
GF Value $291.59
Valuation Fairly Valued
! 3 Warning Signs
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What is Burlington Stores Peter Lynch Fair Value?

Burlington Stores BURL -2.02% 84 Peter Lynch Fair Value is $164.75 as of Jun. 30, 2026, which is 15297% above its 10-year median of 1.07. GuruFocus rates BURL with a GF Score™ of 84/100 and a GF Value™ of $291.59 (Fairly Valued). The stock has 3 warning signs investors should review. Among 319 Retail - Cyclical companies, Burlington Stores ranks worse than 73.35% on this metric.

Peter Lynch Fair Value applies to growing companies. The ideal range for the growth rate is between 10 - 20% a year. Peter Lynch thinks that the fair P/E value for a growth company equals its growth rate, that is PEG = 1. The earnings here is trailing twelve month (TTM) earnings. For non-bank companies, the growth rate we use is the average growth rate for EBITDA per share over the past 5 years. For Banks, the growth rate we use is the average growth rate for Book Value per share over the past 5 years. If 5-Year Growth Rate is greater than 25% a year, we use 25. If 5-Year Growth Rate is smaller than 5% a year, we do not calculate Peter Lynch Fair Value.

Here, as of today, Burlington Stores's PEG is 1. Burlington Stores's 5-Year TTM EBITDA Growth Rate is 16.2. Burlington Stores's EPS without NRI for the trailing twelve months (TTM) ended in Apr. 2026 was $10.17. Therefore, the Peter Lynch Fair Value for today is $164.75.

As of today (2026-06-30), Burlington Stores's share price is $314.28. Burlington Stores's Peter Lynch fair value is $164.75. Therefore, Burlington Stores's Price to Peter Lynch Fair Value Ratio for today is 1.91.


The historical rank and industry rank for Burlington Stores's Peter Lynch Fair Value or its related term are showing as below:

BURL' s Price-to-Peter-Lynch-Fair-Value Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.96   Med: 1.07   Max: 12.26
Current: 1.91


During the past 13 years, the highest Price to Peter Lynch Fair Value Ratio of Burlington Stores was 12.26. The lowest was 0.96. And the median was 1.07.


BURL's Price-to-Peter-Lynch-Fair-Value is ranked worse than
73.35% of 319 companies
in the Retail - Cyclical industry
Industry Median: 1.13 vs BURL: 1.91

Note: Please don't confuse Peter Lynch Fair Value with the value reached in Peter Lynch Chart.


Burlington Stores  (NYSE:BURL) Peter Lynch Fair Value Explanation

Peter Lynch Fair Value applies to growing companies. The ideal range for the growth rate is between 10 - 20% a year.

Peter Lynch thinks that the fair P/E value for a growth company equals its growth rate, that is PEG = 1. The earnings here is trailing twelve month (TTM) earnings. For non-bank companies, the growth rate we use is the average growth rate for EBITDA per share over the past 5 years. For Banks, the growth rate we use is the average growth rate for Book Value per share over the past 5 years.

Please don't confuse Peter Lynch Fair Value with the value reached in Peter Lynch Chart. In Peter Lynch chart, a fixed P/E ratio of 15 is used to draw the Earnings Line. Therefore the value reached has a P/E ratio of 15. But in Peter Lynch Fair Value calculation, P/E equals to the growth rate of EBITDA per share over the past 5 years, which is 16.2 instead of 15 in this case.

Burlington Stores's Price to Peter Lynch Fair Value Ratio for today is calculated as

Price to Peter Lynch Fair Value=Share Price/Peter Lynch Fair Value
=314.28/164.75
=1.91

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Burlington Stores Peter Lynch Fair Value Related Terms


Burlington Stores Peter Lynch Fair Value Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Burlington Stores's Peter Lynch Fair Value can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Burlington Stores Peter Lynch Fair Value Chart

Burlington Stores Annual Data
Trend Jan17 Jan18 Jan19 Jan20 Jan21 Jan22 Jan23 Jan24 Jan25 Jan26
Peter Lynch Fair Value
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00

Burlington Stores Quarterly Data
Jul21 Oct21 Jan22 Apr22 Jul22 Oct22 Jan23 Apr23 Jul23 Oct23 Jan24 Apr24 Jul24 Oct24 Jan25 Apr25 Jul25 Oct25 Jan26 Apr26
Peter Lynch Fair Value Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 164.75

BURL vs LULU, GAP, VSXY: Peter Lynch Fair Value Comparison

For the Apparel Retail subindustry, Burlington Stores's Price-to-Peter-Lynch-Fair-Value, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Peter-Lynch-Fair-Value data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Burlington Stores Price-to-Peter-Lynch-Fair-Value vs Retail - Cyclical Industry

For the Retail - Cyclical industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Burlington Stores's Price-to-Peter-Lynch-Fair-Value distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Burlington Stores's Price-to-Peter-Lynch-Fair-Value falls into.


BURL
84GF Score
Burlington Stores Inc BURL
Peter Lynch Fair Value is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Burlington Stores Peter Lynch Fair Value Calculation

Burlington Stores's Peter Lynch Fair Value for today is calculated as

Peter Lynch Fair Value=PEG Ratio*5-Year TTM EBITDA Growth Rate***EPS without NRI (TTM)
=1* 16.2 *10.17
=164.75

Burlington Stores's EPS without NRI for the trailing twelve months (TTM) ended in Apr. 2026 adds up the quarterly data reported by the company within the most recent 12 months, which was $10.17.


* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

** Please be aware that the 5-Year TTM EBITDA Growth Rate is calculated based on TTM data over the last 5 years. For quarterly reported companies, the TTM data adds up the quarterly data reported by the company within the most recent 12 months. For companies that report semi-annually, annually, or do not have enough quarterly data, GuruFocus uses the annual data as the TTM data.

If 5-Year Earnings Growth Rate is greater than 25% a year, we use 25.

If 5-Year Earnings Growth Rate is smaller than 5% a year, we do not calculate Peter Lynch Fair Value.

Please note that we use the 5-year average growth rate of EBITDA per share as the growth rate for non-bank companies, as EBITDA growth is subject to less manipulations than net earnings per share. For banks, we use the 5-year average growth rate of Book Value per share as the growth rate. The reason is that EBITDA is not applicable to Banks and Book value is a relative important measurement for Banks. In the calculation, PEG=1 because Peter Lynch thinks that the fair P/E ratio of the growth stock is equal to its earnings growth rate.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Peter Lynch Fair Value →
What does a Peter Lynch Fair Value of $164.75 mean?
Burlington Stores (BURL) has a Peter Lynch Fair Value of $164.75 as of Jun. 30, 2026. Peter Lynch Fair Value is the stock value based on a company's current earnings and five-year earnings growth, assuming a PEG of one. View historical data on Burlington Stores and its competitors. This is 15297% above median its historical median of 1.07. Over the past decade, Burlington Stores' Peter Lynch Fair Value has ranged from 0.96 to 12.26. According to the industry distribution chart, Burlington Stores ranks #234 out of 319 companies in the Retail - Cyclical industry, placing it in the top 73.4%.
Is Burlington Stores' Peter Lynch Fair Value too high?
Burlington Stores' current Peter Lynch Fair Value of $164.75 is 15297% above median its 10-year median of 1.07. Over the past 10 years, this metric has ranged from a low of 0.96 to a high of 12.26. The Retail - Cyclical industry median Peter Lynch Fair Value is 1.13. Burlington Stores' value of $164.75 is 14479.6% above this industry median. Based on the distribution chart, Burlington Stores ranks #234 out of 319 companies in the Retail - Cyclical industry, which is below the industry midpoint. Overall, Burlington Stores has a GF Score™ of 84/100 and is considered Fairly Valued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Burlington Stores' Peter Lynch Fair Value compare to LULU and GAP?
According to the Retail - Cyclical industry distribution chart, Burlington Stores ranks #234 out of 319 companies for Peter Lynch Fair Value. This places Burlington Stores in the lower half of its industry. The industry median Peter Lynch Fair Value is 1.13. Burlington Stores' value of $164.75 is 14479.6% above this benchmark. Historically, Burlington Stores' own Peter Lynch Fair Value has ranged from 0.96 to 12.26 over the past decade. While the company's 10-year median is 1.07 vs. the industry median of 1.13, Burlington Stores has consistently been above the industry average. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Peter Lynch Fair Value for a Retail - Cyclical company?
The median Peter Lynch Fair Value among Retail - Cyclical companies is 1.13, based on 319 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Peter Lynch Fair Value significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Peter Lynch Fair Value should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Burlington Stores's current Peter Lynch Fair Value of $164.75 is 14479.6% above the industry median. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Peter Lynch Fair Value mean?
A high Peter Lynch Fair Value can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Peter Lynch Fair Value is the stock value based on a company's current earnings and five-year earnings growth, assuming a PEG of one. View historical data on Burlington Stores and its competitors. For the Retail - Cyclical industry, the median Peter Lynch Fair Value is 1.13 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. Burlington Stores's current Peter Lynch Fair Value is $164.75, which is 15297% above median its own 10-year median of 1.07. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Burlington Stores stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Burlington Stores (BURL) is currently considered Fairly Valued. The stock's GF Value™ is $291.59, compared to a current price of $314.28 — trading 7.8% above its estimated fair value. The current Peter Lynch Fair Value is $164.75, which is 15297% above median its 10-year median of 1.07 and 14479.6% above the Retail - Cyclical industry median of 1.13. Burlington Stores' overall GF Score™ is 84/100 with 3 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Peter Lynch Fair Value calculated?
Peter Lynch Fair Value is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Burlington Stores (BURL), the current Peter Lynch Fair Value is $164.75 as of Jun. 30, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Burlington Stores (BURL) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Burlington Stores stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of $314.28 is trading 7.8% above its estimated GF Value™ of $291.59. GuruFocus considers Burlington Stores to be Fairly Valued.

Key valuation signals for BURL:

  • Peter Lynch Fair Value: $164.75 (15297% above median its 10-year median of 1.07)
  • GF Value™: $291.59 vs. price of $314.28 (7.8% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 84/100 with 3 warning signs
  • Industry Position: 14479.6% above the Retail - Cyclical median (#234 of 319)

No single metric tells the full story. See the BURL stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Burlington Stores Business Description

Address 2006 Route 130 North, Burlington, NJ, USA, 08016
Burlington Stores Inc is an off-price retailer offering an extensive selection of in-season, fashion-focused merchandise, including women's ready-to-wear apparel, menswear, youth apparel, baby, beauty, footwear, accessories, home, toys, gifts, and coats. The company sells a broad selection of desirable, first-quality, current-brand, labeled merchandise acquired directly from nationally recognized manufacturers and other suppliers. It sells products in categories such as Ladies apparel, Accessories and shoes, Home, Mens apparel, Kids apparel and baby, and Outerwear.
84GF Score

Get the complete analysis for BURL

Peter Lynch Fair Value is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

$314.28
Price
$291.59
GF Value