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Guess? Shiller PE Ratio

: 12.37 (As of Today)
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As of today (2020-09-18), Guess?'s current share price is $13.73. Guess?'s E10 for the quarter that ended in Jul. 2020 was $1.11. Guess?'s Shiller PE Ratio for today is 12.37.

NYSE:GES' s Shiller PE Ratio Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 4.59   Med: 12.52   Max: 46.5
Current: 12.43

4.59
46.5

During the past years, Guess?'s highest Shiller PE Ratio was 46.50. The lowest was 4.59. And the median was 12.52.

NYSE:GES's Shiller PE Ratio is ranked higher than
61% of the 532 Companies
in the Retail - Cyclical industry.

( Industry Median: 16.30 vs. NYSE:GES: 12.43 )

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years.

Guess?'s adjusted earnings per share data for the three months ended in Jul. 2020 was $-0.310. Add all the adjusted EPS for the past 10 years together and divide 10 will get our E10, which is $1.11 for the trailing ten years ended in Jul. 2020.

Shiller PE for Stocks: The True Measure of Stock Valuation


Guess? Shiller PE Ratio Historical Data

* All numbers are in millions except for per share data and ratio. All numbers are in their local exchange's currency.

* Premium members only.

Guess? Annual Data
Jan11 Jan12 Jan13 Jan14 Jan15 Jan16 Jan17 Jan18 Jan19 Jan20
Shiller PE Ratio Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 8.32 6.14 9.78 11.76 13.93

Guess? Quarterly Data
Oct15 Jan16 Apr16 Jul16 Oct16 Jan17 Apr17 Jul17 Oct17 Jan18 Apr18 Jul18 Oct18 Jan19 Apr19 Jul19 Oct19 Jan20 Apr20 Jul20
Shiller PE Ratio Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 10.71 11.07 13.93 7.72 9.33

Competitive Comparison
* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap.


Guess? Shiller PE Ratio Distribution

* The bar in red indicates where Guess?'s Shiller PE Ratio falls into.



Guess? Shiller PE Ratio Calculation

For Shiller PE Ratio, the earnings of the past 10 years are inflation-adjusted and averaged. The result is used for P/E calculation. Since it looks at the average over the last 10 years, the Shiller PE Ratio is also called PE10.

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller to measure the valuation of the overall market. The same calculation is applied here to individual companies.

Guess?'s Shiller PE Ratio for today is calculated as

Shiller PE Ratio=Share Price/ E10
=13.73/1.11
=12.37

* All numbers are in millions except for per share data and ratio. All numbers are in their local exchange's currency.

Guess?'s E10 for the quarter that ended in Jul. 2020 is calculated as:

For example, Guess?'s adjusted earnings per share data for the three months ended in Jul. 2020 was:

Adj_EPS=Earnings per Share (Diluted)/CPI of Jul. 2020 (Change)*Current CPI (Jul. 2020)
=-0.31/109.3175*109.3175
=-0.310

Current CPI (Jul. 2020) = 109.3175.

Guess? Quarterly Data

Earnings per Share (Diluted) CPI Adj_EPS
201010 0.750 92.315 0.888
201101 1.110 93.373 1.300
201104 0.460 95.337 0.527
201107 0.650 95.582 0.743
201110 0.710 95.449 0.813
201201 1.040 96.053 1.184
201204 0.300 96.961 0.338
201207 0.490 97.199 0.551
201210 0.430 97.133 0.484
201301 0.850 97.953 0.949
201304 0.120 98.282 0.133
201307 0.470 98.675 0.521
201310 0.400 98.334 0.445
201401 0.820 99.057 0.905
201404 -0.030 100.373 -0.033
201407 0.260 100.352 0.283
201410 0.240 99.635 0.263
201501 0.630 99.032 0.695
201504 0.040 100.333 0.044
201507 0.210 100.548 0.228
201510 0.150 100.135 0.164
201601 0.570 100.040 0.623
201604 -0.300 101.355 -0.324
201607 0.380 101.617 0.409
201610 0.110 101.829 0.118
201701 0.080 102.779 0.085
201704 -0.260 103.256 -0.275
201707 0.180 103.587 0.190
201710 -0.040 104.072 -0.042
201801 0.010 105.052 0.010
201804 -0.270 106.148 -0.278
201807 0.310 106.383 0.319
201810 -0.170 106.338 -0.175
201901 0.280 106.649 0.287
201904 -0.270 108.048 -0.273
201907 0.350 108.245 0.353
201910 0.180 108.519 0.181
202001 1.180 109.139 1.182
202004 -2.400 108.175 -2.425
202007 -0.310 109.318 -0.310

Add all the adjusted EPS together and divide 10 will get our E10.

Please note that we use the CPI data of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the CPI data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the CPI data of the United States as default.


Guess?  (NYSE:GES) Shiller PE Ratio Explanation

Compared with the regular PE Ratio, which works poorly for cyclical businesses, the Shiller PE Ratio smoothed out the fluctuations of profit margins during business cycles. Therefore it is more accurate in reflecting the valuation of the company.

If a company has consistent business performance, the Shiller PE Ratio should give similar results to regular PE Ratio.

Compared with the PS Ratio, the Shiller PE Ratio makes the comparison between different industries more meaningful.


Be Aware

Shiller PE Ratio assumes that over the long term, businesses and profitability revert to their means. If a company's business model does not work in the future compared with the past, Shiller PE Ratio and PS Ratio will give false valuations.


Guess? Shiller PE Ratio Related Terms


Guess? Shiller PE Ratio Headlines

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