Guess (GES) Beneish M-Score: -2.51 (As of Aug. 03, 2026)

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GES Guess Inc GES
55 GF Score
Price $16.81
GF Value $30.05
! 6 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is Guess Beneish M-Score?

Guess GES 55 Beneish M-Score is -2.51 as of Aug. 03, 2026. GuruFocus rates GES with a GF Score™ of 55/100 and a GF Value™ of $30.05. The stock has 6 warning signs investors should review.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.51 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Guess's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

GES' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.15   Med: -2.52   Max: -2.14
Current: -2.51

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Guess was -2.14. The lowest was -3.15. And the median was -2.52.


Guess Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Guess's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Guess Beneish M-Score Chart

Guess Annual Data
Trend Jan16 Jan17 Jan18 Jan19 Jan20 Jan21 Jan22 Jan23 Jan24 Jan25
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.79 -2.14 -2.38 -2.64 -2.34

Guess Quarterly Data
Jan21 Apr21 Jul21 Oct21 Jan22 Apr22 Jul22 Oct22 Jan23 Apr23 Jul23 Oct23 Jan24 Apr24 Jul24 Oct24 Jan25 Apr25 Jul25 Oct25
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.50 -2.34 -2.40 -2.44 -2.51

GES vs SFIX, SCVL, CRI: Beneish M-Score Comparison

For the Apparel Retail subindustry, Guess's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Guess Beneish M-Score vs Retail - Cyclical Industry

For the Retail - Cyclical industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Guess's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Guess's Beneish M-Score falls into.


GES
55GF Score
Guess Inc GES
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Guess Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Guess for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.9993+0.528 * 1.033+0.404 * 0.9609+0.892 * 1.0644+0.115 * 1.0526
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.044+4.679 * -0.017671-0.327 * 1.0063
=-2.51

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Oct25) TTM:Last Year (Oct24) TTM:
Total Receivables was $408 Mil.
Revenue was 791.427 + 772.937 + 647.801 + 932.252 = $3,144 Mil.
Gross Profit was 335.982 + 328.769 + 258.457 + 411.069 = $1,334 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $1,353 Mil.
Total Assets was $3,006 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $1,177 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $72 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $1,210 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $832 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $1,439 Mil.
Net Income was 25.648 + 6.242 + -32.928 + 81.399 = $80 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 17.473 + -0.004 + -3.865 + -25.392 = $-12 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was -39.456 + 74.912 + -73.412 + 183.232 = $145 Mil.
Total Receivables was $383 Mil.
Revenue was 738.518 + 732.56 + 591.943 + 891.05 = $2,954 Mil.
Gross Profit was 321.877 + 319.943 + 248.101 + 404.982 = $1,295 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $1,304 Mil.
Total Assets was $2,795 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $1,031 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $66 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $1,089 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $849 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $1,249 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(407.778 / 3144.417) / (383.367 / 2954.071)
=0.129683 / 0.129776
=0.9993

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(1294.903 / 2954.071) / (1334.277 / 3144.417)
=0.438345 / 0.424332
=1.033

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (1353.21 + 1177.383) / 3006.496) / (1 - (1303.75 + 1030.546) / 2794.661)
=0.158292 / 0.16473
=0.9609

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=3144.417 / 2954.071
=1.0644

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(66.404 / (66.404 + 1030.546)) / (71.842 / (71.842 + 1177.383))
=0.060535 / 0.057509
=1.0526

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(1209.605 / 3144.417) / (1088.518 / 2954.071)
=0.384683 / 0.368481
=1.044

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((1439.385 + 831.906) / 3006.496) / ((1249.353 + 848.783) / 2794.661)
=0.755461 / 0.750766
=1.0063

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(80.361 - -11.788 - 145.276) / 3006.496
=-0.017671

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Guess has a M-score of -2.51 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of -2.51 mean?
Guess (GES) has a Beneish M-Score of -2.51 as of Aug. 03, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Guess and its competitors.
Is Guess' Beneish M-Score too high?
Guess' current Beneish M-Score is -2.51. Overall, Guess has a GF Score™ of 55/100, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Guess' Beneish M-Score compare to SFIX and SCVL?
Guess' Beneish M-Score of -2.51 can be compared against companies in the Retail - Cyclical industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for a Retail - Cyclical company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Retail - Cyclical industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Guess and its competitors. Guess's current Beneish M-Score is -2.51. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Guess stock overvalued right now?
Guess (GES) has a current Beneish M-Score of -2.51. The stock's GF Value™ is $30.05, compared to a current price of $16.81 — trading 44.1% below its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is -2.51. Guess' overall GF Score™ is 55/100 with 6 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Guess (GES), the current Beneish M-Score is -2.51 as of Aug. 03, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Guess (GES) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Guess stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of $16.81 is trading 44.1% below its estimated GF Value™ of $30.05.

Key valuation signals for GES:

  • Beneish M-Score: -2.51
  • GF Value™: $30.05 vs. price of $16.81 (44.1% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 55/100 with 6 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the GES stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Guess Business Description

Address Strada Regina 44, Bioggio, CHE, CH-6934
Guess Inc designs, markets, distributes and licenses lifestyle collections of contemporary apparel and accessories for men, women and children that reflect the American lifestyle and European fashion sensibilities. The lines include full collections of clothing, including jeans, pants, skirts, dresses, active wear, shorts, blouses, shirts, jackets, knitwear, outerwear and intimate apparel. Its apparel is marketed under numerous trademarks, including GUESS, GUESS?, GUESS U.S.A., GUESS JEANS, GUESS? and Triangle Design, MARCIANO, Question Mark and Triangle Design, a stylized G and a stylized M, GUESS Kids, Baby GUESS, YES, G by GUESS (GbG), GUESS by MARCIANO and Gc.
55GF Score

Get the complete analysis for GES

Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

$16.81
Price
$30.05
GF Value