Guess (GES) Graham Number: $18.35 (As of Oct. 2025) — 1568% Above Median

Author: Vera Yuan Vera Yuan
Vera Yuan
Vera Yuan
Director of Data and Quant Analytics at GuruFocus
Focused on building reliable datasets, financial models, and research tools for value-minded investors. Committed to turning complex data into practical guidance for value-investing and long-term wealth.
Reviewed by: Charlie Tian Charlie Tian
Charlie Tian
Charlie Tian
Founder & CEO of GuruFocus
Dr. Charlie Tian is the founder and CEO of GuruFocus.com, a leading global investment research platform established in 2004. With a Ph.D. in physics, Dr. Tian transitioned from science to finance, applying a data-driven, disciplined approach to value investing.

GES Guess Inc GES
55 GF Score
Price $16.81
GF Value $30.05
! 6 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is Guess Graham Number?

Guess GES 55 Graham Number is $18.35 as of Oct. 2025, which is 1568% above its 10-year median of 1.10. GuruFocus rates GES with a GF Score™ of 55/100 and a GF Value™ of $30.05. The stock has 6 warning signs investors should review.

Graham Number is a figure that measures a stock's fundamental value by taking into account the company's earnings per share and book value per share. The Graham number is the upper bound of the price range that a defensive investor should pay for the stock. According to the theory, any stock price below the Graham number is considered undervalued, and thus worth investing in.

As of today (2026-08-03), the stock price of Guess is $16.81. Guess's graham number for the quarter that ended in Oct. 2025 was $18.35. Therefore, Guess's Price to Graham Number ratio for today is 0.92.

The historical rank and industry rank for Guess's Graham Number or its related term are showing as below:

GES' s Price-to-Graham-Number Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.6   Med: 1.1   Max: 7.73
Current: 0.92

During the past 13 years, the highest Price to Graham Number ratio of Guess was 7.73. The lowest was 0.60. And the median was 1.10.

GES's Price-to-Graham-Number is not ranked
in the Retail - Cyclical industry.
Industry Median: 1.235 vs GES: 0.92

Graham Number is a combination of asset valuation and earnings power valuation. It is a very conservative way of valuing a stock.


Guess  (NYSE:GES) Graham Number Explanation

Ben Graham actually did not publish a formula like this. But he wrote in The Intelligent Investor (1948 version) regarding to the criteria for purchases:

Current price should not be more than 15 times average earnings of the past three years.

Current price should not be more than 1.5 times the book value last reported. However, a multiplier of earnings below 15 could justify a correspondingly higher multiplier of assets. As a rule of thumb we suggest that the product of the multiplier times the ratio of price to book value should not exceed 22.5. (This figure corresponds to 15 times earnings and 1.5 times book value. It would admit an issue selling at only 9 times earnings and 2.5 times asset value, etc.)

Unlike valuation methods such as DCF or Discounted Earnings, the Graham number does not take growth into the valuation. Unlike the valuation methods based on book value alone, it takes into account the earnings power. Therefore, the Graham Number is a combination of asset valuation and earnings power valuation.

In general, the Graham number is a very conservative way of valuing a stock. It cannot be applied to companies with negative book values.

Guess's Price to Graham number Ratio for today is calculated as

Price to Graham number=Share Price (Today)/Graham number (Q: Oct. 2025 )
=16.81/18.35
=0.92

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Be Aware

Please keep these in mind:

1. Graham Number does not take growth into account. Therefore it underestimates the values of the companies that have good earnings growth. We feel that if the earnings per share grows more than 10% a year, Graham Number underestimates the value.
2. Graham Number punishes the companies that have temporarily low earnings. Therefore, an average of earnings makes more sense in the calculation of Graham Number.
3. Graham Numbers underestimates companies that are light with book.


Guess Graham Number Related Terms


Guess Graham Number Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Guess's Graham Number can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Guess Graham Number Chart

Guess Annual Data
Trend Jan16 Jan17 Jan18 Jan19 Jan20 Jan21 Jan22 Jan23 Jan24 Jan25
Graham Number
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.00 24.82 23.75 29.45 20.06

Guess Quarterly Data
Jan21 Apr21 Jul21 Oct21 Jan22 Apr22 Jul22 Oct22 Jan23 Apr23 Jul23 Oct23 Jan24 Apr24 Jul24 Oct24 Jan25 Apr25 Jul25 Oct25
Graham Number Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 21.34 20.11 18.69 17.89 18.35

GES vs SFIX, SCVL, CRI: Graham Number Comparison

For the Apparel Retail subindustry, Guess's Price-to-Graham-Number, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Graham-Number data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Guess Price-to-Graham-Number vs Retail - Cyclical Industry

For the Retail - Cyclical industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Guess's Price-to-Graham-Number distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Guess's Price-to-Graham-Number falls into.


GES
55GF Score
Guess Inc GES
Graham Number is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Guess Graham Number Calculation

Graham Number is a concept based on Ben Graham's conservative valuation of companies.

Guess's Graham Number for the fiscal year that ended in Jan. 2025 is calculated as

Graham Number
=sqrt of (22.5* Tangible Book per Share *EPS without NRI)
=sqrt of (22.5*9.128*1.96)
=20.06

Guess's Graham Number for the quarter that ended in Oct. 2025 is calculated as

Graham Number
=sqrt of (22.5*Tangible Book per Share*EPS without NRI (TTM))
=sqrt of (22.5*9.067*1.65)
=18.35

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Graham Number →
What does a Graham Number of $18.35 mean?
Guess (GES) has a Graham Number of $18.35 as of Oct. 2025. The Graham Number values a company based on its per-share earnings and book value. View historical data on Guess and its competitors. This is 1568% above median its historical median of 1.10. Over the past decade, Guess' Graham Number has ranged from 0.60 to 7.73.
Is Guess' Graham Number too high?
Guess' current Graham Number of $18.35 is 1568% above median its 10-year median of 1.10. Over the past 10 years, this metric has ranged from a low of 0.60 to a high of 7.73. The Retail - Cyclical industry median Graham Number is 1.24. Guess' value of $18.35 is 1385.8% above this industry median. Overall, Guess has a GF Score™ of 55/100, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Guess' Graham Number compare to SFIX and SCVL?
Guess' Graham Number of $18.35 can be compared against companies in the Retail - Cyclical industry. The industry median Graham Number is 1.24. Guess' value of $18.35 is 1385.8% above this benchmark. Historically, Guess' own Graham Number has ranged from 0.60 to 7.73 over the past decade. While the company's 10-year median is 1.10 vs. the industry median of 1.24, Guess has consistently been above the industry average. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Graham Number for a Retail - Cyclical company?
The median Graham Number among Retail - Cyclical companies is 1.24, based on 762 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Graham Number significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Graham Number should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Guess's current Graham Number of $18.35 is 1385.8% above the industry median. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Graham Number mean?
A high Graham Number can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Graham Number values a company based on its per-share earnings and book value. View historical data on Guess and its competitors. For the Retail - Cyclical industry, the median Graham Number is 1.24 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. Guess's current Graham Number is $18.35, which is 1568% above median its own 10-year median of 1.10. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Guess stock overvalued right now?
Guess (GES) has a current Graham Number of $18.35. The stock's GF Value™ is $30.05, compared to a current price of $16.81 — trading 44.1% below its estimated fair value. The current Graham Number is $18.35, which is 1568% above median its 10-year median of 1.10 and 1385.8% above the Retail - Cyclical industry median of 1.24. Guess' overall GF Score™ is 55/100 with 6 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Graham Number calculated?
Graham Number is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Guess (GES), the current Graham Number is $18.35 as of Oct. 2025. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Guess (GES) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Guess stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of $16.81 is trading 44.1% below its estimated GF Value™ of $30.05.

Key valuation signals for GES:

  • Graham Number: $18.35 (1568% above median its 10-year median of 1.10)
  • GF Value™: $30.05 vs. price of $16.81 (44.1% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 55/100 with 6 warning signs
  • Industry Position: 1385.8% above the Retail - Cyclical median

No single metric tells the full story. See the GES stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Guess Business Description

Address Strada Regina 44, Bioggio, CHE, CH-6934
Guess Inc designs, markets, distributes and licenses lifestyle collections of contemporary apparel and accessories for men, women and children that reflect the American lifestyle and European fashion sensibilities. The lines include full collections of clothing, including jeans, pants, skirts, dresses, active wear, shorts, blouses, shirts, jackets, knitwear, outerwear and intimate apparel. Its apparel is marketed under numerous trademarks, including GUESS, GUESS?, GUESS U.S.A., GUESS JEANS, GUESS? and Triangle Design, MARCIANO, Question Mark and Triangle Design, a stylized G and a stylized M, GUESS Kids, Baby GUESS, YES, G by GUESS (GbG), GUESS by MARCIANO and Gc.
55GF Score

Get the complete analysis for GES

Graham Number is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

$16.81
Price
$30.05
GF Value