MAT (Mattel) 3-Year FCF Growth Rate: 21.50% (As of Jun. 2026) — 412% Above Median

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MAT Mattel Inc MAT
70 GF Score
Price $14.70
GF Value $22.19
Valuation Significantly Undervalued
! 1 Warning Sign
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What is Mattel 3-Year FCF Growth Rate?

Mattel MAT -0.61% 70 3-Year FCF Growth Rate is 21.50% as of Jun. 2026, which is 412% above its 10-year median of 4.20. GuruFocus rates MAT with a GF Score™ of 70/100 and a GF Value™ of $22.19 (Significantly Undervalued). The stock has 1 warning sign investors should review. Among 513 Travel & Leisure companies, Mattel ranks better than 67.64% on this metric.

Mattel's Free Cash Flow per Share for the three months ended in Jun. 2026 was $-0.83.

During the past 12 months, Mattel's average Free Cash Flow per Share Growth Rate was -13.70% per year. During the past 3 years, the average Free Cash Flow per Share Growth Rate was 21.50% per year. During the past 5 years, the average Free Cash Flow per Share Growth Rate was 25.00% per year. Please click Growth Rate Calculation Example (GuruFocus) to see how GuruFocus calculates Wal-Mart Stores Inc (WMT)'s revenue growth rate. You can apply the same method to get the average Free Cash Flow per Share growth rate.

During the past 13 years, the highest 3-Year average Free Cash Flow per Share Growth Rate of Mattel was 63.10% per year. The lowest was -42.10% per year. And the median was 4.20% per year.


Mattel  (NAS:MAT) 3-Year FCF Growth Rate Explanation

Free Cash Flow per Share is the amount of Free Cash Flow per outstanding share of the company's stock. Free Cash Flow is considered one of the most important parameters to measure a company's earnings power by value investors because it is not subject to estimates of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization (DDA). However, when we look at the Free Cash Flow, we should look from a long term perspective, because any year's Free Cash Flow can be drastically affected by the spending on Property, Plant, & Equipment (PPE) of the business in that year. Over the long term, Free Cash Flow should give pretty good picture on the real earnings power of the company. It's used in the calculation of Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %.


Mattel 3-Year FCF Growth Rate Related Terms


MAT vs PLNT, YETI, CALY: 3-Year FCF Growth Rate Comparison

For the Leisure subindustry, Mattel's 3-Year FCF Growth Rate, along with its competitors' market caps and 3-Year FCF Growth Rate data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Mattel 3-Year FCF Growth Rate vs Travel & Leisure Industry

For the Travel & Leisure industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Mattel's 3-Year FCF Growth Rate distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Mattel's 3-Year FCF Growth Rate falls into.


MAT
70GF Score
Mattel Inc MAT
3-Year FCF Growth Rate is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
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Mattel 3-Year FCF Growth Rate Calculation

This is the 3-year average growth rate of Free Cash Flow per Share. The growth rate is calculated using exponential compounding based on the latest four year annual data.

Please click Growth Rate Calculation Example (GuruFocus) to see how GuruFocus calculates Wal-Mart Stores Inc (WMT)'s revenue growth rate. You can apply the same method to get the average Free Cash Flow per Share growth rate.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about 3-Year FCF Growth Rate →
What does a 3-Year FCF Growth Rate of 21.50% mean?
Mattel (MAT) has a 3-Year FCF Growth Rate of 21.50% as of Jun. 2026. 3-Year FCF Growth Rate is the 3-year average growth rate of Free Cash Flow per Share. View historical data for Mattel and its competitors. This is 412% above median its historical median of 4.20. According to the industry distribution chart, Mattel ranks #166 out of 513 companies in the Travel & Leisure industry, placing it in the top 32.4%.
Is Mattel's 3-Year FCF Growth Rate too high?
Mattel's current 3-Year FCF Growth Rate of 21.50% is 412% above median its 10-year median of 4.20. The Travel & Leisure industry median 3-Year FCF Growth Rate is 4.50. Mattel's value of 21.50% is 377.8% above this industry median. Based on the distribution chart, Mattel ranks #166 out of 513 companies in the Travel & Leisure industry, which is above the industry midpoint. Overall, Mattel has a GF Score™ of 70/100 and is considered Significantly Undervalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Mattel's 3-Year FCF Growth Rate compare to PLNT and YETI?
According to the Travel & Leisure industry distribution chart, Mattel ranks #166 out of 513 companies for 3-Year FCF Growth Rate. This puts Mattel in the upper half of its industry. The industry median 3-Year FCF Growth Rate is 4.50. Mattel's value of 21.50% is 377.8% above this benchmark. While the company's 10-year median is 4.20 vs. the industry median of 4.50, Mattel has consistently been above the industry average. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good 3-Year FCF Growth Rate for a Travel & Leisure company?
The median 3-Year FCF Growth Rate among Travel & Leisure companies is 4.50, based on 513 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a 3-Year FCF Growth Rate significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, 3-Year FCF Growth Rate should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Mattel's current 3-Year FCF Growth Rate of 21.50% is 377.8% above the industry median. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high 3-Year FCF Growth Rate mean?
A high 3-Year FCF Growth Rate can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. 3-Year FCF Growth Rate is the 3-year average growth rate of Free Cash Flow per Share. View historical data for Mattel and its competitors. For the Travel & Leisure industry, the median 3-Year FCF Growth Rate is 4.50 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. Mattel's current 3-Year FCF Growth Rate is 21.50%, which is 412% above median its own 10-year median of 4.20. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Mattel stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Mattel (MAT) is currently considered Significantly Undervalued. The stock's GF Value™ is $22.19, compared to a current price of $14.70 — trading 33.8% below its estimated fair value. The current 3-Year FCF Growth Rate is 21.50%, which is 412% above median its 10-year median of 4.20 and 377.8% above the Travel & Leisure industry median of 4.50. Mattel's overall GF Score™ is 70/100 with 1 warning sign to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is 3-Year FCF Growth Rate calculated?
3-Year FCF Growth Rate is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Mattel (MAT), the current 3-Year FCF Growth Rate is 21.50% as of Jun. 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Mattel (MAT) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Mattel stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of $14.70 is trading 33.8% below its estimated GF Value™ of $22.19. GuruFocus considers Mattel to be Significantly Undervalued.

Key valuation signals for MAT:

  • 3-Year FCF Growth Rate: 21.50% (412% above median its 10-year median of 4.20)
  • GF Value™: $22.19 vs. price of $14.70 (33.8% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 70/100 with 1 warning sign
  • Industry Position: 377.8% above the Travel & Leisure median (#166 of 513)

No single metric tells the full story. See the MAT stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Mattel Business Description

Address 333 Continental Boulevard, El Segundo, CA, USA, 90245-5012
Mattel manufactures and markets toy products that are sold to its wholesale partners and direct to retail customers. The company offers products for children and families, including toys for infants and preschoolers, girls and boys, youth electronics, hand-held and other games, puzzles, educational toys, media-driven products, and plush and fashion-related toys. Mattel's owned portfolio includes Barbie, Hot Wheels, Fisher-Price, Thomas & Friends, and American Girl. In addition, it currently manufactures toy products for its segments both internally and externally (through manufacturing partners). Nearly 60% of its net sales were generated from North America in 2025, with the remainder stemming from international markets.
70GF Score

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3-Year FCF Growth Rate is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

$14.70
Price
$22.19
GF Value