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MattelMAT 70 Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF is 18.47 as of Sep. 14, 2026, which is 1% below its 10-year median of 18.72. GuruFocus rates MAT with a GF Score™ of 70/100 and a GF Value™ of $22.61 (Significantly Undervalued). The stock has 2 warning signs investors should review. Among 369 Travel & Leisure companies, Mattel ranks worse than 51.49% on this metric.
As of today (2026-09-14), Mattel's current share price is $14.04. Mattel's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for the quarter that ended in Jun. 2026 was $0.76. Mattel's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF for today is 18.47.
The historical rank and industry rank for Mattel's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF or its related term are showing as below:
MAT'
s Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 6.55 Med: 18.72 Max: 30.27
Current: 18.49
During the past years, Mattel's highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF was 30.27. The lowest was 6.55. And the median was 18.72.
MAT's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF is ranked worse than 51.49% of 369
companies
in the Travel & Leisure industry
Industry Median: 17.66
vs MAT: 18.49
The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller. He uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings per share of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted free cash flow per share of a company over the past 10 years.
Mattel's adjusted free cash flow per share data for the three months ended in Jun. 2026 was $-0.830. Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share for the past 10 years together and divide 10 will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share, which is $0.76 for the trailing ten years ended in Jun. 2026.
Shiller PE for Stocks: The True Measure of Stock Valuation
Compared with the regular Price-to-Free-Cash-Flow, which works poorly for cyclical businesses, the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF smoothed out the fluctuations of free cash flow during business cycles. Therefore it is more accurate in reflecting the valuation of the company.
If a company has consistent business performance, the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF should give similar results to regular Price-to-Free-Cash-Flow.
Mattel Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Related Terms
Mattel Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Historical Data
* Premium members only.
The historical data trend for Mattel's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF can be seen below:
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
MAT vs PLNT, GOLF, YETI: Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Comparison
For the Leisure subindustry, Mattel's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF data, can be viewed below:
* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.
Mattel Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF vs Travel & Leisure Industry
For the Travel & Leisure industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Mattel's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF distribution charts can be found below:
* The bar in red indicates where Mattel's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF falls into.
Like the Shiller PE Ratio, the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF takes the Free Cash Flow per Share from the past 10 years, adjusts it for inflation, and then calculates the average. This average is then used for the P/FCF calculation. Because it considers this 10-year average, it's often referred to as the CAPFCF Ratio.
The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller to measure the valuation of the overall market. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF.
Mattel's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF for today is calculated as
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
Please note that we use the CPI data of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the CPI data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the CPI data of the United States as default.
What does a Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of 18.47 mean?
Mattel (MAT) has a Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of 18.47 as of Sep. 14, 2026. Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Ratio is the ratio of share price to a company's inflation-adjusted FCF per share over a 10-year period. View historical data on Mattel and its competitors. This is near median its historical median of 18.72. Over the past decade, Mattel's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF has ranged from 6.55 to 30.27. According to the industry distribution chart, Mattel ranks #190 out of 369 companies in the Travel & Leisure industry, placing it in the top 51.5%.
Is Mattel's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF too high?
Mattel's current Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of 18.47 is near median its 10-year median of 18.72. Over the past 10 years, this metric has ranged from a low of 6.55 to a high of 30.27. The Travel & Leisure industry median Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF is 17.66. Mattel's value of 18.47 is 4.6% above this industry median. Based on the distribution chart, Mattel ranks #190 out of 369 companies in the Travel & Leisure industry, which is below the industry midpoint. Overall, Mattel has a GF Score™ of 70/100 and is considered Significantly Undervalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Mattel's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF compare to PLNT and GOLF?
According to the Travel & Leisure industry distribution chart, Mattel ranks #190 out of 369 companies for Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. This places Mattel in the lower half of its industry. The industry median Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF is 17.66. Mattel's value of 18.47 is 4.6% above this benchmark. Historically, Mattel's own Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF has ranged from 6.55 to 30.27 over the past decade. While the company's 10-year median is 18.72 vs. the industry median of 17.66, Mattel has consistently been above the industry average. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF for a Travel & Leisure company?
The median Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF among Travel & Leisure companies is 17.66, based on 369 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Mattel's current Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of 18.47 is 4.6% above the industry median. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF mean?
A high Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Ratio is the ratio of share price to a company's inflation-adjusted FCF per share over a 10-year period. View historical data on Mattel and its competitors. For the Travel & Leisure industry, the median Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF is 17.66 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. Mattel's current Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF is 18.47, which is near median its own 10-year median of 18.72. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Mattel stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Mattel (MAT) is currently considered Significantly Undervalued. The stock's GF Value™ is $22.61, compared to a current price of $14.04 — trading 37.9% below its estimated fair value. The current Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF is 18.47, which is near median its 10-year median of 18.72 and 4.6% above the Travel & Leisure industry median of 17.66. Mattel's overall GF Score™ is 70/100 with 2 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF calculated?
Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Mattel (MAT), the current Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF is 18.47 as of Sep. 14, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.
Is Mattel (MAT) Overvalued in 2026?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Mattel stock appears to be undervalued.
The current stock price of $14.04 is trading 37.9% below its estimated GF Value™ of $22.61.
GuruFocus considers Mattel to be Significantly Undervalued.
Key valuation signals for MAT:
Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF: 18.47 (near median its 10-year median of 18.72)
GF Value™: $22.61 vs. price of $14.04 (37.9% below fair value)
Industry Position: 4.6% above the Travel & Leisure median (#190 of 369)
No single metric tells the full story. See the MAT stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.
Mattel manufactures and markets toy products that are sold to its wholesale partners and direct to retail customers. The company offers products for children and families, including toys for infants and preschoolers, girls and boys, youth electronics, hand-held and other games, puzzles, educational toys, media-driven products, and plush and fashion-related toys. Mattel's owned portfolio includes Barbie, Hot Wheels, Fisher-Price, Thomas & Friends, and American Girl. In addition, it currently manufactures toy products for its segments both internally and externally (through manufacturing partners). Nearly 60% of its net sales were generated from North America in 2025, with the remainder stemming from international markets.
70GF Score
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