ARI (Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance) Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share: $1.55 (As of Mar. 2026)


ARI Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance Inc ARI
56 GF Score
Price $10.23
GF Value $9.56
Valuation Fairly Valued
! 10 Warning Signs
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What is Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share?

Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance ARI -0.58% 56 Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is $1.55 as of Mar. 2026. GuruFocus rates ARI with a GF Score™ of 56/100 and a GF Value™ of $9.56 (Fairly Valued). The stock has 10 warning signs investors should review.

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share and the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years.

Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance's adjusted free cash flow per share for the three months ended in Mar. 2026 was $-0.002. Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share for the past 10 years together and divide the count will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share, which is $1.55 for the trailing ten years ended in Mar. 2026.

During the past 12 months, Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance's average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was -6.60% per year. During the past 3 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was -4.50% per year. During the past 5 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was -2.00% per year. Please click Growth Rate Calculation Example (GuruFocus) to see how GuruFocus calculates Wal-Mart Stores Inc (WMT)'s revenue growth rate. You can apply the same method to get the Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate using Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share data.

During the past 13 years, the highest 3-Year average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate of Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance was 1.10% per year. The lowest was -4.50% per year. And the median was -0.55% per year.

As of today (2026-07-08), Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance's current stock price is $10.23. Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for the quarter that ended in Mar. 2026 was $1.55. Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of today is 6.60.

During the past 13 years, the highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance was 10.94. The lowest was 2.98. And the median was 6.25.


Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance  (NYSE:ARI) Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Explanation

If a company grows much fast than inflation, Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share may underestimate the company's free cash flow. Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF can seem to be too high even the actual Price-to-Free-Cash-Flow is low.

For the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, the free cash flow per share of the past 10 years are inflation-adjusted and averaged. The result is used for P/FCF calculation. Since it looks at the average over the last 10 years, the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF is also called CAPFCF Ratio.

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller. He uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings per share of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted free cash flow per share of a company over the past 10 years.

Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of today is calculated as

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF=Share Price/Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
=10.23/1.55
=6.60

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

During the past 13 years, the highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance was 10.94. The lowest was 2.98. And the median was 6.25.


Be Aware

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF works better for cyclical companies. It gives you a better idea on the company's real free cash flow value.


Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Related Terms


Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Chart

Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 1.75 1.78 1.80 1.67 1.55

Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance Quarterly Data
Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 1.66 1.64 1.61 1.55 1.55

ARI vs ORC, LADR, TWO: Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Comparison

For the REIT - Mortgage subindustry, Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF vs REITs Industry

For the REITs industry and Real Estate sector, Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF falls into.


ARI
56GF Score
Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance Inc ARI
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Calculation

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share and the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years.

What is Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share? How do we calculate Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share?

Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years. Let's use an example to explain.

If we want to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of Wal-Mart (WMT) for Dec. 31, 2010, we need to have the inflation data and the free cash flow per share from 2001 through 2010.

We adjusted the 2001 free cash flow per share data with the total inflation from 2001 through 2010 to the equivalent free cash flow in 2010. If the total inflation from 2001 to 2010 is 40%, and Wal-Mart's free cash flow is $1 a share in 2001, then the 2001's equivalent free cash flow in 2010 is $1.4 a share. If Wal-Mart's free cash flow is $1 again in 2002, and the total inflation from 2002 through 2010 is 35%, then the equivalent 2002 free cash flow in 2010 is $1.35. So on and so forth, you get the equivalent free cash flow per share of past 10 years. Then you add them together and divided the sum by the count to get Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.

Please note that we use the CPI data of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the CPI data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the CPI data of the United States as default.

For example, Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance's adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share data for the three months ended in Mar. 2026 was:

Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare= Free Cash Flow per Share /CPI of Mar. 2026 (Change)*Current CPI (Mar. 2026)
=-0.002/330.2130*330.2130
=-0.002

Current CPI (Mar. 2026) = 330.2130.

Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance Quarterly Data

Free Cash Flow per Share CPI Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare
201606 0.461 241.018 0.632
201609 0.476 241.428 0.651
201612 0.528 241.432 0.722
201703 0.275 243.801 0.372
201706 0.474 244.955 0.639
201709 0.393 246.819 0.526
201712 0.383 246.524 0.513
201803 0.789 249.554 1.044
201806 0.669 251.989 0.877
201809 0.322 252.439 0.421
201812 0.273 251.233 0.359
201903 0.347 254.202 0.451
201906 0.303 256.143 0.391
201909 0.510 256.759 0.656
201912 0.554 256.974 0.712
202003 0.351 258.115 0.449
202006 -0.004 257.797 -0.005
202009 0.406 260.280 0.515
202012 0.364 260.474 0.461
202103 0.257 264.877 0.320
202106 0.451 271.696 0.548
202109 0.257 274.310 0.309
202112 0.214 278.802 0.253
202203 0.353 287.504 0.405
202206 0.290 296.311 0.323
202209 0.636 296.808 0.708
202212 0.199 296.797 0.221
202303 0.618 301.836 0.676
202306 0.241 305.109 0.261
202309 0.465 307.789 0.499
202312 0.038 306.746 0.041
202403 0.105 312.332 0.111
202406 0.070 314.175 0.074
202409 0.017 315.301 0.018
202412 0.027 315.605 0.028
202503 0.104 319.799 0.107
202506 0.221 322.561 0.226
202509 0.052 324.800 0.053
202512 -0.073 324.054 -0.074
202603 -0.002 330.213 -0.002

Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share together and divide 10 will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.

What does a Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of $1.55 mean?
Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance (ARI) has a Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of $1.55 as of Mar. 2026. Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share represents the company's inflation-adjusted FCF per share over a 10-year period. View historical data on Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance and its competitors.
Is Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share too high?
Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance's current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is $1.55. Overall, Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance has a GF Score™ of 56/100 and is considered Fairly Valued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share compare to ORC and LADR?
Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of $1.55 can be compared against companies in the REITs industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for a REITs company?
A good Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share depends on the REITs industry context. However, Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share mean?
A high Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share represents the company's inflation-adjusted FCF per share over a 10-year period. View historical data on Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance and its competitors. Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance's current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is $1.55. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance (ARI) is currently considered Fairly Valued. The stock's GF Value™ is $9.56, compared to a current price of $10.23 — trading 7% above its estimated fair value. The current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is $1.55. Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance's overall GF Score™ is 56/100 with 10 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share calculated?
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance (ARI), the current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is $1.55 as of Mar. 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance (ARI) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of $10.23 is trading 7% above its estimated GF Value™ of $9.56. GuruFocus considers Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance to be Fairly Valued.

Key valuation signals for ARI:

  • Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share: $1.55
  • GF Value™: $9.56 vs. price of $10.23 (7% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 56/100 with 10 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the ARI stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance Business Description

Industry Real EstateREITs
Other Exchanges 9A1:Germany
Address c/o Apollo Global Management, Inc, 9 West 57th Street, 42nd Floor, New York, NY, USA, 10019
Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance Inc is a real estate investment trust that originates, invests in, acquires, and manages commercial first-mortgage loans, subordinate financings, commercial mortgage-backed securities, and other real estate-related debt investments. The subordinate loans and first-mortgage loans account for the vast majority of the portfolio on a cost basis. Property types include residential, retail, healthcare, office, mixed-use, hotel, industrial, multifamily, securities, and other, with residential properties and hotels representing the highest property value. More than a third of the properties are located in New York City, with the other properties located across other regions of the United States, as well as other countries.
56GF Score

Get the complete analysis for ARI

Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

$10.23
Price
$9.56
GF Value