Marathon Petroleum (BSP:M1PC34) Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share: R$68.40 (As of Mar. 2026)

Author: Vera Yuan Vera Yuan
Vera Yuan
Vera Yuan
Director of Data and Quant Analytics at GuruFocus
Focused on building reliable datasets, financial models, and research tools for value-minded investors. Committed to turning complex data into practical guidance for value-investing and long-term wealth.
Reviewed by: Charlie Tian Charlie Tian
Charlie Tian
Charlie Tian
Founder & CEO of GuruFocus
Dr. Charlie Tian is the founder and CEO of GuruFocus.com, a leading global investment research platform established in 2004. With a Ph.D. in physics, Dr. Tian transitioned from science to finance, applying a data-driven, disciplined approach to value investing.

BSP:M1PC34 Marathon Petroleum Corp BSP:M1PC34
65 GF Score
Price R$1,355.00
GF Value R$937.51
! 6 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is Marathon Petroleum Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share?

Marathon Petroleum BSP:M1PC34 65 Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is R$68.40 as of Mar. 2026. GuruFocus rates BSP:M1PC34 with a GF Score™ of 65/100 and a GF Value™ of R$937.51. The stock has 6 warning signs investors should review.

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share and the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years.

Marathon Petroleum's adjusted free cash flow per share for the three months ended in Mar. 2026 was R$3.687. Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share for the past 10 years together and divide the count will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share, which is R$68.40 for the trailing ten years ended in Mar. 2026.

During the past 12 months, Marathon Petroleum's average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 18.40% per year. During the past 3 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 22.20% per year. During the past 5 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 28.10% per year. Please click Growth Rate Calculation Example (GuruFocus) to see how GuruFocus calculates Wal-Mart Stores Inc (WMT)'s revenue growth rate. You can apply the same method to get the Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate using Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share data.

During the past 13 years, the highest 3-Year average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate of Marathon Petroleum was 35.60% per year. The lowest was 17.30% per year. And the median was 27.35% per year.

As of today (2026-07-15), Marathon Petroleum's current stock price is R$1355.00. Marathon Petroleum's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for the quarter that ended in Mar. 2026 was R$68.40. Marathon Petroleum's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of today is 19.81.

During the past 13 years, the highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of Marathon Petroleum was 22.88. The lowest was 4.35. And the median was 14.93.


Marathon Petroleum  (BSP:M1PC34) Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Explanation

If a company grows much fast than inflation, Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share may underestimate the company's free cash flow. Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF can seem to be too high even the actual Price-to-Free-Cash-Flow is low.

For the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, the free cash flow per share of the past 10 years are inflation-adjusted and averaged. The result is used for P/FCF calculation. Since it looks at the average over the last 10 years, the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF is also called CAPFCF Ratio.

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller. He uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings per share of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted free cash flow per share of a company over the past 10 years.

Marathon Petroleum's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of today is calculated as

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF=Share Price/Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
=1355.00/68.40
=19.81

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

During the past 13 years, the highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of Marathon Petroleum was 22.88. The lowest was 4.35. And the median was 14.93.


Be Aware

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF works better for cyclical companies. It gives you a better idea on the company's real free cash flow value.


Marathon Petroleum Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Related Terms


Marathon Petroleum Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Marathon Petroleum's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Marathon Petroleum Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Chart

Marathon Petroleum Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 26.23 34.31 48.84 69.11 73.44

Marathon Petroleum Quarterly Data
Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 69.81 63.44 65.24 73.44 68.40

BSP:M1PC34 vs VLO, PSX, SUN: Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Comparison

For the Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing subindustry, Marathon Petroleum's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Marathon Petroleum Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF vs Oil & Gas Industry

For the Oil & Gas industry and Energy sector, Marathon Petroleum's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Marathon Petroleum's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF falls into.


BSP:M1PC34
65GF Score
Marathon Petroleum Corp BSP:M1PC34
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Marathon Petroleum Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Calculation

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share and the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years.

What is Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share? How do we calculate Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share?

Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years. Let's use an example to explain.

If we want to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of Wal-Mart (WMT) for Dec. 31, 2010, we need to have the inflation data and the free cash flow per share from 2001 through 2010.

We adjusted the 2001 free cash flow per share data with the total inflation from 2001 through 2010 to the equivalent free cash flow in 2010. If the total inflation from 2001 to 2010 is 40%, and Wal-Mart's free cash flow is $1 a share in 2001, then the 2001's equivalent free cash flow in 2010 is $1.4 a share. If Wal-Mart's free cash flow is $1 again in 2002, and the total inflation from 2002 through 2010 is 35%, then the equivalent 2002 free cash flow in 2010 is $1.35. So on and so forth, you get the equivalent free cash flow per share of past 10 years. Then you add them together and divided the sum by the count to get Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.

Please note that we use the CPI data of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the CPI data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the CPI data of the United States as default.

For example, Marathon Petroleum's adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share data for the three months ended in Mar. 2026 was:

Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare= Free Cash Flow per Share /CPI of Mar. 2026 (Change)*Current CPI (Mar. 2026)
=3.687/330.2130*330.2130
=3.687

Current CPI (Mar. 2026) = 330.2130.

Marathon Petroleum Quarterly Data

Free Cash Flow per Share CPI Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare
201606 10.193 241.018 13.965
201609 -1.909 241.428 -2.611
201612 1.715 241.432 2.346
201703 2.939 243.801 3.981
201706 1.262 244.955 1.701
201709 7.665 246.819 10.255
201712 12.947 246.524 17.342
201803 -6.093 249.554 -8.062
201806 13.613 251.989 17.839
201809 3.000 252.439 3.924
201812 10.248 251.233 13.470
201903 2.180 254.202 2.832
201906 8.360 256.143 10.777
201909 10.892 256.759 14.008
201912 6.673 256.974 8.575
202003 -12.962 258.115 -16.583
202006 -1.652 257.797 -2.116
202009 5.707 260.280 7.240
202012 6.905 260.474 8.754
202103 1.298 264.877 1.618
202106 8.289 271.696 10.074
202109 -12.638 274.310 -15.214
202112 29.845 278.802 35.348
202203 17.680 287.504 20.306
202206 60.780 296.311 67.734
202209 19.244 296.808 21.410
202212 40.977 296.797 45.591
202303 41.948 301.836 45.892
202306 40.579 305.109 43.918
202309 56.533 307.789 60.652
202312 7.702 306.746 8.291
202403 13.027 312.332 13.773
202406 42.396 314.175 44.560
202409 17.231 315.301 18.046
202412 26.635 315.605 27.868
202503 -13.374 319.799 -13.810
202506 35.117 322.561 35.950
202509 29.320 324.800 29.809
202512 34.335 324.054 34.988
202603 3.687 330.213 3.687

Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share together and divide 10 will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.

What does a Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of R$68.40 mean?
Marathon Petroleum (BSP:M1PC34) has a Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of R$68.40 as of Mar. 2026. Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share represents the company's inflation-adjusted FCF per share over a 10-year period. View historical data on Marathon Petroleum and its competitors.
Is Marathon Petroleum's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share too high?
Marathon Petroleum's current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is R$68.40. Overall, Marathon Petroleum has a GF Score™ of 65/100, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Marathon Petroleum's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share compare to VLO and PSX?
Marathon Petroleum's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of R$68.40 can be compared against companies in the Oil & Gas industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for an Oil & Gas company?
A good Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share depends on the Oil & Gas industry context. However, Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share mean?
A high Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share represents the company's inflation-adjusted FCF per share over a 10-year period. View historical data on Marathon Petroleum and its competitors. Marathon Petroleum's current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is R$68.40. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Marathon Petroleum stock overvalued right now?
Marathon Petroleum (BSP:M1PC34) has a current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of R$68.40. The stock's GF Value™ is R$937.51, compared to a current price of R$1,355.00 — trading 44.5% above its estimated fair value. The current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is R$68.40. Marathon Petroleum's overall GF Score™ is 65/100 with 6 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share calculated?
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Marathon Petroleum (BSP:M1PC34), the current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is R$68.40 as of Mar. 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Marathon Petroleum (BSP:M1PC34) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Marathon Petroleum stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of R$1,355.00 is trading 44.5% above its estimated GF Value™ of R$937.51.

Key valuation signals for BSP:M1PC34:

  • Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share: R$68.40
  • GF Value™: R$937.51 vs. price of R$1,355.00 (44.5% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 65/100 with 6 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the BSP:M1PC34 stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Marathon Petroleum Business Description

Industry EnergyOil & Gas
Address 539 South Main Street, Findlay, OH, USA, 45840-3229
Marathon Petroleum is a leading integrated downstream and midstream energy company that operates 13 refineries in the Gulf Coast, Mid-Continent, and West Coast regions of the United States with an aggregate crude oil refining capacity of 3.0 million barrels per day. The company is one of the largest producers of renewable diesel in the US; its Dickinson, North Dakota facility has the capacity to produce 184 million gallons per year, and its Martinez, California, joint venture facility (a 50/50 partnership with Neste) reached its full capacity of 730 million gallons per year in late 2024. Marathon also owns the general partner and approximately 64% of MPLX LP, a large-cap master limited partnership that owns and operates midstream energy infrastructure and logistics assets.
65GF Score

Get the complete analysis for BSP:M1PC34

Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

R$1,355.00
Price
R$937.51
GF Value