McDonald's (BUE:MCD) Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share: ARS542.00 (As of Mar. 2026)

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BUE:MCD McDonald's Corp BUE:MCD
71 GF Score
Price ARS17,790.00
GF Value ARS20,923.80
Valuation Modestly Undervalued
! 2 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is McDonald's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share?

McDonald's BUE:MCD -0.89% 71 Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is ARS542.00 as of Mar. 2026. GuruFocus rates BUE:MCD with a GF Score™ of 71/100 and a GF Value™ of ARS20,923.80 (Modestly Undervalued). The stock has 2 warning signs investors should review.

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share and the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years.

McDonald's's adjusted free cash flow per share for the three months ended in Mar. 2026 was ARS13,561.116. Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share for the past 10 years together and divide the count will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share, which is ARS542.00 for the trailing ten years ended in Mar. 2026.

During the past 12 months, McDonald's's average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 6.70% per year. During the past 3 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 8.00% per year. During the past 5 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 9.80% per year. During the past 10 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 8.60% per year. Please click Growth Rate Calculation Example (GuruFocus) to see how GuruFocus calculates Wal-Mart Stores Inc (WMT)'s revenue growth rate. You can apply the same method to get the Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate using Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share data.

During the past 13 years, the highest 3-Year average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate of McDonald's was 37.20% per year. The lowest was 6.40% per year. And the median was 12.20% per year.

As of today (2026-07-14), McDonald's's current stock price is ARS17790.00. McDonald's's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for the quarter that ended in Mar. 2026 was ARS542.00. McDonald's's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of today is 32.82.

During the past 13 years, the highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of McDonald's was 44.92. The lowest was 26.19. And the median was 38.06.


McDonald's  (BUE:MCD) Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Explanation

If a company grows much fast than inflation, Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share may underestimate the company's free cash flow. Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF can seem to be too high even the actual Price-to-Free-Cash-Flow is low.

For the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, the free cash flow per share of the past 10 years are inflation-adjusted and averaged. The result is used for P/FCF calculation. Since it looks at the average over the last 10 years, the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF is also called CAPFCF Ratio.

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller. He uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings per share of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted free cash flow per share of a company over the past 10 years.

McDonald's's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of today is calculated as

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF=Share Price/Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
=17790.00/542.00
=32.82

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

During the past 13 years, the highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of McDonald's was 44.92. The lowest was 26.19. And the median was 38.06.


Be Aware

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF works better for cyclical companies. It gives you a better idea on the company's real free cash flow value.


McDonald's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Related Terms


McDonald's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for McDonald's's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

McDonald's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Chart

McDonald's Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 155.35 97.19 304.19 399.48 550.75

McDonald's Quarterly Data
Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 452.18 422.26 547.27 550.75 542.00

BUE:MCD vs SBUX, YUM, CMG: Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Comparison

For the Restaurants subindustry, McDonald's's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


McDonald's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF vs Restaurants Industry

For the Restaurants industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, McDonald's's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where McDonald's's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF falls into.


BUE:MCD
71GF Score
McDonald's Corp BUE:MCD
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

McDonald's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Calculation

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share and the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years.

What is Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share? How do we calculate Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share?

Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years. Let's use an example to explain.

If we want to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of Wal-Mart (WMT) for Dec. 31, 2010, we need to have the inflation data and the free cash flow per share from 2001 through 2010.

We adjusted the 2001 free cash flow per share data with the total inflation from 2001 through 2010 to the equivalent free cash flow in 2010. If the total inflation from 2001 to 2010 is 40%, and Wal-Mart's free cash flow is $1 a share in 2001, then the 2001's equivalent free cash flow in 2010 is $1.4 a share. If Wal-Mart's free cash flow is $1 again in 2002, and the total inflation from 2002 through 2010 is 35%, then the equivalent 2002 free cash flow in 2010 is $1.35. So on and so forth, you get the equivalent free cash flow per share of past 10 years. Then you add them together and divided the sum by the count to get Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.

Please note that we use the CPI data of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the CPI data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the CPI data of the United States as default.

For example, McDonald's's adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share data for the three months ended in Mar. 2026 was:

Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare= Free Cash Flow per Share /CPI of Mar. 2026 (Change)*Current CPI (Mar. 2026)
=13561.116/330.2130*330.2130
=13,561.116

Current CPI (Mar. 2026) = 330.2130.

McDonald's Quarterly Data

Free Cash Flow per Share CPI Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare
201606 57.504 241.018 78.785
201609 129.920 241.428 177.698
201612 10.963 241.432 14.994
201703 83.422 243.801 112.990
201706 68.005 244.955 91.675
201709 109.221 246.819 146.124
201712 44.557 246.524 59.683
201803 110.233 249.554 145.862
201806 92.206 251.989 120.829
201809 333.683 252.439 436.487
201812 123.816 251.233 162.740
201903 305.040 254.202 396.252
201906 308.679 256.143 397.941
201909 508.964 256.759 654.569
201912 366.381 256.974 470.802
202003 351.729 258.115 449.976
202006 -189.522 257.797 -242.759
202009 1,009.387 260.280 1,280.593
202012 663.047 260.474 840.570
202103 842.170 264.877 1,049.904
202106 630.072 271.696 765.775
202109 1,099.824 274.310 1,323.963
202112 1,063.949 278.802 1,260.141
202203 995.073 287.504 1,142.892
202206 116.892 296.311 130.266
202209 1,430.048 296.808 1,590.996
202212 1,523.925 296.797 1,695.502
202303 2,059.570 301.836 2,253.200
202306 1,499.551 305.109 1,622.932
202309 4,704.905 307.789 5,047.681
202312 3,436.395 306.746 3,699.290
202403 8,556.151 312.332 9,045.990
202406 5,263.853 314.175 5,532.562
202409 10,254.838 315.301 10,739.835
202412 10,241.779 315.605 10,715.827
202503 11,144.257 319.799 11,507.161
202506 8,298.720 322.561 8,495.588
202509 18,339.522 324.800 18,645.162
202512 13,319.546 324.054 13,572.699
202603 13,561.116 330.213 13,561.116

Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share together and divide 10 will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.

What does a Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of ARS542.00 mean?
McDonald's (BUE:MCD) has a Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of ARS542.00 as of Mar. 2026. Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share represents the company's inflation-adjusted FCF per share over a 10-year period. View historical data on McDonald's and its competitors.
Is McDonald's' Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share too high?
McDonald's' current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is ARS542.00. Overall, McDonald's has a GF Score™ of 71/100 and is considered Modestly Undervalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does McDonald's' Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share compare to SBUX and YUM?
McDonald's' Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of ARS542.00 can be compared against companies in the Restaurants industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for a Restaurants company?
A good Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share depends on the Restaurants industry context. However, Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share mean?
A high Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share represents the company's inflation-adjusted FCF per share over a 10-year period. View historical data on McDonald's and its competitors. McDonald's's current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is ARS542.00. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is McDonald's stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, McDonald's (BUE:MCD) is currently considered Modestly Undervalued. The stock's GF Value™ is ARS20,923.80, compared to a current price of ARS17,790.00 — trading 15% below its estimated fair value. The current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is ARS542.00. McDonald's' overall GF Score™ is 71/100 with 2 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share calculated?
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is calculated from a company's financial statements. For McDonald's (BUE:MCD), the current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is ARS542.00 as of Mar. 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is McDonald's (BUE:MCD) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, McDonald's stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of ARS17,790.00 is trading 15% below its estimated GF Value™ of ARS20,923.80. GuruFocus considers McDonald's to be Modestly Undervalued.

Key valuation signals for BUE:MCD:

  • Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share: ARS542.00
  • GF Value™: ARS20,923.80 vs. price of ARS17,790.00 (15% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 71/100 with 2 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the BUE:MCD stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


McDonald's Business Description

Address 110 North Carpenter Street, Chicago, IL, USA, 60607
McDonald's is the world's largest restaurant brand, with nearly $139 billion in systemwide sales across more than 45,000 restaurants and over 100 markets. The quick-service chain built its early reputation on speed, consistency, and affordable hamburgers, and today its global menu spans burgers, chicken, breakfast, and beverages that have helped popularize American fast-food cuisine worldwide. The firm derives the bulk of its revenue from franchise royalties and rent (about 62%), with the remainder stemming from company-operated restaurants across three segments: the United States (39% of systemwide sales), international operated markets (35%), and international developmental/licensed markets (26%).
71GF Score

Get the complete analysis for BUE:MCD

Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

ARS17,790.00
Price
ARS20,923.80
GF Value