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McDonald's (BUE:MCD) Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF : 37.74 (As of May. 09, 2025)


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What is McDonald's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF?

As of today (2025-05-09), McDonald's's current share price is ARS15075.00. McDonald's's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for the quarter that ended in Dec. 2024 was ARS399.48. McDonald's's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF for today is 37.74.

The historical rank and industry rank for McDonald's's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF or its related term are showing as below:

BUE:MCD' s Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 24.96   Med: 38.03   Max: 44.92
Current: 38.83

During the past years, McDonald's's highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF was 44.92. The lowest was 24.96. And the median was 38.03.

BUE:MCD's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF is ranked worse than
84.68% of 124 companies
in the Restaurants industry
Industry Median: 11.955 vs BUE:MCD: 38.83

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller. He uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings per share of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted free cash flow per share of a company over the past 10 years.

McDonald's's adjusted free cash flow per share data for the three months ended in Dec. 2024 was ARS10,241.779. Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share for the past 10 years together and divide 10 will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share, which is ARS399.48 for the trailing ten years ended in Dec. 2024.

Shiller PE for Stocks: The True Measure of Stock Valuation


McDonald's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for McDonald's's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

McDonald's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Chart

McDonald's Annual Data
Trend Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24
Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 40.07 43.41 38.60 39.59 35.91

McDonald's Quarterly Data
Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25
Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 36.61 32.78 38.48 35.91 -

Competitive Comparison of McDonald's's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF

For the Restaurants subindustry, McDonald's's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


McDonald's's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Distribution in the Restaurants Industry

For the Restaurants industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, McDonald's's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where McDonald's's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF falls into.


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McDonald's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Calculation

Like the Shiller PE Ratio, the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF takes the Free Cash Flow per Share from the past 10 years, adjusts it for inflation, and then calculates the average. This average is then used for the P/FCF calculation. Because it considers this 10-year average, it's often referred to as the CAPFCF Ratio.

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller to measure the valuation of the overall market. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF.

McDonald's's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF for today is calculated as

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF=Share Price/ Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
=15075.00/399.48
=37.74

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

McDonald's's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for the quarter that ended in Dec. 2024 is calculated as:

For example, McDonald's's adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share data for the three months ended in Dec. 2024 was:

Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare=Free Cash Flow per Share/CPI of Dec. 2024 (Change)*Current CPI (Dec. 2024)
=10241.779/133.1571*133.1571
=10,241.779

Current CPI (Dec. 2024) = 133.1571.

McDonald's Quarterly Data

Free Cash Flow per Share CPI Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare
201503 47.753 99.621 63.828
201506 41.660 100.684 55.096
201509 61.745 100.392 81.897
201512 44.217 99.792 59.001
201603 88.207 100.470 116.904
201606 57.504 101.688 75.300
201609 129.920 101.861 169.837
201612 10.963 101.863 14.331
201703 83.422 102.862 107.991
201706 68.005 103.349 87.619
201709 109.221 104.136 139.660
201712 44.557 104.011 57.043
201803 110.233 105.290 139.409
201806 92.206 106.317 115.484
201809 333.683 106.507 417.178
201812 123.816 105.998 155.541
201903 305.040 107.251 378.723
201906 308.679 108.070 380.337
201909 508.964 108.329 625.612
201912 366.381 108.420 449.974
202003 351.729 108.902 430.069
202006 -189.522 108.767 -232.020
202009 1,009.387 109.815 1,223.942
202012 663.047 109.897 803.385
202103 842.170 111.754 1,003.459
202106 630.072 114.631 731.899
202109 1,099.824 115.734 1,265.393
202112 1,063.949 117.630 1,204.395
202203 995.073 121.301 1,092.333
202206 116.892 125.017 124.503
202209 1,430.048 125.227 1,520.613
202212 1,523.925 125.222 1,620.496
202303 2,059.570 127.348 2,153.523
202306 1,499.551 128.729 1,551.137
202309 4,704.905 129.860 4,824.379
202312 3,436.395 129.419 3,535.640
202403 8,556.151 131.776 8,645.812
202406 5,263.853 132.554 5,287.811
202409 10,254.838 133.029 10,264.721
202412 10,241.779 133.157 10,241.779

Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share together and divide 10 will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.

Please note that we use the CPI data of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the CPI data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the CPI data of the United States as default.


McDonald's  (BUE:MCD) Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Explanation

Compared with the regular Price-to-Free-Cash-Flow, which works poorly for cyclical businesses, the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF smoothed out the fluctuations of free cash flow during business cycles. Therefore it is more accurate in reflecting the valuation of the company.

If a company has consistent business performance, the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF should give similar results to regular Price-to-Free-Cash-Flow.


McDonald's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of McDonald's's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


McDonald's Business Description

Industry
Address
110 North Carpenter Street, Chicago, IL, USA, 60607
McDonald's is the largest restaurant owner-operator in the world, with 2024 system sales of $131 billion across more than 43,000 stores and 115 markets. McDonald's pioneered the franchise model, building its footprint through partnerships with independent restaurant franchisees and master franchise partners around the globe. The firm earns roughly 60% of its revenue from franchise royalty fees and lease payments, with most of the remainder coming from company-operated stores across its three core segments: the United States, internationally operated markets, and international developmental/licensed markets.