CIHKY (China Merchants Bank Co) Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share: $7.50 (As of Mar. 2026)


CIHKY China Merchants Bank Co Ltd CIHKY
63 GF Score
Price $29.22
GF Value $32.27
Valuation Fairly Valued
! 2 Warning Signs
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What is China Merchants Bank Co Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share?

China Merchants Bank Co CIHKY +1.67% 63 Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is $7.50 as of Mar. 2026. GuruFocus rates CIHKY with a GF Score™ of 63/100 and a GF Value™ of $32.27 (Fairly Valued). The stock has 2 warning signs investors should review.

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share and the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years.

China Merchants Bank Co's adjusted free cash flow per share for the three months ended in Mar. 2026 was $3.439. Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share for the past 10 years together and divide the count will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share, which is $7.50 for the trailing ten years ended in Mar. 2026.

During the past 12 months, China Merchants Bank Co's average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 17.30% per year. During the past 3 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 3.90% per year. During the past 5 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 6.20% per year. During the past 10 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 4.00% per year. Please click Growth Rate Calculation Example (GuruFocus) to see how GuruFocus calculates Wal-Mart Stores Inc (WMT)'s revenue growth rate. You can apply the same method to get the Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate using Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share data.

During the past 13 years, the highest 3-Year average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate of China Merchants Bank Co was 21.40% per year. The lowest was -12.20% per year. And the median was 8.45% per year.

As of today (2026-07-12), China Merchants Bank Co's current stock price is $29.22. China Merchants Bank Co's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for the quarter that ended in Mar. 2026 was $7.50. China Merchants Bank Co's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of today is 3.90.

During the past 13 years, the highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of China Merchants Bank Co was 10.41. The lowest was 3.22. And the median was 5.99.


China Merchants Bank Co  (OTCPK:CIHKY) Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Explanation

If a company grows much fast than inflation, Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share may underestimate the company's free cash flow. Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF can seem to be too high even the actual Price-to-Free-Cash-Flow is low.

For the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, the free cash flow per share of the past 10 years are inflation-adjusted and averaged. The result is used for P/FCF calculation. Since it looks at the average over the last 10 years, the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF is also called CAPFCF Ratio.

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller. He uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings per share of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted free cash flow per share of a company over the past 10 years.

China Merchants Bank Co's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of today is calculated as

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF=Share Price/Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
=29.22/7.50
=3.90

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

During the past 13 years, the highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of China Merchants Bank Co was 10.41. The lowest was 3.22. And the median was 5.99.


Be Aware

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF works better for cyclical companies. It gives you a better idea on the company's real free cash flow value.


China Merchants Bank Co Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Related Terms


China Merchants Bank Co Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for China Merchants Bank Co's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

China Merchants Bank Co Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Chart

China Merchants Bank Co Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 4.71 4.92 4.56 4.90 5.98

China Merchants Bank Co Quarterly Data
Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 5.40 5.08 5.59 5.98 7.50

China Merchants Bank Co Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Competitor Comparison

For the Banks - Regional subindustry, China Merchants Bank Co's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


China Merchants Bank Co Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF vs Banks Industry

For the Banks industry and Financial Services sector, China Merchants Bank Co's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where China Merchants Bank Co's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF falls into.


CIHKY
63GF Score
China Merchants Bank Co Ltd CIHKY
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
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China Merchants Bank Co Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Calculation

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share and the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years.

What is Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share? How do we calculate Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share?

Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years. Let's use an example to explain.

If we want to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of Wal-Mart (WMT) for Dec. 31, 2010, we need to have the inflation data and the free cash flow per share from 2001 through 2010.

We adjusted the 2001 free cash flow per share data with the total inflation from 2001 through 2010 to the equivalent free cash flow in 2010. If the total inflation from 2001 to 2010 is 40%, and Wal-Mart's free cash flow is $1 a share in 2001, then the 2001's equivalent free cash flow in 2010 is $1.4 a share. If Wal-Mart's free cash flow is $1 again in 2002, and the total inflation from 2002 through 2010 is 35%, then the equivalent 2002 free cash flow in 2010 is $1.35. So on and so forth, you get the equivalent free cash flow per share of past 10 years. Then you add them together and divided the sum by the count to get Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.

Please note that we use the CPI data of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the CPI data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the CPI data of the United States as default.

For example, China Merchants Bank Co's adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share data for the three months ended in Mar. 2026 was:

Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare= Free Cash Flow per Share /CPI of Mar. 2026 (Change)*Current CPI (Mar. 2026)
=3.439/116.3033*116.3033
=3.439

Current CPI (Mar. 2026) = 116.3033.

China Merchants Bank Co Quarterly Data

Free Cash Flow per Share CPI Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare
201606 -0.469 101.400 -0.538
201609 -1.877 102.400 -2.132
201612 6.490 102.600 7.357
201703 -6.200 103.200 -6.987
201706 4.525 103.100 5.104
201709 -4.229 104.100 -4.725
201712 5.386 104.500 5.994
201803 -1.849 105.300 -2.042
201806 -0.444 104.900 -0.492
201809 -3.187 106.600 -3.477
201812 3.571 106.500 3.900
201903 -5.159 107.700 -5.571
201906 3.215 107.700 3.472
201909 -0.150 109.800 -0.159
201912 1.319 111.200 1.380
202003 2.431 112.300 2.518
202006 4.444 110.400 4.682
202009 -1.043 111.700 -1.086
202012 5.544 111.500 5.783
202103 -1.104 112.662 -1.140
202106 0.895 111.769 0.931
202109 2.079 112.215 2.155
202112 2.806 113.108 2.885
202203 -0.108 114.335 -0.110
202206 3.118 114.558 3.166
202209 0.354 115.339 0.357
202212 10.737 115.116 10.848
202303 -0.631 115.116 -0.638
202306 2.660 114.558 2.701
202309 -1.246 115.339 -1.256
202312 7.582 114.781 7.683
202403 -0.335 115.227 -0.338
202406 2.646 114.781 2.681
202409 4.794 115.785 4.815
202412 3.718 114.893 3.764
202503 2.517 115.116 2.543
202506 0.923 114.907 0.934
202509 0.923 115.471 0.930
202512 6.585 115.832 6.612
202603 3.439 116.303 3.439

Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share together and divide 10 will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.

What does a Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of $7.50 mean?
China Merchants Bank Co (CIHKY) has a Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of $7.50 as of Mar. 2026. Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share represents the company's inflation-adjusted FCF per share over a 10-year period. View historical data on China Merchants Bank Co and its competitors.
Is China Merchants Bank Co's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share too high?
China Merchants Bank Co's current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is $7.50. Overall, China Merchants Bank Co has a GF Score™ of 63/100 and is considered Fairly Valued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does China Merchants Bank Co's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share compare to competitors?
China Merchants Bank Co's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of $7.50 can be compared against companies in the Banks industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for a Banks company?
A good Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share depends on the Banks industry context. However, Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share mean?
A high Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share represents the company's inflation-adjusted FCF per share over a 10-year period. View historical data on China Merchants Bank Co and its competitors. China Merchants Bank Co's current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is $7.50. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is China Merchants Bank Co stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, China Merchants Bank Co (CIHKY) is currently considered Fairly Valued. The stock's GF Value™ is $32.27, compared to a current price of $29.22 — trading 9.5% below its estimated fair value. The current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is $7.50. China Merchants Bank Co's overall GF Score™ is 63/100 with 2 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share calculated?
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is calculated from a company's financial statements. For China Merchants Bank Co (CIHKY), the current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is $7.50 as of Mar. 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is China Merchants Bank Co (CIHKY) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, China Merchants Bank Co stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of $29.22 is trading 9.5% below its estimated GF Value™ of $32.27. GuruFocus considers China Merchants Bank Co to be Fairly Valued.

Key valuation signals for CIHKY:

  • Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share: $7.50
  • GF Value™: $32.27 vs. price of $29.22 (9.5% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 63/100 with 2 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the CIHKY stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


China Merchants Bank Co Business Description

Address No. 7088, Shennan Boulevard, 26th Floor, China Merchants Bank Building, Futian District, Guangdong Province, Shenzhen, CHN, 518040
China Merchants Bank was founded in 1987 and is headquartered in Shenzhen. The bank is China's seventh-largest listed bank by assets, with the largest distribution network among China's joint-stock banks. CMB's network has been expanding rapidly. Its outlets are located mainly in China's more developed areas, including the Pearl River and Yangtze River deltas. The firm has 18% and 82% of its shares listed on the Hong Kong and Shanghai exchanges, respectively. It has no foreign strategic investors. China Merchants Group is its largest shareholder, with a 30% stake. Retail banking, corporate banking, and wholesale banking accounted for 49%, 51%, and 0% of total profit before tax, respectively, and 40%, 58%, and 2% of total revenue in 2024.
63GF Score

Get the complete analysis for CIHKY

Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

$29.22
Price
$32.27
GF Value