CPA (Copa Holdings) Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share: $17.11 (As of Mar. 2026)


CPA Copa Holdings SA CPA
86 GF Score
Price $152.65
GF Value $114.60
Valuation Significantly Overvalued
! 8 Warning Signs
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What is Copa Holdings Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share?

Copa Holdings CPA -0.26% 86 Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is $17.11 as of Mar. 2026. GuruFocus rates CPA with a GF Score™ of 86/100 and a GF Value™ of $114.60 (Significantly Overvalued). The stock has 8 warning signs investors should review.

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share and the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years.

Copa Holdings's adjusted free cash flow per share for the three months ended in Mar. 2026 was $-1.320. Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share for the past 10 years together and divide the count will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share, which is $17.11 for the trailing ten years ended in Mar. 2026.

During the past 12 months, Copa Holdings's average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was -3.50% per year. During the past 3 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 6.40% per year. During the past 5 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 8.20% per year. During the past 10 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 6.50% per year. Please click Growth Rate Calculation Example (GuruFocus) to see how GuruFocus calculates Wal-Mart Stores Inc (WMT)'s revenue growth rate. You can apply the same method to get the Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate using Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share data.

During the past 13 years, the highest 3-Year average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate of Copa Holdings was 17.50% per year. The lowest was -1.10% per year. And the median was 9.30% per year.

As of today (2026-07-05), Copa Holdings's current stock price is $152.65. Copa Holdings's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for the quarter that ended in Mar. 2026 was $17.11. Copa Holdings's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of today is 8.92.

During the past 13 years, the highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of Copa Holdings was 12.16. The lowest was 2.20. And the median was 6.48.


Copa Holdings  (NYSE:CPA) Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Explanation

If a company grows much fast than inflation, Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share may underestimate the company's free cash flow. Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF can seem to be too high even the actual Price-to-Free-Cash-Flow is low.

For the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, the free cash flow per share of the past 10 years are inflation-adjusted and averaged. The result is used for P/FCF calculation. Since it looks at the average over the last 10 years, the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF is also called CAPFCF Ratio.

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller. He uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings per share of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted free cash flow per share of a company over the past 10 years.

Copa Holdings's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of today is calculated as

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF=Share Price/Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
=152.65/17.11
=8.92

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

During the past 13 years, the highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of Copa Holdings was 12.16. The lowest was 2.20. And the median was 6.48.


Be Aware

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF works better for cyclical companies. It gives you a better idea on the company's real free cash flow value.


Copa Holdings Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Related Terms


Copa Holdings Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Copa Holdings's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Copa Holdings Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Chart

Copa Holdings Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 12.98 14.38 15.98 17.69 17.30

Copa Holdings Quarterly Data
Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 17.73 17.52 17.30 17.30 17.11

CPA vs ALK, SKYW, ALGT: Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Comparison

For the Airlines subindustry, Copa Holdings's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Copa Holdings Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF vs Transportation Industry

For the Transportation industry and Industrials sector, Copa Holdings's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Copa Holdings's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF falls into.


CPA
86GF Score
Copa Holdings SA CPA
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Copa Holdings Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Calculation

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share and the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years.

What is Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share? How do we calculate Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share?

Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years. Let's use an example to explain.

If we want to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of Wal-Mart (WMT) for Dec. 31, 2010, we need to have the inflation data and the free cash flow per share from 2001 through 2010.

We adjusted the 2001 free cash flow per share data with the total inflation from 2001 through 2010 to the equivalent free cash flow in 2010. If the total inflation from 2001 to 2010 is 40%, and Wal-Mart's free cash flow is $1 a share in 2001, then the 2001's equivalent free cash flow in 2010 is $1.4 a share. If Wal-Mart's free cash flow is $1 again in 2002, and the total inflation from 2002 through 2010 is 35%, then the equivalent 2002 free cash flow in 2010 is $1.35. So on and so forth, you get the equivalent free cash flow per share of past 10 years. Then you add them together and divided the sum by the count to get Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.

Please note that we use the CPI data of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the CPI data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the CPI data of the United States as default.

For example, Copa Holdings's adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share data for the three months ended in Mar. 2026 was:

Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare= Free Cash Flow per Share /CPI of Mar. 2026 (Change)*Current CPI (Mar. 2026)
=-1.32/330.2130*330.2130
=-1.320

Current CPI (Mar. 2026) = 330.2130.

Copa Holdings Quarterly Data

Free Cash Flow per Share CPI Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare
201606 3.499 241.018 4.794
201609 2.779 241.428 3.801
201612 4.949 241.432 6.769
201703 3.774 243.801 5.112
201706 4.012 244.955 5.408
201709 6.452 246.819 8.632
201712 5.456 246.524 7.308
201803 4.048 249.554 5.356
201806 2.245 251.989 2.942
201809 2.610 252.439 3.414
201812 3.887 251.233 5.109
201903 3.391 254.202 4.405
201906 4.404 256.143 5.678
201909 5.126 256.759 6.592
201912 5.553 256.974 7.136
202003 2.502 258.115 3.201
202006 -3.834 257.797 -4.911
202009 -0.439 260.280 -0.557
202012 1.895 260.474 2.402
202103 -0.021 264.877 -0.026
202106 3.530 271.696 4.290
202109 2.663 274.310 3.206
202112 5.737 278.802 6.795
202203 4.031 287.504 4.630
202206 3.846 296.311 4.286
202209 5.447 296.808 6.060
202212 5.437 296.797 6.049
202303 5.141 301.836 5.624
202306 5.495 305.109 5.947
202309 8.669 307.789 9.301
202312 6.665 306.746 7.175
202403 4.780 312.332 5.054
202406 6.467 314.175 6.797
202409 4.520 315.301 4.734
202412 8.193 315.605 8.572
202503 0.669 319.799 0.691
202506 -0.203 322.561 -0.208
202509 -2.097 324.800 -2.132
202512 2.908 324.054 2.963
202603 -1.320 330.213 -1.320

Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share together and divide 10 will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.

What does a Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of $17.11 mean?
Copa Holdings (CPA) has a Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of $17.11 as of Mar. 2026. Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share represents the company's inflation-adjusted FCF per share over a 10-year period. View historical data on Copa Holdings and its competitors.
Is Copa Holdings' Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share too high?
Copa Holdings' current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is $17.11. Overall, Copa Holdings has a GF Score™ of 86/100 and is considered Significantly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Copa Holdings' Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share compare to ALK and SKYW?
Copa Holdings' Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of $17.11 can be compared against companies in the Transportation industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for a Transportation company?
A good Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share depends on the Transportation industry context. However, Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share mean?
A high Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share represents the company's inflation-adjusted FCF per share over a 10-year period. View historical data on Copa Holdings and its competitors. Copa Holdings's current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is $17.11. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Copa Holdings stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Copa Holdings (CPA) is currently considered Significantly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is $114.60, compared to a current price of $152.65 — trading 33.2% above its estimated fair value. The current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is $17.11. Copa Holdings' overall GF Score™ is 86/100 with 8 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share calculated?
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Copa Holdings (CPA), the current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is $17.11 as of Mar. 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Copa Holdings (CPA) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Copa Holdings stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of $152.65 is trading 33.2% above its estimated GF Value™ of $114.60. GuruFocus considers Copa Holdings to be Significantly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for CPA:

  • Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share: $17.11
  • GF Value™: $114.60 vs. price of $152.65 (33.2% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 86/100 with 8 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the CPA stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Copa Holdings Business Description

Other Exchanges C2H:Germany
Address Costa del Este, Complejo Business Park, Avenida Principal y Avenida de la Rotonda, Torre Norte Parque Lefevre, Panama, PAN, 0816-06819
Copa Holdings SA is a provider of airline passenger and cargo services through its subsidiaries. The company operates through the air transportation segment. It offers international air transportation for passengers, cargo, and mail, operating from its Panama City hub in the Republic of Panama, and domestic and international air transportation for passengers, cargo, and mail with a point-to-point route network through Copa Colombia, a Colombian air carrier. The company's geographical segments are North America, South America, Central America, and the Caribbean. It derives the maximum revenue from North America.
86GF Score

Get the complete analysis for CPA

Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

$152.65
Price
$114.60
GF Value