A.O. Smith (FRA:3SM) Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share: €2.80 (As of Mar. 2026)

Author: Vera Yuan Vera Yuan
Vera Yuan
Vera Yuan
Director of Data and Quant Analytics at GuruFocus
Focused on building reliable datasets, financial models, and research tools for value-minded investors. Committed to turning complex data into practical guidance for value-investing and long-term wealth.
Reviewed by: Charlie Tian Charlie Tian
Charlie Tian
Charlie Tian
Founder & CEO of GuruFocus
Dr. Charlie Tian is the founder and CEO of GuruFocus.com, a leading global investment research platform established in 2004. With a Ph.D. in physics, Dr. Tian transitioned from science to finance, applying a data-driven, disciplined approach to value investing.

FRA:3SM A.O. Smith Corp FRA:3SM
85 GF Score
Price €52.10
GF Value €66.31
Valuation Modestly Undervalued
! 1 Warning Sign
View Full Analysis

What is A.O. Smith Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share?

A.O. Smith FRA:3SM -1.25% 85 Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is €2.80 as of Mar. 2026. GuruFocus rates FRA:3SM with a GF Score™ of 85/100 and a GF Value™ of €66.31 (Modestly Undervalued). The stock has 1 warning sign investors should review.

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share and the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years.

A.O. Smith's adjusted free cash flow per share for the three months ended in Mar. 2026 was €0.739. Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share for the past 10 years together and divide the count will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share, which is €2.80 for the trailing ten years ended in Mar. 2026.

During the past 12 months, A.O. Smith's average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 11.00% per year. During the past 3 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 11.20% per year. During the past 5 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 14.70% per year. During the past 10 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 16.50% per year. Please click Growth Rate Calculation Example (GuruFocus) to see how GuruFocus calculates Wal-Mart Stores Inc (WMT)'s revenue growth rate. You can apply the same method to get the Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate using Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share data.

During the past 13 years, the highest 3-Year average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate of A.O. Smith was 32.00% per year. The lowest was -11.50% per year. And the median was 12.50% per year.

As of today (2026-07-17), A.O. Smith's current stock price is €52.10. A.O. Smith's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for the quarter that ended in Mar. 2026 was €2.80. A.O. Smith's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of today is 18.61.

During the past 13 years, the highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of A.O. Smith was 67.84. The lowest was 16.77. And the median was 35.21.


A.O. Smith  (FRA:3SM) Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Explanation

If a company grows much fast than inflation, Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share may underestimate the company's free cash flow. Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF can seem to be too high even the actual Price-to-Free-Cash-Flow is low.

For the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, the free cash flow per share of the past 10 years are inflation-adjusted and averaged. The result is used for P/FCF calculation. Since it looks at the average over the last 10 years, the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF is also called CAPFCF Ratio.

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller. He uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings per share of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted free cash flow per share of a company over the past 10 years.

A.O. Smith's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of today is calculated as

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF=Share Price/Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
=52.10/2.80
=18.61

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

During the past 13 years, the highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of A.O. Smith was 67.84. The lowest was 16.77. And the median was 35.21.


Be Aware

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF works better for cyclical companies. It gives you a better idea on the company's real free cash flow value.


A.O. Smith Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Related Terms


A.O. Smith Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for A.O. Smith's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

A.O. Smith Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Chart

A.O. Smith Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 1.78 2.18 2.40 2.82 2.75

A.O. Smith Quarterly Data
Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 2.78 2.61 2.66 2.75 2.80

FRA:3SM vs NPO, MIDD, FLS: Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Comparison

For the Specialty Industrial Machinery subindustry, A.O. Smith's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


A.O. Smith Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF vs Industrial Products Industry

For the Industrial Products industry and Industrials sector, A.O. Smith's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where A.O. Smith's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF falls into.


FRA:3SM
85GF Score
A.O. Smith Corp FRA:3SM
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

A.O. Smith Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Calculation

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share and the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years.

What is Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share? How do we calculate Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share?

Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years. Let's use an example to explain.

If we want to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of Wal-Mart (WMT) for Dec. 31, 2010, we need to have the inflation data and the free cash flow per share from 2001 through 2010.

We adjusted the 2001 free cash flow per share data with the total inflation from 2001 through 2010 to the equivalent free cash flow in 2010. If the total inflation from 2001 to 2010 is 40%, and Wal-Mart's free cash flow is $1 a share in 2001, then the 2001's equivalent free cash flow in 2010 is $1.4 a share. If Wal-Mart's free cash flow is $1 again in 2002, and the total inflation from 2002 through 2010 is 35%, then the equivalent 2002 free cash flow in 2010 is $1.35. So on and so forth, you get the equivalent free cash flow per share of past 10 years. Then you add them together and divided the sum by the count to get Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.

Please note that we use the CPI data of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the CPI data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the CPI data of the United States as default.

For example, A.O. Smith's adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share data for the three months ended in Mar. 2026 was:

Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare= Free Cash Flow per Share /CPI of Mar. 2026 (Change)*Current CPI (Mar. 2026)
=0.739/330.2130*330.2130
=0.739

Current CPI (Mar. 2026) = 330.2130.

A.O. Smith Quarterly Data

Free Cash Flow per Share CPI Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare
201606 0.555 241.018 0.760
201609 0.442 241.428 0.605
201612 0.867 241.432 1.186
201703 -0.151 243.801 -0.205
201706 0.332 244.955 0.448
201709 0.226 246.819 0.302
201712 0.722 246.524 0.967
201803 0.121 249.554 0.160
201806 0.534 251.989 0.700
201809 0.483 252.439 0.632
201812 0.685 251.233 0.900
201903 0.004 254.202 0.005
201906 0.561 256.143 0.723
201909 0.672 256.759 0.864
201912 0.889 256.974 1.142
202003 0.229 258.115 0.293
202006 0.620 257.797 0.794
202009 0.727 260.280 0.922
202012 1.068 260.474 1.354
202103 0.450 264.877 0.561
202106 0.400 271.696 0.486
202109 0.879 274.310 1.058
202112 1.296 278.802 1.535
202203 0.021 287.504 0.024
202206 0.121 296.311 0.135
202209 0.912 296.808 1.015
202212 0.970 296.797 1.079
202303 0.671 301.836 0.734
202306 0.772 305.109 0.836
202309 0.993 307.789 1.065
202312 1.236 306.746 1.331
202403 0.525 312.332 0.555
202406 0.217 314.175 0.228
202409 1.004 315.301 1.051
202412 1.253 315.605 1.311
202503 0.111 319.799 0.115
202506 0.745 322.561 0.763
202509 1.455 324.800 1.479
202512 1.010 324.054 1.029
202603 0.739 330.213 0.739

Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share together and divide 10 will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.

What does a Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of €2.80 mean?
A.O. Smith (FRA:3SM) has a Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of €2.80 as of Mar. 2026. Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share represents the company's inflation-adjusted FCF per share over a 10-year period. View historical data on A.O. Smith and its competitors.
Is A.O. Smith's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share too high?
A.O. Smith's current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is €2.80. Overall, A.O. Smith has a GF Score™ of 85/100 and is considered Modestly Undervalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does A.O. Smith's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share compare to NPO and MIDD?
A.O. Smith's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of €2.80 can be compared against companies in the Industrial Products industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for an Industrial Products company?
A good Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share depends on the Industrial Products industry context. However, Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share mean?
A high Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share represents the company's inflation-adjusted FCF per share over a 10-year period. View historical data on A.O. Smith and its competitors. A.O. Smith's current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is €2.80. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is A.O. Smith stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, A.O. Smith (FRA:3SM) is currently considered Modestly Undervalued. The stock's GF Value™ is €66.31, compared to a current price of €52.10 — trading 21.4% below its estimated fair value. The current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is €2.80. A.O. Smith's overall GF Score™ is 85/100 with 1 warning sign to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share calculated?
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is calculated from a company's financial statements. For A.O. Smith (FRA:3SM), the current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is €2.80 as of Mar. 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is A.O. Smith (FRA:3SM) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, A.O. Smith stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of €52.10 is trading 21.4% below its estimated GF Value™ of €66.31. GuruFocus considers A.O. Smith to be Modestly Undervalued.

Key valuation signals for FRA:3SM:

  • Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share: €2.80
  • GF Value™: €66.31 vs. price of €52.10 (21.4% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 85/100 with 1 warning sign

No single metric tells the full story. See the FRA:3SM stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


A.O. Smith Business Description

Address 11270 West Park Place, Suite 170, Milwaukee, WI, USA, 53224
A.O. Smith manufactures a broad lineup of water heaters, boilers, and water treatment products. The company has two reporting segments: North America (80% of sales) and rest of world (20% of sales). A.O. Smith is the leading manufacturer of water heaters in North America for the residential and commercial markets, with approximately 36% and 52% market share, respectively. Residential water heaters account for most of North American sales and are distributed equally through wholesale and retail channels. Most of A.O. Smith's international revenue is from China, a market the company entered in the mid-1990s.
85GF Score

Get the complete analysis for FRA:3SM

Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

€52.10
Price
€66.31
GF Value