XPO (FRA:UX2A) Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share: €2.46 (As of Mar. 2026)

Author: Vera Yuan Vera Yuan
Vera Yuan
Vera Yuan
Director of Data and Quant Analytics at GuruFocus
Focused on building reliable datasets, financial models, and research tools for value-minded investors. Committed to turning complex data into practical guidance for value-investing and long-term wealth.
Reviewed by: Charlie Tian Charlie Tian
Charlie Tian
Charlie Tian
Founder & CEO of GuruFocus
Dr. Charlie Tian is the founder and CEO of GuruFocus.com, a leading global investment research platform established in 2004. With a Ph.D. in physics, Dr. Tian transitioned from science to finance, applying a data-driven, disciplined approach to value investing.

FRA:UX2A XPO Inc FRA:UX2A
75 GF Score
Price €189.25
GF Value €103.92
! 6 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is XPO Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share?

XPO FRA:UX2A +6.56% 75 Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is €2.46 as of Mar. 2026. GuruFocus rates FRA:UX2A with a GF Score™ of 75/100 and a GF Value™ of €103.92. The stock has 6 warning signs investors should review.

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share and the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years.

XPO's adjusted free cash flow per share for the three months ended in Mar. 2026 was €0.523. Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share for the past 10 years together and divide the count will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share, which is €2.46 for the trailing ten years ended in Mar. 2026.

During the past 12 months, XPO's average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 45.20% per year. During the past 3 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 10.60% per year. During the past 5 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 20.00% per year. Please click Growth Rate Calculation Example (GuruFocus) to see how GuruFocus calculates Wal-Mart Stores Inc (WMT)'s revenue growth rate. You can apply the same method to get the Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate using Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share data.

During the past 13 years, the highest 3-Year average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate of XPO was 82.70% per year. The lowest was -12.80% per year. And the median was 15.80% per year.

As of today (2026-07-18), XPO's current stock price is €189.25. XPO's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for the quarter that ended in Mar. 2026 was €2.46. XPO's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of today is 76.93.

During the past 13 years, the highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of XPO was 106.41. The lowest was 14.14. And the median was 51.49.


XPO  (FRA:UX2A) Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Explanation

If a company grows much fast than inflation, Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share may underestimate the company's free cash flow. Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF can seem to be too high even the actual Price-to-Free-Cash-Flow is low.

For the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, the free cash flow per share of the past 10 years are inflation-adjusted and averaged. The result is used for P/FCF calculation. Since it looks at the average over the last 10 years, the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF is also called CAPFCF Ratio.

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller. He uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings per share of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted free cash flow per share of a company over the past 10 years.

XPO's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of today is calculated as

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF=Share Price/Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
=189.25/2.46
=76.93

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

During the past 13 years, the highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of XPO was 106.41. The lowest was 14.14. And the median was 51.49.


Be Aware

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF works better for cyclical companies. It gives you a better idea on the company's real free cash flow value.


XPO Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Related Terms


XPO Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for XPO's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

XPO Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Chart

XPO Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 1.15 1.87 1.70 1.99 2.28

XPO Quarterly Data
Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 1.82 1.91 2.03 2.28 2.46

FRA:UX2A vs KNX, SAIA, SNDR: Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Comparison

For the Trucking subindustry, XPO's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


XPO Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF vs Transportation Industry

For the Transportation industry and Industrials sector, XPO's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where XPO's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF falls into.


FRA:UX2A
75GF Score
XPO Inc FRA:UX2A
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

XPO Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Calculation

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share and the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years.

What is Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share? How do we calculate Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share?

Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years. Let's use an example to explain.

If we want to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of Wal-Mart (WMT) for Dec. 31, 2010, we need to have the inflation data and the free cash flow per share from 2001 through 2010.

We adjusted the 2001 free cash flow per share data with the total inflation from 2001 through 2010 to the equivalent free cash flow in 2010. If the total inflation from 2001 to 2010 is 40%, and Wal-Mart's free cash flow is $1 a share in 2001, then the 2001's equivalent free cash flow in 2010 is $1.4 a share. If Wal-Mart's free cash flow is $1 again in 2002, and the total inflation from 2002 through 2010 is 35%, then the equivalent 2002 free cash flow in 2010 is $1.35. So on and so forth, you get the equivalent free cash flow per share of past 10 years. Then you add them together and divided the sum by the count to get Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.

Please note that we use the CPI data of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the CPI data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the CPI data of the United States as default.

For example, XPO's adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share data for the three months ended in Mar. 2026 was:

Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare= Free Cash Flow per Share /CPI of Mar. 2026 (Change)*Current CPI (Mar. 2026)
=0.523/330.2130*330.2130
=0.523

Current CPI (Mar. 2026) = 330.2130.

XPO Quarterly Data

Free Cash Flow per Share CPI Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare
201606 1.102 241.018 1.510
201609 0.308 241.428 0.421
201612 0.373 241.432 0.510
201703 -0.803 243.801 -1.088
201706 0.505 244.955 0.681
201709 1.071 246.819 1.433
201712 0.959 246.524 1.285
201803 -0.982 249.554 -1.299
201806 0.901 251.989 1.181
201809 0.895 252.439 1.171
201812 2.787 251.233 3.663
201903 -1.619 254.202 -2.103
201906 1.232 256.143 1.588
201909 0.899 256.759 1.156
201912 3.347 256.974 4.301
202003 0.360 258.115 0.461
202006 0.956 257.797 1.225
202009 2.755 260.280 3.495
202012 1.436 260.474 1.820
202103 0.743 264.877 0.926
202106 2.240 271.696 2.722
202109 0.073 274.310 0.088
202112 0.292 278.802 0.346
202203 0.611 287.504 0.702
202206 0.620 296.311 0.691
202209 1.315 296.808 1.463
202212 0.049 296.797 0.055
202303 -1.256 301.836 -1.374
202306 0.000 305.109 0.000
202309 0.740 307.789 0.794
202312 -6.131 306.746 -6.600
202403 -1.234 312.332 -1.305
202406 0.155 314.175 0.163
202409 1.029 315.301 1.078
202412 0.183 315.605 0.191
202503 -0.439 319.799 -0.453
202506 0.372 322.561 0.381
202509 1.527 324.800 1.552
202512 0.868 324.054 0.884
202603 0.523 330.213 0.523

Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share together and divide 10 will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.

What does a Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of €2.46 mean?
XPO (FRA:UX2A) has a Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of €2.46 as of Mar. 2026. Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share represents the company's inflation-adjusted FCF per share over a 10-year period. View historical data on XPO and its competitors.
Is XPO's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share too high?
XPO's current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is €2.46. Overall, XPO has a GF Score™ of 75/100, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does XPO's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share compare to KNX and SAIA?
XPO's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of €2.46 can be compared against companies in the Transportation industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for a Transportation company?
A good Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share depends on the Transportation industry context. However, Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share mean?
A high Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share represents the company's inflation-adjusted FCF per share over a 10-year period. View historical data on XPO and its competitors. XPO's current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is €2.46. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is XPO stock overvalued right now?
XPO (FRA:UX2A) has a current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of €2.46. The stock's GF Value™ is €103.92, compared to a current price of €189.25 — trading 82.1% above its estimated fair value. The current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is €2.46. XPO's overall GF Score™ is 75/100 with 6 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share calculated?
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is calculated from a company's financial statements. For XPO (FRA:UX2A), the current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is €2.46 as of Mar. 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is XPO (FRA:UX2A) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, XPO stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of €189.25 is trading 82.1% above its estimated GF Value™ of €103.92.

Key valuation signals for FRA:UX2A:

  • Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share: €2.46
  • GF Value™: €103.92 vs. price of €189.25 (82.1% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 75/100 with 6 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the FRA:UX2A stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


XPO Business Description

Other Exchanges XPO:USAXPO:Mexico0M1O:UK
Address Five American Lane, Greenwich, CT, USA, 06831
Following the spinoff of its contract logistics division (GXO) in 2021 and freight brokerage operations (RXO) in 2022, XPO is moving closer to becoming a pure-play asset-based less-than-truckload carrier. We estimate LTL shipping makes up 60% of total revenue, with XPO's European truckload and LTL operations making up 40%. However, XPO's LTL segment EBITDA mix is much higher than 60%. We believe XPO intends to divest its European trucking division once it finds the right buyer.
75GF Score

Get the complete analysis for FRA:UX2A

Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

€189.25
Price
€103.92
GF Value