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XPO (FRA:UX2A) Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF : 58.13 (As of Jun. 29, 2025)


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What is XPO Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF?

As of today (2025-06-29), XPO's current share price is €105.80. XPO's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for the quarter that ended in Mar. 2025 was €1.82. XPO's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF for today is 58.13.

The historical rank and industry rank for XPO's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF or its related term are showing as below:

FRA:UX2A' s Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 14.14   Med: 44.83   Max: 106.41
Current: 64.04

During the past years, XPO's highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF was 106.41. The lowest was 14.14. And the median was 44.83.

FRA:UX2A's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF is ranked worse than
87.74% of 416 companies
in the Transportation industry
Industry Median: 16.24 vs FRA:UX2A: 64.04

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller. He uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings per share of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted free cash flow per share of a company over the past 10 years.

XPO's adjusted free cash flow per share data for the three months ended in Mar. 2025 was €-0.439. Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share for the past 10 years together and divide 10 will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share, which is €1.82 for the trailing ten years ended in Mar. 2025.

Shiller PE for Stocks: The True Measure of Stock Valuation


XPO Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for XPO's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

XPO Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Chart

XPO Annual Data
Trend Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24
Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 43.41 34.29 17.08 47.54 63.20

XPO Quarterly Data
Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25
Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 68.56 56.80 54.06 63.20 54.04

Competitive Comparison of XPO's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF

For the Trucking subindustry, XPO's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


XPO's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Distribution in the Transportation Industry

For the Transportation industry and Industrials sector, XPO's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where XPO's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF falls into.


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XPO Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Calculation

Like the Shiller PE Ratio, the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF takes the Free Cash Flow per Share from the past 10 years, adjusts it for inflation, and then calculates the average. This average is then used for the P/FCF calculation. Because it considers this 10-year average, it's often referred to as the CAPFCF Ratio.

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller to measure the valuation of the overall market. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF.

XPO's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF for today is calculated as

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF=Share Price/ Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
=105.80/1.82
=58.13

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

XPO's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for the quarter that ended in Mar. 2025 is calculated as:

For example, XPO's adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share data for the three months ended in Mar. 2025 was:

Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare=Free Cash Flow per Share/CPI of Mar. 2025 (Change)*Current CPI (Mar. 2025)
=-0.439/134.9266*134.9266
=-0.439

Current CPI (Mar. 2025) = 134.9266.

XPO Quarterly Data

Free Cash Flow per Share CPI Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare
201506 -1.067 100.684 -1.430
201509 -0.089 100.392 -0.120
201512 -0.699 99.792 -0.945
201603 -0.883 100.470 -1.186
201606 1.102 101.688 1.462
201609 0.308 101.861 0.408
201612 0.373 101.863 0.494
201703 -0.803 102.862 -1.053
201706 0.505 103.349 0.659
201709 1.071 104.136 1.388
201712 0.959 104.011 1.244
201803 -0.982 105.290 -1.258
201806 0.901 106.317 1.143
201809 0.895 106.507 1.134
201812 2.787 105.998 3.548
201903 -1.619 107.251 -2.037
201906 1.232 108.070 1.538
201909 0.899 108.329 1.120
201912 3.347 108.420 4.165
202003 0.360 108.902 0.446
202006 0.956 108.767 1.186
202009 2.755 109.815 3.385
202012 1.436 109.897 1.763
202103 0.743 111.754 0.897
202106 2.240 114.631 2.637
202109 0.073 115.734 0.085
202112 0.292 117.630 0.335
202203 0.611 121.301 0.680
202206 0.620 125.017 0.669
202209 1.315 125.227 1.417
202212 0.049 125.222 0.053
202303 -1.256 127.348 -1.331
202306 0.000 128.729 0.000
202309 0.740 129.860 0.769
202312 -6.131 129.419 -6.392
202403 -1.234 131.776 -1.264
202406 0.155 132.554 0.158
202409 1.029 133.029 1.044
202412 0.183 133.157 0.185
202503 -0.439 134.927 -0.439

Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share together and divide 10 will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.

Please note that we use the CPI data of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the CPI data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the CPI data of the United States as default.


XPO  (FRA:UX2A) Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Explanation

Compared with the regular Price-to-Free-Cash-Flow, which works poorly for cyclical businesses, the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF smoothed out the fluctuations of free cash flow during business cycles. Therefore it is more accurate in reflecting the valuation of the company.

If a company has consistent business performance, the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF should give similar results to regular Price-to-Free-Cash-Flow.


XPO Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of XPO's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


XPO Business Description

Industry
GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Industrials » Transportation » XPO Inc (FRA:UX2A) » Definitions » Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
Five American Lane, Greenwich, CT, USA, 06831
Following the spinoff of its contract logistics division (GXO) in 2021 and freight brokerage operations (RXO) in 2022, XPO is moving closer to becoming a pure-play asset-based less-than-truckload carrier. We estimate LTL shipping makes up 60% of total revenue, with XPO's European truckload and LTL operations making up 40%. However, XPO's LTL segment EBITDA mix is much higher than 60%. We believe XPO intends to divest its European trucking division once it finds the right buyer.

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