Norfolk Southern (HAM:NFS) Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share: €7.21 (As of Mar. 2026)


HAM:NFS Norfolk Southern Corp HAM:NFS
83 GF Score
Price €281.20
GF Value €221.99
Valuation Modestly Overvalued
! 10 Warning Signs
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What is Norfolk Southern Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share?

Norfolk Southern HAM:NFS +0.25% 83 Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is €7.21 as of Mar. 2026. GuruFocus rates HAM:NFS with a GF Score™ of 83/100 and a GF Value™ of €221.99 (Modestly Overvalued). The stock has 10 warning signs investors should review.

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share and the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years.

Norfolk Southern's adjusted free cash flow per share for the three months ended in Mar. 2026 was €-0.146. Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share for the past 10 years together and divide the count will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share, which is €7.21 for the trailing ten years ended in Mar. 2026.

During the past 12 months, Norfolk Southern's average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 8.20% per year. During the past 3 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 7.60% per year. During the past 5 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 11.50% per year. During the past 10 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 12.80% per year. Please click Growth Rate Calculation Example (GuruFocus) to see how GuruFocus calculates Wal-Mart Stores Inc (WMT)'s revenue growth rate. You can apply the same method to get the Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate using Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share data.

During the past 13 years, the highest 3-Year average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate of Norfolk Southern was 23.90% per year. The lowest was -11.00% per year. And the median was 9.30% per year.

As of today (2026-07-04), Norfolk Southern's current stock price is €281.20. Norfolk Southern's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for the quarter that ended in Mar. 2026 was €7.21. Norfolk Southern's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of today is 39.00.

During the past 13 years, the highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of Norfolk Southern was 58.44. The lowest was 25.92. And the median was 39.16.


Norfolk Southern  (HAM:NFS) Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Explanation

If a company grows much fast than inflation, Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share may underestimate the company's free cash flow. Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF can seem to be too high even the actual Price-to-Free-Cash-Flow is low.

For the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, the free cash flow per share of the past 10 years are inflation-adjusted and averaged. The result is used for P/FCF calculation. Since it looks at the average over the last 10 years, the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF is also called CAPFCF Ratio.

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller. He uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings per share of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted free cash flow per share of a company over the past 10 years.

Norfolk Southern's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of today is calculated as

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF=Share Price/Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
=281.20/7.21
=39.00

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

During the past 13 years, the highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of Norfolk Southern was 58.44. The lowest was 25.92. And the median was 39.16.


Be Aware

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF works better for cyclical companies. It gives you a better idea on the company's real free cash flow value.


Norfolk Southern Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Related Terms


Norfolk Southern Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Norfolk Southern's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Norfolk Southern Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Chart

Norfolk Southern Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 5.08 6.42 6.26 7.22 7.23

Norfolk Southern Quarterly Data
Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 7.09 6.70 7.10 7.23 7.21

HAM:NFS vs CSX, WAB, TRN: Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Comparison

For the Railroads subindustry, Norfolk Southern's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Norfolk Southern Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF vs Transportation Industry

For the Transportation industry and Industrials sector, Norfolk Southern's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Norfolk Southern's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF falls into.


HAM:NFS
83GF Score
Norfolk Southern Corp HAM:NFS
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Norfolk Southern Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Calculation

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share and the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years.

What is Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share? How do we calculate Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share?

Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years. Let's use an example to explain.

If we want to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of Wal-Mart (WMT) for Dec. 31, 2010, we need to have the inflation data and the free cash flow per share from 2001 through 2010.

We adjusted the 2001 free cash flow per share data with the total inflation from 2001 through 2010 to the equivalent free cash flow in 2010. If the total inflation from 2001 to 2010 is 40%, and Wal-Mart's free cash flow is $1 a share in 2001, then the 2001's equivalent free cash flow in 2010 is $1.4 a share. If Wal-Mart's free cash flow is $1 again in 2002, and the total inflation from 2002 through 2010 is 35%, then the equivalent 2002 free cash flow in 2010 is $1.35. So on and so forth, you get the equivalent free cash flow per share of past 10 years. Then you add them together and divided the sum by the count to get Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.

Please note that we use the CPI data of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the CPI data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the CPI data of the United States as default.

For example, Norfolk Southern's adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share data for the three months ended in Mar. 2026 was:

Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare= Free Cash Flow per Share /CPI of Mar. 2026 (Change)*Current CPI (Mar. 2026)
=-0.146/330.2130*330.2130
=-0.146

Current CPI (Mar. 2026) = 330.2130.

Norfolk Southern Quarterly Data

Free Cash Flow per Share CPI Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare
201606 0.057 241.018 0.078
201609 1.536 241.428 2.101
201612 0.448 241.432 0.613
201703 1.303 243.801 1.765
201706 0.878 244.955 1.184
201709 1.324 246.819 1.771
201712 1.116 246.524 1.495
201803 1.228 249.554 1.625
201806 1.681 251.989 2.203
201809 1.750 252.439 2.289
201812 0.699 251.233 0.919
201903 1.360 254.202 1.767
201906 1.852 256.143 2.388
201909 1.821 256.759 2.342
201912 1.272 256.974 1.635
202003 2.060 258.115 2.635
202006 1.501 257.797 1.923
202009 2.291 260.280 2.907
202012 1.384 260.474 1.755
202103 2.494 264.877 3.109
202106 2.390 271.696 2.905
202109 2.822 274.310 3.397
202112 1.808 278.802 2.141
202203 2.287 287.504 2.627
202206 2.266 296.311 2.525
202209 4.178 296.808 4.648
202212 0.540 296.797 0.601
202303 3.048 301.836 3.335
202306 0.619 305.109 0.670
202309 0.483 307.789 0.518
202312 -0.661 306.746 -0.712
202403 1.147 312.332 1.213
202406 1.920 314.175 2.018
202409 2.566 315.301 2.687
202412 1.163 315.605 1.217
202503 2.046 319.799 2.113
202506 2.318 322.561 2.373
202509 2.730 324.800 2.775
202512 1.271 324.054 1.295
202603 -0.146 330.213 -0.146

Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share together and divide 10 will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.

What does a Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of €7.21 mean?
Norfolk Southern (HAM:NFS) has a Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of €7.21 as of Mar. 2026. Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share represents the company's inflation-adjusted FCF per share over a 10-year period. View historical data on Norfolk Southern and its competitors.
Is Norfolk Southern's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share too high?
Norfolk Southern's current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is €7.21. Overall, Norfolk Southern has a GF Score™ of 83/100 and is considered Modestly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Norfolk Southern's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share compare to CSX and WAB?
Norfolk Southern's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of €7.21 can be compared against companies in the Transportation industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for a Transportation company?
A good Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share depends on the Transportation industry context. However, Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share mean?
A high Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share represents the company's inflation-adjusted FCF per share over a 10-year period. View historical data on Norfolk Southern and its competitors. Norfolk Southern's current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is €7.21. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Norfolk Southern stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Norfolk Southern (HAM:NFS) is currently considered Modestly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is €221.99, compared to a current price of €281.20 — trading 26.7% above its estimated fair value. The current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is €7.21. Norfolk Southern's overall GF Score™ is 83/100 with 10 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share calculated?
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Norfolk Southern (HAM:NFS), the current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is €7.21 as of Mar. 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Norfolk Southern (HAM:NFS) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Norfolk Southern stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of €281.20 is trading 26.7% above its estimated GF Value™ of €221.99. GuruFocus considers Norfolk Southern to be Modestly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for HAM:NFS:

  • Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share: €7.21
  • GF Value™: €221.99 vs. price of €281.20 (26.7% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 83/100 with 10 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the HAM:NFS stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Norfolk Southern Business Description

Address 650 West Peachtree Street NW, Atlanta, GA, USA, 30308-1925
Class I railroad Norfolk Southern operates in the Eastern United States. On more than 20,000 miles of track, the rail hauls shipments of coal, intermodal traffic, and a diverse mix of automotive, agricultural, metal, chemical, and forest products.
83GF Score

Get the complete analysis for HAM:NFS

Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

€281.20
Price
€221.99
GF Value